Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Analyst Discovers a Major Flaw in IHME Model Used by White House; Actual Numbers Are a Fraction of Expected
Red State ^ | 04/02/20 | Elizabeth Vaughn

Posted on 04/04/2020 1:24:50 AM PDT by Enlightened1

click here to read article


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-65 next last
To: Enlightened1

If the actual numbers come in far lower than what has been estimated, Trump will look like hero.


21 posted on 04/04/2020 3:40:57 AM PDT by Erik Latranyi (The Democratic Party is communism)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Enlightened1

Ping


22 posted on 04/04/2020 3:42:43 AM PDT by spacejunkie2001
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: spacejunkie2001

Laura Ingraham has showed the failure of this model on her last two programs.

there are people, including Fauci, who are determined to hype the reality. surely he should be the one to acknowledge this.


23 posted on 04/04/2020 3:50:57 AM PDT by MAGAthon ( Fauc)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 22 | View Replies]

To: MAGAthon

The reporter from OANN needs to start asking Fauci some very pointed questions in these pressers.


24 posted on 04/04/2020 3:52:53 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog (Patrick Henry would have been an anti-vaxxer)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 23 | View Replies]

To: Enlightened1; Disestablishmentarian

FYI.

Thought this might be of interest.

Kinda validates your data


25 posted on 04/04/2020 4:12:53 AM PDT by thinden (How many Barr haters across America are being paid by Soros to attack Barr.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Enlightened1

Sort of reminds me of the data models used to force the climate change/global warming/global cooling farce on all of us in a vain attempt to get us to agree to pay more taxes.

JoMa


26 posted on 04/04/2020 4:12:58 AM PDT by joma89 (Buy weapons and ammo, folks.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SanchoP

Hamilton Co. TN near me has a similar population as yours and has had around 68 infections. All 68 originated from one person from what I read today. I think 3 have died and all were over 65.

My County, McMinn, has around 52,000 people and has had 3 infections with no deaths. All three were in the same family, only had mild symptoms, and were over it in two weeks.

Our infections in the state are around 3,000, around 300 hospitalizations, and 37 deaths, in the whole state. Nashville and Memphis have the most, naturally, but the Nashville area only had a total of 6 deaths as of yesterday. I’m sure those numbers will jump today. A lot of the deaths were from nursing homes from what I hear and a 5 year old girl in Bradley Co.


27 posted on 04/04/2020 4:13:33 AM PDT by Tennessee Conservative
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: MAGAthon

Thank God the truth is starting to come out. I sincerely hope it strengthens Trump to end this charade


28 posted on 04/04/2020 4:31:37 AM PDT by spacejunkie2001
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 23 | View Replies]

To: SanchoP

God bless you, Sancho, for some measure of sanity.


29 posted on 04/04/2020 4:34:20 AM PDT by Maris Crane
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: stig

“We don’t even have enough supply to treat people on an outpatient basis if it did work.”

India just ordered 100 million doses of the malaria medicine. I guess they think it works.

When do we order 100 million doses?


30 posted on 04/04/2020 4:38:03 AM PDT by CondorFlight
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: Enlightened1
The "model" averages all locations for a general aggregate...and they acknowledge that it is being modified with each day's data...if everyone manages to keep their distance and not provide new hosts, the numbers (aggregate) go down...if a huge new hot spot or two emerge, the numbers go up...from the latest point in the model.

The process where they bump single places against a aggregate model, to show that the model is flawed, is a flawed process.

31 posted on 04/04/2020 4:47:54 AM PDT by trebb (Don't howl about illegal leeches, or Trump in general, while not donating to FR - it's hypocritical.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Enlightened1
Flawed models fail to predict real world disaster? Now where have I heard that before?

*Cough*globull warming*Cough*

32 posted on 04/04/2020 4:58:41 AM PDT by Yo-Yo ( is the /sarc tag really necessary?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: trebb

Yesterday some reporter FINALLY cornered Birx on whether we would see the raw data behind these models. She seemed caught off guard and then said they’d make it available. The hustle may be coming to an end.


33 posted on 04/04/2020 5:01:53 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog (Patrick Henry would have been an anti-vaxxer)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 31 | View Replies]

To: Enlightened1

Does this mean 1 out of 7 New Yorkers won’t get COVID-17?


34 posted on 04/04/2020 5:41:26 AM PDT by NetAddicted (Just looking)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Buckeye McFrog

Buckeye McFrog wrote:

“Yesterday some reporter FINALLY cornered Birx on whether we would see the raw data behind these models. She seemed caught off guard and then said they’d make it available. The hustle may be coming to an end.”

Good that the question got asked!


35 posted on 04/04/2020 5:41:34 AM PDT by WildHighlander57 ((WildHighlander57 returning after lurking since 2000)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 33 | View Replies]

To: SanchoP

That’s a 0.01 infection rate with no death. Am I missing something?


36 posted on 04/04/2020 5:48:47 AM PDT by redangus
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: stig

If you use Italy as an example and take their death/1M people and extrapolate it to here it shows a total death count of a little over 83,000 not 250,000. I believe Italy is considered the worse case scenario so your simple model would seem to be way off


37 posted on 04/04/2020 5:54:36 AM PDT by redangus
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: Erik Latranyi

Or he’ll like a fool - watch the MSM start to spin the new talking points.


38 posted on 04/04/2020 5:55:27 AM PDT by nevermorelenore ( If My people will pray ....)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: nevermorelenore

*look like

It’s time for Sanity to SPEAK UP


39 posted on 04/04/2020 5:57:12 AM PDT by nevermorelenore ( If My people will pray ....)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 38 | View Replies]

To: Enlightened1

The trend is your friend.

However.

Hope for the best, prepare for the worst is still the way to go, in my opinion. This is no time to lighten up.


40 posted on 04/04/2020 5:58:52 AM PDT by Jim Noble (There is nothing racist in stating plainly what most people already know)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-65 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson