Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

This asteroid has a 1 in 40 chance of hitting earth in 2029, it could also hit in 2036.
The Asteroid Collision Blog ^ | March 13th, 2020 | Paul McBurney Jr

Posted on 03/14/2020 10:07:20 AM PDT by WebHankerchief22

According to the provided article, asteroid 99942 Apophis has a 1 in 40 chance of hitting earth in 2029. If it misses in 2029, it would have an even higher chance of hitting in 2036.

According to NASA and other reputable sources the asteroid is of 370 meters in diameter which is about the size of the Eiffel Tower. When you plug this into a simulation like the asteroid collision map, you can see that its large magnitude can cause some pretty serious damages depending on the location it impacts. According to the simulation, some of these effects are earthquakes, heatwaves, shockwaves, destroyed infrastructure, wind blasts, etc.

Sources: 1) Linked Simulation 2) Linked Article 3) Linked Effects Article


TOPICS: Astronomy; Science
KEYWORDS: 2029; 2036; 99942apophis; apophis; asteroid; asteroids; astronomy; catastrophism; earth; science; space
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-45 next last

1 posted on 03/14/2020 10:07:20 AM PDT by WebHankerchief22
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: WebHankerchief22
It's going to hit us twice?
2 posted on 03/14/2020 10:08:03 AM PDT by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion or satire. Or both.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: WebHankerchief22

It’s gonna hit us twice?


3 posted on 03/14/2020 10:08:18 AM PDT by Paladin2
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: WebHankerchief22

Quick, buy toilet paper!


4 posted on 03/14/2020 10:08:22 AM PDT by RckyRaCoCo (Please Pray For My Brother Ken)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: BenLurkin

Called the corner pocket I guess. Bank off the moon perhaps?


5 posted on 03/14/2020 10:09:25 AM PDT by rktman ( #My2ndAmend! ----- Enlisted in the Navy in '67 to protect folks rights to strip my rights. WTH?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: WebHankerchief22

Please, Sweet Meteor of Death, come to us NOW!


6 posted on 03/14/2020 10:10:21 AM PDT by Tolerance Sucks Rocks (Show me the people who own the land, the guns and the money, and I'll show you the people in charge.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: WebHankerchief22

Just time for the asteroid strike to cause a “nuclear” winter to save us all from global warming.


7 posted on 03/14/2020 10:14:04 AM PDT by seowulf
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: WebHankerchief22

We have 9 years to figure out what to do. Hitting the earth may not be as bad as if it hits the moon. That would cause more trouble. If it hits our atmosphere its likely to recoche away. Its also likely to split up, burn up and hit the ocean. These would all have some affects on us. But are not likely to be dinosaur extinction event. I could happen. Just not likely. But if it hits the moon, we have a bigger problem. The moon does not have a protective atmosphere. And it would likely change the orbit of the moon or maybe cause the moon to splinter. This could be a real issue with much wider ramifications.


8 posted on 03/14/2020 10:18:25 AM PDT by poinq
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: WebHankerchief22

Nice posting job w/ links, etc. Welcome to FR. Enjoy!

No need to wait till 2029, this one’s gonna whiz by next month:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/3823150/posts


9 posted on 03/14/2020 10:19:56 AM PDT by upchuck (Democrats are always the problem, never the answer.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

LOLOLOLOL!!!!!!


10 posted on 03/14/2020 10:20:05 AM PDT by Salamander (Living On The Ledge....)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: upchuck

Shouldn’t we calling Bruce Willis right now?


11 posted on 03/14/2020 10:21:07 AM PDT by Salamander (Living On The Ledge....)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: WebHankerchief22

What they mean is their predictions have a 1 in 40 chance of being right. The asteroid will do what its mass, direction, and velocity make it do, allowing for deflection by the gravitational fields of nearby objects.


12 posted on 03/14/2020 10:30:05 AM PDT by I want the USA back (Lying Media: completely irresponsible. Complicit in the destruction of this country.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: WebHankerchief22

no worries. of you read FRreaking out republic for any length of time, you know we’ll all be dead from coronavirus before the weekend is over.


13 posted on 03/14/2020 10:30:39 AM PDT by JohnBrowdie
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: WebHankerchief22

“A team of astronomers discovered Apophis in June 2004.

The observations caused quite a stir - initial orbital calculations revealed that the asteroid had a 2.7 per cent chance of impacting Earth in 2029.

Fortunately, additional observations refined the orbit and completely ruled out that possibility.

Current calculations show that Apophis still has a small chance of impacting Earth, less than 1 in 1,00,000 many decades from now, but future measurements of its position can be expected to rule out any possible impacts.”

https://www.indiatoday.in/science/story/asteroid-99942-apophis-flyby-impact-earth-2029-1514545-2019-05-01

Seriously do we need anymore goofy blogs trying to hype-up stuff?


14 posted on 03/14/2020 10:30:58 AM PDT by VanDeKoik
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

Doom porn going crazy today.

I’m 48, so, by the numbers, I have better than 98% chance of surviving a COVid infection.

In 2029, I have a 1/40 chance of dying by an asteroid impact.

I need a drink


15 posted on 03/14/2020 10:31:24 AM PDT by BluegrassCardinal
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: RckyRaCoCo

And hand sanitizer!


16 posted on 03/14/2020 10:32:21 AM PDT by abb
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: WebHankerchief22

Does this mean it will get us before Global Warming does???


17 posted on 03/14/2020 10:33:06 AM PDT by kaehurowing
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: WebHankerchief22

“Could”? “Odds”?

What possible external influences on this rock would prevent us from knowing right now?


18 posted on 03/14/2020 10:34:50 AM PDT by Future Snake Eater (Plans are worthless, but planning is everything. - Dwight Eisenhower, 1957)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

Tea Leoni will save us from Ellie.


19 posted on 03/14/2020 10:35:28 AM PDT by campaignPete R-CT (Committee to Re-Elect the President ( CREEP ))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: Future Snake Eater

Quick! Someone inform QAnon!!


20 posted on 03/14/2020 10:36:31 AM PDT by Governor Dinwiddie (Guide me, O thou great redeemer, pilgrim through this barren land.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-45 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson