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Cruz Outmaneuvering Trump in Battle for Rubio Delegates
National Review ^ | 04/14/2016 | by BRENDAN BORDELON & ELIANA JOHNSON

Posted on 04/15/2016 7:07:41 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

Marco Rubio won Minnesota decisively on March 1, but the 17 delegates he was awarded are now up for grabs, free to vote for any candidate they like on a first ballot at the Republican National Convention in Cleveland.

In a hotly contested Republican primary that looks increasingly likely to culminate in a contested convention this summer, those delegates will be critical. The battle for them is essentially throwing states such as Minnesota, which have already held their nominating contests, back into play as they elect delegates at state conventions. And Ted Cruz’s campaign, which has run circles around Donald Trump’s in the behind-the-scenes battle to elect friendly delegates from states that aren’t holding primaries or caucuses, is also a step ahead in the fight for the Rubio delegates who will be free to give him an extra boost on a first ballot at the convention.

Minnesota hasn’t elected its delegates yet, but the state’s Republican-party chairman, Keith Downey, is already steeling himself for blowback from Trump supporters if and when Cruz emerges from his state with the lion’s share of the delegates.

“If somebody didn’t educate themselves on that process, or they weren’t very good at working through that process, so be it,” he says. “That’s life, and that’s politics.”

Of the 171 delegates Rubio won before dropping out of the race, the 17 he took home in Minnesota, the twelve in Oklahoma, and the two he picked up in New Hampshire are now free agents. In Minnesota and Oklahoma, Rubio’s delegates are obligated only to cast a ballot for him if he is formally nominated, while in New Hampshire they’re entirely unbound.

“Our state rules say if someone is not on the ballot, they are free to vote for whomever they choose,” Oklahoma GOP chairwoman Pam Pollard told NBC News. Cruz won Oklahoma handily on March 1, but Rubio also received twelve delegates for his third-place showing. A Cruz campaign aide says the team has mounted a “very aggressive effort” to win over delegates in every state, including Minnesota and Oklahoma. A spokesman for the Trump campaign did not respond to a request for comment about its efforts on the ground in the two states.

Since both Minnesota and Oklahoma have yet to choose their delegates, they offer the campaigns fertile ground to rack up new supporters. Cruz is taking advantage of the opportunity. Jeff Johnson, who served as Rubio’s campaign manager in Minnesota but has since endorsed Cruz, says that much of Rubio’s organization in the state has mobilized behind Cruz, helping his campaign as it works to woo delegate candidates. “That organization is still in place, we’re just kind of adding to it,” he says of Rubio’s infrastructure in the state. “We’re joining.”

In both states, delegates will be chosen through a series of congressional-district conventions held over the next month and a half before a final convention in May. The elaborate process will benefit campaigns that have extensive, well-established statewide organizations — organizations that several state Republican officials say only the Cruz campaign possesses.

Minnesota GOP officials say the Cruz campaign is working to win over delegates, with a particular focus on those who are unbound. “There have been a number of people, either via e-mail or at [local] conventions, campaigning specifically to be a national Cruz delegate,” says Chris Tiedeman, the state’s Republican national committeeman. “And there have been a number of them going to other conventions, other than their own local convention, to start campaigning for those spots now.”

As it was in Colorado and North Dakota, which both elected unbound slates of delegates favorable to Cruz after forgoing primaries and caucuses entirely, it appears that the Trump campaign is being outmaneuvered on the ground in Oklahoma and Minnesota. Several Minnesota GOP officials say they don’t know who is leading the pro-Trump effort in their state, and Tiedeman says there’s little to suggest the real-estate mogul is doing anything to secure unbound delegates there. “That doesn’t mean it’s not happening, but I haven’t seen it anywhere I’ve been,” he says. “And I’ve been out and about quite a bit.”

There’s a small chance Rubio could bind Minnesota and Oklahoma delegates to him on a first ballot — that is, in the unlikely event his name appears on the ballot. But even if one assumes that the RNC’s Rule 40(b) is amended to place Rubio in contention, Rubio supporters say it’s still unlikely he will appear on the ballot. (The rules currently require a candidate to secure a petition featuring the signature of a majority of the delegates from eight states in order to be nominated, and Rubio won only four states and territories.) That’s because collecting the signatures of a majority of the delegates in the required number of states would take a strong, organized effort on the ground in Cleveland, and Rubio is unlikely to pull it off.

According to one longtime RNC member, “Just because you won a state doesn’t necessarily mean you’re going to have enough people in that delegate slate signing your petition. It’s a matter of high panic even when you’re Mitt Romney or George W. Bush.” It’s simply not something a non-candidate such as Rubio will do, he says, because, “Getting the petitions is still a pain in the ass and an uncertain prospect.”

“It’s not going to happen,” says Johnson, Rubio’s Minnesota campaign chairman.

Rubio himself tipped his hand for the first time this week about which candidate he’d like to see win the nomination. Though he stopped short of an official endorsement, he told radio talk-show host Mark Levin Tuesday that he wants a conservative nominee and that Cruz is the only candidate left who “fits the criteria.”

In a nail-biter, his delegates may help deliver Cruz the prize.

— Brendan Bordelon is a political reporter for National Review. Eliana Johnson is the Washington editor of National Review.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: agitprop; cruz; cruzorlose; delegates; dumptrump; howarddeanredux; itsnotfair; lemonadestand; losertrump; luzer; rubio; rump; toostupidtowin; trump; trumpanzees; trumpcult; trumpdisease; unipatsy; yellowjournalism; youcruzyoulose
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To: rrrod

RE: Cruz cannot win. Period.

Are you referring to the GOP nomination or the general elections?


