September 2004 Assault Weapons Ban Sunset: Soccer Moms -vs- NASCAR Dads

[mosel-saar-ruwer]

Okay - the 1994 Assault Weapons Ban is set to sunset in September of 2004, two months before the general election:

http://www.awbansunset.com/future.html

I can see many, many scenarios, but all of them get back to Soccer Moms -vs- NASCAR Dads. Here are two of them:

1) There is another big terrorist attack, the Soccer Moms get scared, and come home to the Republicans. Voter sentiment favors the Second Amendment, self-defense, and self-preservation. Bush supports sunsetting, Kerry supports extension, big win for Bush.

2) No further terrorist attacks. Further drip, drip, drip of causualties in Iraq and Afghanistan. Voters become complacent about security issues. Possible Columbine-esque school shooting further energizes the anti-defense, anti-security, anti-gun lobby. Teresa Heinz adopts the Assault Weapons Ban as her signature issue; Soccer Moms flock to her. Dubyah and Laura get nervous, betray the NASCAR Dads, and sign on for an Assault Weapons Ban extension. NASCAR Dads are demoralized, stay home. Soccer Moms elect John Kerry.

I don't think the Assault Weapons Ban will be the pivotal issue - that will almost certainly be the economy and the outsourcing of white collar jobs to Bangalore. But in a number of swing states [Florida, Wisconsin, Oregon], where a few thousand votes determine the Electoral College prize, I think the Assault Weapons Ban may determine which group of voters [Soccer Moms - Kerry, NASCAR Dads - Bush] is energized, and which is demoralized.

Your thoughts???

[Kudsman]

Yup, that's why GWB better not screw this one up IMNSHO.

[Nebr FAL owner]

There would be massive non-compliance & while Hitlery may try to do the stroke of the pen law of the land shit but with the people of this country being as divided as they are it could start a second civil war.

[blackie]

Lock 'N Load!

[blackie]

Are you for real ~ more people in this country are stomped to death than are killed with firearms.

Let's ban Nikes ~ they're the real danger and any kid can buy them ~ you idiot!