Link shows map detailing states for and against, where support is strong and weak for Bush and Kerry. Definately worth a look.
Yeah right.
Bush is leading Kerry by 1.1%. That's only a tenth lower. Yesterday's was most likely an outlier.
We'll begin seeing the "real" numbers on Friday (the first day of full polling results after Labor Day)
I guess Gallup is coming out today
Rasmussen still seems virgin tight to me and seems to be a lil left
No matter we must fight like we 10 down
Bush's numbers tanked when Scotty polled over Father's Day weekend. I figured the same would happen for Labor Day weekend.
Still shows Bush with 53% favorability rating. But the tracking poll is too close for comfort. Perhaps there is something to the theory that many voters are on vacation this Labor Day Weekend so all the pollers are getting are shut-ins and kids.
Don't believe it for a sec.
i swear that this guy just does this without polling a person just randomly inserting numbers
all the other polls have Bush ahead by double digits
Okay, but what about Miller's possible effect on undecideds and rethinking Democrats who can not be described as "Kerry voters"? Rasmussen's tightly worded observation is not particularly useful.
Yea... pretty good considering they probably did the poll at a San Francisco bath-house on 'transgendered day'.
Link shows map detailing states for and against, where support is strong and weak for Bush and Kerry. Definately worth a look.
I never believed the 11 point bump...I do believe Bush is pulling ahead...and I just want him to keep doing so.
Rasmussen has really been holding back since their 2000 debacle, I dont consider their numbers accurate..
Lets say 2 pollsters are biased and want to influence the election with a 3rd pollster independent and actually getting a very accurate poll.
Lets look at how each can influence the election by looking at how they trend.
................ Dem----Ind----Rep
Sept week 1 Bush +5 Tie Kerry +1
Sept week 2 Bush +5 Bush+1 Tie
Sept week 3 Bush +3 Tie Kerry +1
Sept week 4 Bush +2 Tie Kerry +1
Oct week 1 Tie Tie Tie
Oct week 2 Tie Bush+1 Tie
Oct week 3 Kerry+3 Bush +2 Bush +2
Oct week 4 Kerry+4 Bush +2 Bush +4
Pre elctnight Kerry+2 Bush +3 Bush +3
All of these polls most likely will fall within the margin of error but based on who you believe you see a trend toward one candidate. The Dem is getting you to believe his candidate is the hottest. The Republican is getting you to believe his candidate is the hottest and the Independent is just simply trying to put forth the best polling data he can without leading the public with a biased spin. It DOES happen all the time and the results all are within the margin of error.
In which state was this poll taken--California or Mass?
U.S. Democratic presidential nominee Senator John Kerry (news - web sites) (D-MA) is silhouetted against crowd at a front porch chat in Canonsburg, Pennsylvania, September 6, 2004. REUTERS/Jim Young US ELECTION
Updated Daily by Noon Eastern
|
Election 2004 |
||
| Date | Bush | Kerry |
| Today | 47.6 | 46.4 |
| Sept 4 | 49.1 | 44.7 |
| Sept 3 | 49 | 45 |
| Sept 2 | 49 | 45 |
| Sept 1 | 47 | 47 |
| Aug 31 | 47 | 46 |
| Aug 30 | 47 | 46 |
Bush supporters are more likely to be away from home, doing things with their familes than Kerry supporters.
Sounds realistic
Is Rasmussen a dimocrat?