Corona Virus Daily Thread #44 COVID-19

various | 04-13-2020 | RaceBannon

[null and void]

Bring Out Your Dead

Post to me or FReep mail to be on/off the Bring Out Your Dead ping list.

The purpose of the “Bring Out Your Dead” ping list (formerly the “Ebola” ping list) is very early warning of emerging pandemics, as such it has a high false positive rate.

The false positive rate was 100%.

At some point we may well have a high mortality pandemic, and likely as not the “Bring Out Your Dead” threads will miss the beginning entirely.

*sigh* Such is life, and death...

If a quarantine saves just one child's or one old fart’s life, it's worth it.

[Jane Long]

Thanks!

[LilFarmer]

WV
633 cases, 9 fatal:
https://dhhr.wv.gov/COVID-19/Pages/default.aspx

FL
Total Cases 21,019
Positive Residents 20,394
Hospitalizations 2,841
Deaths 499
https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/96dd742462124fa0b38ddedb9b25e429

UT
2363 Total COVID-19 Cases
45787* Total Reported People Tested
201 Total COVID-19 Hospitalizations
18 Total COVID-19 Deaths
https://coronavirus.utah.gov/case-counts/

TN
2363Total COVID-19 Cases
45787* Total Reported People Tested
201Total COVID-19 Hospitalizations
18 Total COVID-19 Deaths
https://coronavirus.utah.gov/case-counts/

OR
Data current as of 4/13/2020, 8:00 a.m. Updated daily.
Positive 1,584
Negative 29,537
Total persons tested 31,121
Total deaths 53
https://govstatus.egov.com/OR-OHA-COVID-19

MI
Total Confirmed Cases 25,635
Total COVID-19 Deaths 1,602
Daily Confirmed Cases 997
Daily COVID-19 Deaths 115
Updated 4/13/2020
https://www.michigan.gov/coronavirus/

MA
Key Updates
• There were 5,319 new tests conducted for a total of 122,049.
• There are 1,392 new cases for a total of 26,867.
• 88 new deaths were reported for a total of 844.
https://www.mass.gov/doc/covid-19-cases-in-massachusetts-as-of-april-13-2020/download

IL
Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Illinois Test Results
Positive 22,025
Deaths 794
Total Tests Performed* 105,768
http://dph.illinois.gov/covid19

[LilFarmer]

CT
COVID-19 Update April 13, 2020
As of April 13, 2020, a total of 13381 laboratory-confirmed cases of COVID-19 have been reported among Connecticut residents (Figure 1). One thousand seven hundred sixty patients are currently hospitalized. There have been 602 COVID-19-associated deaths.
...
https://portal.ct.gov/-/media/Coronavirus/CTDPHCOVID19summary4132020.pdf?la=en

AK
Total Cases 277 Cumulative (includes recovered cases)
Recovered Cases 85
Statewide Totals
Total Hospitalizations 32 Cumulative (does not reflect current stays)
Deaths 8
https://coronavirus-response-alaska-dhss.hub.arcgis.com/

[LilFarmer]

ITALY
Coronavirus in Italy, 159,516 positive cases and 20,465 deaths. Intensive care, -2.5%.

In Italy, since the beginning of the Coronavirus epidemic, at least 159,516 people have contracted the Sars-CoV-2 virus (3,153 more than yesterday for a 2% growth). Of these, 20,465 (+566, + 2.8%) died and 35,435 (+1,224, + 3.6%) were discharged. Currently the positive subjects of which there is certainty are 103,616 (the count rises to 159,516 - as mentioned above - if in the calculation there are also the dead and the cured, ie counting all the people who have been found positive to the virus since the beginning of the epidemic). The data were provided by the Civil Protection.

https://www.corriere.it/salute/malattie_infettive/20_aprile_13/coronavirus-italia-159516-casi-positivi-20465-morti-terapie-intensive-25percento-bollettino-13-aprile-3cfbb880-7d98-11ea-bfaa-e40a2751f63b.shtml

*****

I’m not sure I understand what they are saying here:

Positives also increased proportionally, 1,262 in one day on fewer swabs.
It also increased in the city of Milan

The number of coronavirus deaths in Lombardy is still increasing, even if it stops at the official numbers of patients subjected to swabs: in the last 24 hours they have been 280, reaching a total of 10,901. In the previous 24 hours there were 110. “Data not so satisfactory”, says the councilor for Welfare of Lombardy Giulio Gallera in the usual press conference. Which, as regards the data - still growing - in Milan, says a phrase that throws the ball in another field: “In Milan there are still a lot of people around, as you know the controls are up to the police and to the local police. “

https://milano.repubblica.it/cronaca/2020/04/13/news/coronavirus_lombardia_contagi_aggiornamenti_notizie_morti_dimessi-253903057/?ref=RHPPTP-BH-I253912588-C8-P2-S3.3-T1

[LilFarmer]

#1
Denmark measures low herd immunity in blood from blood donors
Today, 03:56 PM
Apr 05, 2020

We have started measuring the antibodies blood from the blood donors, which indicates that about 3.5 percent of the healthy population in Copenhagen has antibodies to coronavirus and less than two percent in Aarhus, he says.

