Posted on 03/16/2020 9:01:51 PM PDT by familyop
These estimates were corrected for non-uniform attack rates by age and when applied to the GB population result in an IFR of 0.9% with 4.4% of infections hospitalised (Table 1). We assume that 30% of those that are hospitalised will require critical care (invasive mechanical ventilation or ECMO) based on early reports from COVID-19 cases in the UK, China and Italy (Professor Nicholas Hart, personal communication). Based on expert clinical opinion, we assume that 50% of those in critical care will die and an age-dependent proportion of those that do not require critical care die (calculated to match the overall IFR). We calculate bed demand numbers assuming a total duration of stay in hospital of 8 days if critical care is not required and 16 days (with 10 days in ICU) if critical care is required.
(Excerpt) Read more at imperial.ac.uk ...
On behalf of the Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Modelling MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics Imperial College London
This is the research that our President and his Team’s latest announcement was based on.
Uncommon ping.
Looks like the NY Times found out what was behind the announcement and new guidelines, but don’t look at the Times. Follow the link above to the research report (PDF), and read that for more accuracy.
White House Takes New Line After Dire Report on Death Toll
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/16/us/coronavirus-fatality-rate-white-house.html
The Report from Imperial College London:
18 months really?
Thank you for proving the scientists and the President wrong with your brilliant gif posting.
Enjoy your fantasy safe-space snowflake.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.