[Jeff Head]

My data after the Michigan, Mississippi, Idaho, and Hawaii votes on the GOP side, and Michigan, Mississippi votes on the DNC side.

I will post another of these after next Tuesday's results.

Next Tuesday is going to advance things significantly IMHO.

IMHO, Rubio should get out before next Tuesday's vote...but I do not believe he can step away from it.

[Jeff Head]

Latest data

[marron]

There is no way Rubio gets out before Florida votes, though he should, he is not doing well by all accounts.

I am happy, my first choice and my second choice are in the lead for the nomination. So I am smiling. Unfortunately my first choice is still running behind my second choice... but the race isn’t over yet.

[kingu]

Of course, like most freepers, I merely skimmed your data without actually reading everything, so please jump down my throat if I missed it, but do you also analyze the results in states Romney lost (or won) comparing the DNC vs GOP vote percentages?

I mean, at the end of the day, while delegates are great, the ultimate prize is the White House, and knowing how candidates are performing not just in battleground states, but in ‘safe’ states would be important data for future prediction.

[Tuxedo]

Of the states won by Shrillary, I see only four that could go her way in the General, and of those, only one certain (MA).

[faucetman]

Do you know where I can find “detailed” information on the Michigan results? For instance, how Muslims voted and where.
Essentially, every demographic there is.
Hopefully, such a site would include other states as well.

[tacticalogic]

African American population. it was expected that these arewas would go 80% or better for HIllary Clinton and ultimately give her the victory in Michigan.

It didn't happen...and when they did come in, it was closer to a 60-40 split, which was the shock of the evening.

Hopefully that'll get worse if she throws Cheryl Mills under the bus to cover her own ass on the emails.

[deport]

Just a suggestion that may make the presentation more readable.

Get rid of the text centering and let it be left margin as in normal text.

[theoilpainter]

Nice analysis. Two thoughts: There will be no indictment from the all Democrat Grand Jury or the all Democrat DOJ and AG. Second, delegate count not with standing, Trump is on track to get the nomination despite only getting 35% of the Republican vote, and with substantial opposition from many in the “other” 65%. It is difficult to see how anyone could/should get such a nomination without at least 50% support from Republican voters.

[Wpin]

Good job, a bit biased towards Cruz but overall good for anyone to read. Thank you.

After reading it I would guess another way to put the analysis would be to say. Even after constant attack by establishment, PAC’s, Lobbyists, other Candidates, Media, etc. the American people loudly shout their preference TRUMP! Cruz’s only win was in the highly Mormon state of Idaho probably reflecting one of two states Romney actually hurt Trump.

That is a little more balanced don’t you think?

[poinq]

The problem with your charts is that you are not tracking time. You can’t show line charts without time. You should add the dates (or its easier to add week numbers starting from Feb.1) of each state primary to your spreadsheet and show a line chart from week to week. This shows momentum. You can show it cumulative or just added delegates. I think its also good to show percentages of delegates available in a given week.

[betty boop]

Thanks, Jeff, for this comprehensive report! Well done.

I agree with you about Marco Rubio, that he should step away but probably won't. I'm actually feeling very sorry for him.... I think he really messed up big time with his Don Rickles impersonation....

I'm looking forward to your next report of stats, after next Tuesday.

Thanks again for your excellent work!

[exit82]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Republican_Party_presidential_primaries,_2016#/media/File:Republican_Party_presidential_primaries_results_by_county,_2016.svg

Excellent county by county map of the primaries to date.

[GOPJ]

It was expected that Bernie would do well in Ann Arbor and in other rural areas, but throughout the night everyone waited for the returns to come in from the Detroit metropolitan area, with its large African American population. it was expected that these arewas would go 80% or better for HIllary Clinton and ultimately give her the victory in Michigan. It didn't happen...and when they did come in, it was closer to a 60-40 split, which was the shock of the evening.

Was there any exit polling to back this up as 'real'?