Posted on 02/28/2023 6:19:35 PM PST by DUMBGRUNT
Russia has never been a technological superpower. The downsizing of the scientific budgets in the 1990s killed much of what was left of Soviet tech potential centered around closed scientific towns. Subsequent attempts to spur government-induced innovation, in particular under former President Dimitri Medvedev — a young Western-looking technocrat who’s now the chief Russian hawk — failed. Top-down tech ventures such as Rusnano and Skolkovo Center ended up as Potemkin villages, incapable of producing a fraction of the R&D output of American, European, or Chinese scientific clusters.
...But these diversions mask a broader collapse of Russian imports. Even though Russia’s total imports from Turkey grew by 93%, they remain only a 7.2% sliver of total Russian imports, a number nowhere near high enough to replace lost EU trade. China cannot make up the difference, either. Russia’s technological pivot to the East has proved to be a sham. Chinese-made electric machinery and parts (including semiconductors) and telecommunications equipment exports declined by 19% and 30% compared to pre-war levels. Russian hopes that Chinese companies would step in to supplant their Western peers failed to materialize in 2014, or in 2022. For much of the past few years, China’s zero Covid policy meant that Russian truckers saw quarantine and weeks-long queues at the border after an arduous journey through the Siberian wilderness.
...These stunted long-term oil and gas development. Most of Russia’s new production capacity was set to come from the Arctic and hard-to-recover fields. After Western oil majors such as Shell and BP departed, many high-tech, capital-intensive energy ventures stalled. Russia has found no substitute for the software needed for the hydrodynamic modeling of oil and gas fields. Some Russian fields may need soon to be closed.
(Excerpt) Read more at cepa.org ...
Thats a bitch!
Not answered by the excerpt.
Total Russian Assets Seized by the Neocons: $38B or less
Total Western Assets Seized by the Russians (in return): About $150B, based on latest estimates.
If it’s true. I wonder about this source. Another Washington “think tank”.
They will be fine. I’m sure they can write their own software or buy off the shelf software.
“If it’s true. I wonder about this source. Another Washington “think tank”.”
Sounds like it. Obviously the Russians can write software, as Kespersky shows, as it is STILL considered the BEST anti-virus software available.
This is basically the EU telling us that their sanctions have worked.
“Our Mission
CEPA’s mission is to ensure a strong and enduring transatlantic alliance rooted in democratic values and principles with strategic vision, foresight, and impact. Through cutting-edge research, analysis, and engagement, we provide innovative insight on trends affecting democracy, security, and defense to government officials and agencies; we help transatlantic businesses navigate changing strategic landscapes; and we build networks of future leaders versed in Atlanticism.”
CIA front group funded by NATO. They may, or may not be telling you the truth.
I am certain the Russians will find a way. They had a nuclear weapon 4 years after America. They will either steal the software, write their own, or do a combination of the two.
They’ll buy from China...with oil/gas.
More than 1,000 Western multinationals have withdrawn from Russia, according to Professor Jeffrey Sonnenfeld’s study that I helped research at the Yale School of Management.
The second paragraph of the article.
The old attack-the-source fallacy; is prevalent lately.
Liberal think tank.
Propaganda
—”I’m sure they can write their own software or buy off the shelf software”
Why yes, Amazon will have it there tomorrow, and you are an expert in hydrodynamic modeling of oil and gas fields!
“The Center for European Policy Analysis (CEPA), is a central spook/deep state think-tank in Washington, as can be seen by their staff and advisory board.”
“Over the years, the International Advisory Council has included prominent spooks such as Zbigniew Brzezinski, Madeleine Albright, Anne Applebaum, Carl Bildt, Eliot Cohen, Timothy Garton Ash, Toomas Hendrik Ilves, Hans Binnendijk and Adrian Basora.[4][5][6][7]”
Funding sources listed too…
https://wikispooks.com/wiki/Center_for_European_Policy_Analysis
Unless you are saying that nobody can purchase it, it is purchasable. If it purchasable, there is no reason that a scientist from Russia cannot go buy it somewhere.
—”Total Western Assets Seized by the Russians (in return): About $150B, based on latest estimates.”
The assets seized are in hard currency.
And what is the value of the aircraft Purin glomed be after a year of neglected maintenance?
Russia is now attempting to manufacture its own aircraft tires and brake linings.
BOB how about a nice flight on Aeroflot, very cheap if you pay in hard currency. Have some fun in your life.
Tour the old USSR in an armored car...
There are tons of super advanced machinery for oil and gas industry which wasn’t used because joint projects required Western counterparts.
A year ago it was said that Russia would be unable to increase LNG offer due to a lack of access to advanced pumping equipment. Domestic pumps are there for 6 months and so is LNG.
The idea that the group that could design a tank in 3 weeks, sent the first man in space and uploaded HD imagery from the surface of Venus before you knew what the digital picture is unable to design simple technology is stupid.
Nobody counts non-monetary assets of course. It is the money invested in Russian stocks and bonds their holders will get back one day, with significant bonuses because the dividend olicies of Russian companies are much more generous than that you are used to.
—”CIA front group funded by NATO. They may, or may not be telling you the truth.”
The same as posts on the internet.
That said, Professor Sonnenfeld’s team has been doing this type of economic analysis for many years and has an interesting comparison with boycotts of South Africa from years back, this one is more effective.
—”They will either steal the software, write their own, or do a combination of the two.”
—”I’m sure they can write their own software or buy off the shelf software”—jonty
Why yes, Amazon will have it there tomorrow, and you are an expert in hydrodynamic modeling of oil and gas fields!
Do you and jonty share a terminal?
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