[AU72]

If Frank had to loan his campaign 200 large, it would be a lot closer than 12.

[Paleo Conservative]

What did you expect in mASSachusetts?

[Boardwalk]

Driving through Newton yesterday I was pleased to see more Bielat signs than Frank signs.

[beethovenfan]

How can anybody vote for that fat corrupt little pervert?

[Free Vulcan]

The good news is that it should be 30. This bodes well for more competitive races.

[BAW]

When we were kids, part of the fun of the upcoming Christmas season was dreaming about what gifts we might receive. We might or might not actually receive those gifts . . . but still, it was fun imagining we would.

Part of the fun of the upcoming election is dreaming about what gifts we might receive. We might or might not actually receive those gifts . . . but still, it is fun imagining we will.

Same thing here with Barney and Sean. It is BEYOND FUN to imagine Barney is ousted by Sean Bielet. We can contribute to Sean, make calls, promote him, walk his district . . . he might or might not win. Whichever way it turns out . . . right now . . it is fun to dream!!!

[PGR88]

For an incumbent, to be so far below 50%, (Frank at 44%) is not impressive at all.

[nhwingut]

Brown would be a huge help to Bielat. But he refuses to campaign for him - because Bielat criticized Brown’s vote on the Frank/Dodd FinReg bill.

[hampdenkid]

As much as I hate to say it, I think Sean will lose. Being under 40% at this point, with a double-digit deficit is just a little too much to overcome. The Enthusiasm Factor may be good for about three points (like the Homefield Advantage in the NFL). But, we must not overrate it.

The good news is that Sean is now perfectly positioned to take Fwank out the next time around. He needs to stay in the game, do the rubber chicken circuit, network in Washington, and lather up the high dollar donors over the next two years.

My prediction: if Sean does the above and polls strongly in early to mid 2012, Fwank will decide to retire and enjoy life as an atrophied, old queen.

[Steamburg]

The potential of this poll being accurate this close to the election are about as likely as them supporting a Republican Candidate. The subsequent questions including who is to blame for the financial crisis are indicative of a serious over sampling of the far left. However, Frank’s district is shaped like the terminal end of a large intestine for a reason.

[Longbow1969]

Ugh, female voters again. They really love them some Democrats.

[Rashputin]

I'd take that with a grain of salt. Think about it, you're a woman in the liberal Chithole of Mass. and someone taking a survey asks you who you're voting for. Would you really say you were voting for anyone other than Frank? I say that nine times out of ten people would say Frank even if they were dying to vote against him. That's how things work in a tyranny like MA, people are afraid to say what they really think to anyone who might be able to connect them to the comment they make.

Regards

[quantim]

“Both men” ?????????????

[Zakeet]

This appears to be a poll by the local SeeBS TV franchise. If so, it is not to be believed in any form or fashion.

A much better indication of the outcome is the response by the major parties. They have their own internal polls which are typically pretty good.

Both the Pubs and Rats are pouring money into the race. Some big time Rats are coming to town to stump for Fwank ... at this late stage when their time and money are especially precious. That speaks volumes.

In other words, reading the signs and signals, Bawney Boy is in big twouble.

[FroggyTheGremlim]

“among women he [Bielat] trails … 54.7 to 30.2”

Please, someone PLEASE explain this to me.

[Notwithstanding]

Poll end date: January 13, 2010,
Poll result: Coakley(49) ahead of Brown(41) by 8.
Election date: Januray 19, 2010 (just 6 days later)
Election result: Coakley (47) lost to Brown(52) by 5 (the poll had Brown under-polled by 11, and Coakley over-polled by 2).

Poll end date: October 17, 2010,
Poll result: Frank(49) ahead of Bielat(37) by 12.
Election date: November 2, 2010 (16 days after the poll)
Possible Election result: Frank(47) loses to Bielat(48) by 1 (if this poll also has Bielat under-polled by 11, and Frank over-polled by 2).

[cowtowney]

One reason Frank keeps getting reelected is because his congressional district is gerrymandered. See here:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Massachusetts%27s_4th_congressional_district.gif

[Noamie]

Read the poll sample FIRST and then you will discover why this looks so good for Frank:

Poll Sample (only 400 people):

DEMOCRAT: 42 %
REPUBLICAN: 16 %
INDEPENDENT: 40.3 %

53 % WOMEN

Analysis: This is a sampling of mainly Democrat female voters from Massachusetts. What do you expect.

Please stop posting polls unless there are at least 15+ over 2 months from multiple sources. Anything less is pretty useless and grossly misleading.

[FromLori]

barney’s taking money from the banks who got bailouts after he promised not too his opponent should be making that an issue!

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2612546/posts

[Ted Grant]

This is a tall order. It’s probably the best opportunity the GOP will have to beat Frank, ever.