81 posted on 04/15/2016 6:08:20 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Why should they? The burden of proof is on who makes the accusation, and since this was a Herman Cain-like hit piece on Ted Cruz, what matters is Cruz has long denied this smear, as has his wife.

The fact so many people lust for any syllable emanating from those pathetic excuses for “publications” is a sad comment on their tenuous-at-best grasp on reality.


82 posted on 04/15/2016 7:26:47 PM PDT by ScottinVA (Orange is the new black.. apparently.)
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To: SeekAndFind

BTW, my last comment was rhetorical, and not directed at you..


83 posted on 04/15/2016 7:30:27 PM PDT by ScottinVA (Orange is the new black.. apparently.)
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To: ScottinVA
You're welcome to tag them with the "yellow journalism" label.

Otherwise, you may fill out a FR butthurt report:


84 posted on 04/15/2016 7:59:23 PM PDT by kiryandil (.)
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To: kiryandil

That form is awfully involved.


85 posted on 04/15/2016 8:00:29 PM PDT by combat_boots (The Lion of Judah cometh. Hallelujah. Gloria Patri, Filio et Spiritui Sancto!)
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To: tirednvirginia
Until it happens voters cant see for themselves. Now we see.

However did the dumb old bumbling oaf Trump get the BRILLIANT Kim Jong Cruz to stumble into the Colorado Tar-Baby?

LOL!

86 posted on 04/15/2016 8:02:50 PM PDT by kiryandil (.)
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To: SeekAndFind

either.


87 posted on 04/15/2016 10:14:04 PM PDT by rrrod (just an old guy with a gun in his pocket.l)
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To: SeekAndFind

either.


88 posted on 04/15/2016 10:14:04 PM PDT by rrrod (just an old guy with a gun in his pocket.l)
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To: kiryandil

Very cute.

I notice you don’t refute my point.


89 posted on 04/16/2016 5:52:49 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Orange is the new black.. apparently.)
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To: rrrod

RE: either

Then we’re screwed. Unless Hillary gets indicted, the polls look like Trump is going to get a major thrashing in the general.

67% disapproval is a huge mountain to climb, especially for someone people know.


90 posted on 04/16/2016 6:28:58 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: ScottinVA
You don't have a point.

Use your keyboard. Are your fingers broken?

91 posted on 04/16/2016 9:00:58 AM PDT by kiryandil (.)
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To: kiryandil

Apparently I have to explain it to you, trumpette, but I won’t, because you won’t understand it anyway.


92 posted on 04/16/2016 6:15:54 PM PDT by ScottinVA (Orange is the new black.. apparently.)
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To: SeekAndFind

“Then we’re screwed. Unless Hillary gets indicted, the polls look like Trump is going to get a major thrashing in the general.”

The trumpettes aren’t interested in victory. Their sole objective is the destruction of the GOP.


93 posted on 04/16/2016 6:18:20 PM PDT by ScottinVA (Orange is the new black.. apparently.)
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To: ScottinVA
Cruzbonics is a primitive language. I have trouble with the grunts, sometimes.

The surprising thing is that breaking wind is actually part of the language...

94 posted on 04/16/2016 6:53:47 PM PDT by kiryandil (.)
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To: kiryandil

How interesting, since grunting and screeching are the signature sounds of the trumpanzee “communicative” process.


95 posted on 04/16/2016 7:56:47 PM PDT by ScottinVA (Orange is the new black.. apparently.)
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To: Chgogal

I have begun stocking up on toilet paper.

heh


96 posted on 04/20/2016 5:15:18 AM PDT by JEDI4S (ALL YOUR DELEGATES ARE BELONG TO US! The Cruzades are on! TALLY HO!)
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To: SeekAndFind
If somebody didn’t educate themselves on that process, or they weren’t very good at working through that process, so be it,” he says. “That’s life, and that’s politics.”

Ted Cruz says to the American people


97 posted on 04/20/2016 5:19:57 AM PDT by jpsb (Never believe anything in politics until it has been officially denied. Otto von Bismark)
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To: jpsb

RE: Ted Cruz “Your Vote Doesn’t Count”

Is it “fair” that Trump should receive all fifty delegates in South Carolina with only 32.5% of the vote, while Marco Rubio receives less than half of Minnesota’s delegates though winning with 36.5% of the vote, and while Ted Cruz receives only 60% of the delegates in Kansas despite earning 48.2% of the vote?

Is it “fair” that Trump gets 100% of the delegates for 45.7% of the vote (1,077,221 votes) in Florida, while Cruz gets only 67% of the delegates for 43.8% of the vote (1,239,370 votes) in Texas, or 52% of the delegates for 45.9% of the vote in Maine?

Shouldn’t other candidates be whining about the unfairness of these Trump-friendly results? No — because they knew the rules, just as Trump knew the rules in Colorado.

Trump has benefitted from open primaries in which Democrats are, for reasons unfathomable to mere mortals, allowed to participate in a GOP nominating process. (When a private business is electing its new CEO, does it invite the boards of directors of other companies to participate in the voting?) The most obvious case was perhaps Missouri, where Trump and Cruz finished in a virtual dead heat, 40.8% to 40.6%, and yet Trump’s 0.2% advantage earned him twelve extra delegates for the statewide win. Without Democrats, the popular vote would likely have gone to Cruz, resulting in a twenty-four delegate swing in Cruz’s favor. (It’s impossible to verify party affiliations from exit polls, but the Missouri exit poll estimates 5% of voters as Democrats, and shows Trump winning self-described “moderates” by almost two to one over Cruz.)

To make a long story short — the JPG you posted is baloney.


98 posted on 04/20/2016 6:55:31 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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