Posted on 04/15/2016 7:07:41 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
Marco Rubio won Minnesota decisively on March 1, but the 17 delegates he was awarded are now up for grabs, free to vote for any candidate they like on a first ballot at the Republican National Convention in Cleveland.
In a hotly contested Republican primary that looks increasingly likely to culminate in a contested convention this summer, those delegates will be critical. The battle for them is essentially throwing states such as Minnesota, which have already held their nominating contests, back into play as they elect delegates at state conventions. And Ted Cruzs campaign, which has run circles around Donald Trumps in the behind-the-scenes battle to elect friendly delegates from states that arent holding primaries or caucuses, is also a step ahead in the fight for the Rubio delegates who will be free to give him an extra boost on a first ballot at the convention.
Minnesota hasnt elected its delegates yet, but the states Republican-party chairman, Keith Downey, is already steeling himself for blowback from Trump supporters if and when Cruz emerges from his state with the lions share of the delegates.
If somebody didnt educate themselves on that process, or they werent very good at working through that process, so be it, he says. Thats life, and thats politics.
Of the 171 delegates Rubio won before dropping out of the race, the 17 he took home in Minnesota, the twelve in Oklahoma, and the two he picked up in New Hampshire are now free agents. In Minnesota and Oklahoma, Rubios delegates are obligated only to cast a ballot for him if he is formally nominated, while in New Hampshire theyre entirely unbound.
Our state rules say if someone is not on the ballot, they are free to vote for whomever they choose, Oklahoma GOP chairwoman Pam Pollard told NBC News. Cruz won Oklahoma handily on March 1, but Rubio also received twelve delegates for his third-place showing. A Cruz campaign aide says the team has mounted a very aggressive effort to win over delegates in every state, including Minnesota and Oklahoma. A spokesman for the Trump campaign did not respond to a request for comment about its efforts on the ground in the two states.
Since both Minnesota and Oklahoma have yet to choose their delegates, they offer the campaigns fertile ground to rack up new supporters. Cruz is taking advantage of the opportunity. Jeff Johnson, who served as Rubios campaign manager in Minnesota but has since endorsed Cruz, says that much of Rubios organization in the state has mobilized behind Cruz, helping his campaign as it works to woo delegate candidates. That organization is still in place, were just kind of adding to it, he says of Rubios infrastructure in the state. Were joining.
In both states, delegates will be chosen through a series of congressional-district conventions held over the next month and a half before a final convention in May. The elaborate process will benefit campaigns that have extensive, well-established statewide organizations organizations that several state Republican officials say only the Cruz campaign possesses.
Minnesota GOP officials say the Cruz campaign is working to win over delegates, with a particular focus on those who are unbound. There have been a number of people, either via e-mail or at [local] conventions, campaigning specifically to be a national Cruz delegate, says Chris Tiedeman, the states Republican national committeeman. And there have been a number of them going to other conventions, other than their own local convention, to start campaigning for those spots now.
As it was in Colorado and North Dakota, which both elected unbound slates of delegates favorable to Cruz after forgoing primaries and caucuses entirely, it appears that the Trump campaign is being outmaneuvered on the ground in Oklahoma and Minnesota. Several Minnesota GOP officials say they dont know who is leading the pro-Trump effort in their state, and Tiedeman says theres little to suggest the real-estate mogul is doing anything to secure unbound delegates there. That doesnt mean its not happening, but I havent seen it anywhere Ive been, he says. And Ive been out and about quite a bit.
Theres a small chance Rubio could bind Minnesota and Oklahoma delegates to him on a first ballot that is, in the unlikely event his name appears on the ballot. But even if one assumes that the RNCs Rule 40(b) is amended to place Rubio in contention, Rubio supporters say its still unlikely he will appear on the ballot. (The rules currently require a candidate to secure a petition featuring the signature of a majority of the delegates from eight states in order to be nominated, and Rubio won only four states and territories.) Thats because collecting the signatures of a majority of the delegates in the required number of states would take a strong, organized effort on the ground in Cleveland, and Rubio is unlikely to pull it off.