Henrik Ullum had hoped that the number of people with antibodies was higher. Because as it seems right now, another wave of coronavirus could potentially hit Denmark just as hard as the first.

- If we had a high herd immunity, then reopening the community is not problematic. But with a low herd immunity, there are still many who are at risk for coronavirius. The numbers indicate that we are not very far with coronavirus.

The figures from the blood banks are sent to the National Serum Institute so that they can lay out strategies for the future on the best possible basis.

https://www.tv2fyn.dk/fyn/antal-indlaeggelser-stadig-stabilt-positivt-sygehusene-men-der-er-lang-vej-igen

[LilFarmer]

FRANCE
France will not start to reopen until next month, Macron says.

France’s lockdown, which severely restricts movement and gatherings, will continue for at least four more weeks, until May 11, President Emmanuel Macron of France announced on Monday.

“The epidemic is not yet under control,” Mr. Macron said in a televised address.

May 11 will mark a major turning point in the fight against the coronavirus, he said, when schools will reopen and many people will be able to return to work.

But even as some restrictions are lifted or loosened, he warned, others will stay in place. Many businesses — like cafes, restaurants, museums or hotels — will remain closed, Mr. Macron said, and the most vulnerable citizens, like the elderly or the disabled, will remain confined, “at least initially.”
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/13/world/coronavirus-news-world-international-global.html#link-8519a2d

[DoodleBob]

This looks like a good place to present today's installment of the proper relative comparison of COVID-19 deaths across the world.

Below are the April 12th totals for the US and select other countries. While the US' time series ends on Day 19 (which is April 12 - and is basis of the order, i.e., I sorted the data by Day 19 values), I am publishing other countries future totals/'golfer's scores' who are on hole 8 while we're at hole 4.

As noted before, the US' ranking doesn't look like it'll move too much from here on out, though Ireland seems to be slowing down (it must be because of Bono) and perhaps we'll trade places from time to time with Switzerland. But it's unlikely we'll best Luxembourg or Cyprus or Portugal or Denmark. True, they have less than 10MM citizens per country, but German seems to be doing something right.

Meanwhile, Sweden's 'hands-off' approach hasn't yielded material gains in saving lives on an adjusted basis, though they haven't torched their service economy.

Country	Date of Day 1=day prior to hitting 1,000+ population-adjusted deaths	Day 17	Day 18	Day 19	Day 20	Day 21	Day 22	Day 23
San Marino	3/3/20	107,974	137,421	196,316	196,316	196,316	206,132	206,132
Andorra	3/21/20	89,250	93,500	97,750	106,250	110,500	110,500	123,249
United Kingdom	3/15/20	59,744	78,537	97,497	120,322	143,946	164,705	179,433
Spain	3/13/20	47,600	53,988	59,222	65,680	72,404	78,351	83,592
West Bank and Gaza	3/25/20	56,334	56,334	56,334	-	-	-	-
Belgium	3/19/20	36,689	41,379	46,669	58,193	64,056	72,148	86,332
France	3/18/20	32,034	37,212	39,762	43,855	50,817	53,490	60,078
Italy	3/5/20	26,395	29,956	33,244	37,308	41,045	44,939	49,967
Netherlands	3/17/20	25,324	28,138	31,273	33,445	35,390	39,809	42,585
Sweden	3/23/20	21,910	25,290	27,746	28,288	28,671	-	-
Switzerland	3/16/20	18,730	20,572	22,683	25,561	27,442	29,361	31,510
Ireland	3/25/20	19,218	21,428	22,366	-	-	-	-
United States	3/25/20	18,586	20,463	22,020	-	-	-	-
Luxembourg	3/17/20	16,105	16,642	16,642	19,326	22,010	23,620	24,694
Macedonia	3/24/20	14,548	15,518	16,488	16,488	-	-	-
Portugal	3/23/20	12,186	13,116	13,950	15,072	16,163	-	-
Denmark	3/22/20	11,489	12,338	13,414	13,980	14,715	15,451	-
Germany	3/25/20	10,967	10,844	11,977	-	-	-	-
Austria	3/23/20	10,106	10,920	11,809	12,475	12,956	-	-
Iran	3/9/20	8,214	8,835	9,404	9,954	10,441	10,903	11,461
Iceland	3/23/20	5,428	5,428	6,333	7,238	7,238	-	-
Cyprus	3/23/20	3,386	3,762	3,762	3,762	4,139	-	-