According to one longtime RNC member, Just because you won a state doesnt necessarily mean youre going to have enough people in that delegate slate signing your petition. Its a matter of high panic even when youre Mitt Romney or George W. Bush. Its simply not something a non-candidate such as Rubio will do, he says, because, Getting the petitions is still a pain in the ass and an uncertain prospect.
Its not going to happen, says Johnson, Rubios Minnesota campaign chairman.
Rubio himself tipped his hand for the first time this week about which candidate hed like to see win the nomination. Though he stopped short of an official endorsement, he told radio talk-show host Mark Levin Tuesday that he wants a conservative nominee and that Cruz is the only candidate left who fits the criteria.
In a nail-biter, his delegates may help deliver Cruz the prize.
Brendan Bordelon is a political reporter for National Review. Eliana Johnson is the Washington editor of National Review.
RE: Cruz cannot win. Period.
Are you referring to the GOP nomination or the general elections?
Why should they? The burden of proof is on who makes the accusation, and since this was a Herman Cain-like hit piece on Ted Cruz, what matters is Cruz has long denied this smear, as has his wife.
The fact so many people lust for any syllable emanating from those pathetic excuses for “publications” is a sad comment on their tenuous-at-best grasp on reality.
BTW, my last comment was rhetorical, and not directed at you..
Otherwise, you may fill out a FR butthurt report:
That form is awfully involved.
However did the dumb old bumbling oaf Trump get the BRILLIANT Kim Jong Cruz to stumble into the Colorado Tar-Baby?
LOL!
either.
either.
Very cute.
I notice you don’t refute my point.
RE: either
Then we’re screwed. Unless Hillary gets indicted, the polls look like Trump is going to get a major thrashing in the general.
67% disapproval is a huge mountain to climb, especially for someone people know.
Use your keyboard. Are your fingers broken?
Apparently I have to explain it to you, trumpette, but I won’t, because you won’t understand it anyway.
“Then were screwed. Unless Hillary gets indicted, the polls look like Trump is going to get a major thrashing in the general.”
The trumpettes aren’t interested in victory. Their sole objective is the destruction of the GOP.
The surprising thing is that breaking wind is actually part of the language...
How interesting, since grunting and screeching are the signature sounds of the trumpanzee “communicative” process.
I have begun stocking up on toilet paper.
heh
Ted Cruz says to the American people
RE: Ted Cruz “Your Vote Doesn’t Count”
Is it “fair” that Trump should receive all fifty delegates in South Carolina with only 32.5% of the vote, while Marco Rubio receives less than half of Minnesota’s delegates though winning with 36.5% of the vote, and while Ted Cruz receives only 60% of the delegates in Kansas despite earning 48.2% of the vote?
Is it “fair” that Trump gets 100% of the delegates for 45.7% of the vote (1,077,221 votes) in Florida, while Cruz gets only 67% of the delegates for 43.8% of the vote (1,239,370 votes) in Texas, or 52% of the delegates for 45.9% of the vote in Maine?
Shouldn’t other candidates be whining about the unfairness of these Trump-friendly results? No — because they knew the rules, just as Trump knew the rules in Colorado.
Trump has benefitted from open primaries in which Democrats are, for reasons unfathomable to mere mortals, allowed to participate in a GOP nominating process. (When a private business is electing its new CEO, does it invite the boards of directors of other companies to participate in the voting?) The most obvious case was perhaps Missouri, where Trump and Cruz finished in a virtual dead heat, 40.8% to 40.6%, and yet Trump’s 0.2% advantage earned him twelve extra delegates for the statewide win. Without Democrats, the popular vote would likely have gone to Cruz, resulting in a twenty-four delegate swing in Cruz’s favor. (It’s impossible to verify party affiliations from exit polls, but the Missouri exit poll estimates 5% of voters as Democrats, and shows Trump winning self-described “moderates” by almost two to one over Cruz.)
To make a long story short — the JPG you posted is baloney.
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