[LilFarmer]

Thank you for this, good info

[RummyChick]

VIRGINIA PASTOR
DIES FROM COVID-19
... 3 Weeks After Holding Packed Service

https://www.tmz.com/2020/04/13/virginia-pastor-dead-dies-covid-19-after-packed-church-service-coronavirus/

[LilFarmer]

Sorry, I copied Utah’s numbers under Tennessee. Here is the TN update:

Number of Cases:5,610
Number of Deaths:109
https://www.tn.gov/health/cedep/ncov.html

[RummyChick]

COORS LIGHT
DELIVERS 150 BEERS
... After Senior’s Viral Plea

https://www.tmz.com/2020/04/13/coors-light-delivers-150-beers-93-year-old-viral-plea-i-need-more-beer-coronavirus-lockdown/

[RummyChick]

https://www.tmz.com/2020/04/13/karl-anthony-towns-mom-dies-after-battle-with-coronavirus/

[LilFarmer]

GA
ATLANTA — Georgia reported 13,612 cases of COVID-19 and 480 related deaths as of 7 p.m. Monday.

According to the Department of Public Health’s coronavirus daily status report, the 13,612 cases are up from 13,305 cases and 462 deaths reported at noon Monday.

The department reports 2,702 people have been hospitalized due to coronavirus; however, the governor’s office staff has said the number is likely behind actual hospitalizations.

Only two Georgia counties have not reported any cases.

More than 57,000 Georgians have been tested for coronavirus.

The Georgia State Public Health Lab has conducted 3,750 tests, with 722 positive results. Commercial labs have conducted 53,256 tests with 12,583 positive results.

Despite early warnings that individuals older than 60 are most at risk, 60% of Georgia’s cases are people ages 18 to 59.

https://www.valdostadailytimes.com/news/update-georgia-reports-13-612-coronavirus-cases-480-deaths/article_42cafde8-7dd9-11ea-afcf-473c10a4708a.html#utm_campaign=blox&utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social

[Jane Long]

I love that....that 93 yo grandma was the best, with her white board sign.

Maybe Karl Rove should borrow it :-)

[Vermont Lt]

A couple of places I’ve been watching are Singapore and India. India has gone from under 500 cases 10 days ago to 10,000 today. My concern there—beyond the obvious human concern—is that a lot of the drugs we don’t get from China, we get from India. We should keep an eye on them.

Singapore was noted at the start as the best system in the world. They were doing a great job—and their announcers deaths are still in single digits. But they had more than 300 cases reported today. That is quite a pop.

One of the things I remember from the first month or so was to “watch Singapore...if they cannot hold it at bay...no one can.”

I still think we are not over the hump on this world wide. Africa explodes next.

[Vermont Lt]

Most of the deaths in Mass are in the nursing homes. The local Vets home (state run Verterans facility) lost 30 last week. It has really been sad.

[Black Agnes]

Nothing personal but I hope you’re wrong.

[LilFarmer]

Yeah, I read a couple of concerning articles on Singapore today... they started weeks before the US, and have had precise contact tracing and testing from the very beginning

It is a very bad sign indeed if they can’t contain it.

*****
CA
24,086 confirmed cases
+786 so far today
+891 yesterday
725 deaths
+44 so far today
+47 yesterday
https://www.latimes.com/projects/california-coronavirus-cases-tracking-outbreak/

COVID-19 by the Numbers
As of April 12, 2020, there are a total of 22,348 positive cases and 687 deaths in California.

Ages of all confirmed positive cases:

Age 0-17: 337 cases
Age 18-49: 10,838 cases
Age 50-64: 6,079 cases
Age 65 and older: 5,036 cases
Unknown/Missing: 58 cases
Gender of all confirmed positive cases:

Female: 10,877 cases
Male: 11,256 cases
Unknown: 215 cases
https://www.cdph.ca.gov/Programs/CID/DCDC/Pages/Immunization/ncov2019.aspx

[LilFarmer]

35 people test positive for COVID-19 in Yolo County nursing home

Updated: 2:09 PM PDT Apr 13, 2020

YOLO COUNTY, Calif. —
Yolo County officials on Monday declared a COVID-19 outbreak at a nursing home as 35 people, including residents and staff, tested positive. One person also died from the virus.

Everybody who tested positive at a nursing home that county officials are not naming at this time was isolated and is being monitored, Yolo County said in a release. Of the 35, 23 of them are residents and 12 are staff members. The person who died was a resident.

Advertisement

“I am deeply saddened to learn about another COVID-19 death and an outbreak in a nursing home,” Yolo County Public Health Officer Dr. Ron Chapman said in a release. “
https://www.kcra.com/article/35-people-positive-covid-19-yolo-county-nursing-home/32133070