Dueling polls show Blackburn, Bredesen with leads

Nashville Post ^ | July 17, 2018 | Stephen Elliott

[ConservativeMind]

Several recent polls about the race to succeed U.S. Sen. Bob Corker show one thing: The political battle between former Democratic Gov. Phil Bredesen and Republican U.S. Rep. Marsha Blackburn is so far a tossup.

One recent poll, commissioned by a group linked to Senate Democrats, found Bredesen with a lead within the margin of error. A poll released Tuesday and commissioned by a pro-Trump group found Blackburn with a slim lead, though she received less support (38 percent) than in previous surveys released by the group in February and December, when she enjoyed support among likely voters north of 40 percent.

A new poll, seemingly an outlier, conducted by SurveyMonkey on behalf of Axios, found Blackburn with a 14-point lead, but Emerson College on Monday released another showing Bredesen with a six-point advantage.

[ConservativeMind]

Marsha is a good candidate, from what I know.

We will be donating through the Senate Conservatives Fund site to get a little more to her (no credit card fees taken out).

[FLT-bird]

This race concerns me as do the ones in Arizona and Nevada. We really do not need to lose a Senate seat in a solid red state like Tennessee....or Arizona for that matter. It would be more understandable in Nevada.

I think there’s a good chance of picking off Democrat Senators in Florida, Indiana, North Dakota, Missouri and maybe Montana.

[MuttTheHoople]

She’s also a Mississippi State graduate, which makes her superior to Ole Miss graduates like Shepard Smith, Trent Lott, and Thad Cochran.

[McGavin999]

Arizona would be really bad since the dem is an openly bisexual woman that will have a lot of money behind her. The pubbies have been tearing each other apart and whoever wins the primary will have a lot of damage.

[Zhang Fei]

Bredesen won a second gubernatorial term 70% to 30%. I wouldn’t write him off. In this race, Blackburn is the dark horse candidate. She will need to up her game to beat him.

[Zhang Fei]

[The pubbies have been tearing each other apart and whoever wins the primary will have a lot of damage.]

---

It’s too bad the primary is so late in the game. It would have been better if AZ had held them in May.

[McGavin999]

It would also be better if we had a closed primary

[buckalfa]

"We really do not need to lose a Senate seat in a solid red state like Tennessee."

Relatives in Memphis and Nashville say turnout is the key for Blackburn. Unfortunately they also say the urban demographic in the state are being fueled to have an Alabama type turnout.

[Zhang Fei]

[It would also be better if we had a closed primary]

---

That’s good for picking a more conservative candidate, but it doesn’t help in the general. Open primaries given each party a chance to pick a candidate with a better chance of winning in November. So I understand why a roughly balanced state like AZ (Trump by 3.5%) has open primaries. Why SC (Trump by 14%) has open primaries is a different question.

[fieldmarshaldj]

The 2006 TN Gubernatorial race was a joke. Although Bredesen had an on-paper decent opponent in State Senator Jim Bryson, the latter hardly contested it. Bredesen’s victory was a mile wide and an inch deep. He was of no help to Harold Ford, Jr. in the Senate race and the Dems didn’t gain a single seat in the legislature (and the GOP held the Senate, which it won under Bredesen’s watch).

[fieldmarshaldj]

Open primaries serve only to give Democrats the opportunity to select Republican nominees. That must end.

[upchuck]

Marsha

Blackburn

for

Senate

Ping

If you'd like to be on or off the Marsha Blackburn ping list, just click Private Reply below and drop me a FReepmail.

[Zhang Fei]

[Open primaries serve only to give Democrats the opportunity to select Republican nominees. That must end.]

---

That candidate will also appeal to centrists, which helps in a roughly evenly-split state like AZ. In the general, middle-of-the-road independents might vote for a moderate Republican like McSally. They definitely won’t vote for Kelli Ward. AZ is suffering greatly from Hispanic demographic creep. It’s not that Hispanics are 100% Democrats, just as Italians and Irish were never that way many decades ago, even though they clearly favored the Dems. It’s that today, they are giving the Democrats a 7:3 edge and their growing relative numbers in the electorate are shifting the ground towards Democrats.

[pangaea6]

I just dont understand how a dem in a red state like TN has a chance. It boggles the mind people vote dem one time and Republican another. Hard that they dont know all dems are alike. Total brains of mush compliments of MSM. When is Trump gonna get out and rally his voters?

[fieldmarshaldj]

If you have to nominate RINOs in order to “win”, you’ve already lost. What’s the point of replacing Jeff Flake with Marfa McQueeg, whose voting record is to the LEFT of his (!) when he is already execrable ? It’s insane. You might as well keep Flake.

[fieldmarshaldj]

Bredesen is the only candidate with a remote chance of winning, but it’s not going to happen. First of all, he’s too damn old. He’s in his mid 70s. What is he going to accomplish in the Senate ? You need about two terms to acquire any power. He’ll be 87-88 in 12 years (probably dead).

Absent Bredesen, there’s no farm team of Democrats left. The two Democrats in the House, one is my Congressman from Nashville (Jim Cooper), and he already ran for the Senate in 1994 against the late Fred Thompson and lost. The other is from Memphis, the psychotic rabid Communist, racist and anti-Christian bigot, Steve Cohen.

That leaves the Mayors next, and they’re nothing much to speak of. Our ex-Mayor of Nashville is expected to be the nominee for Governor, but even he knows he’ll be lucky to breach 40% of the vote unless he gets a really crap GOP opponent (possible, if a RINO wins on Tuesday, and 2 of the male candidates are, with only Diane Black being the viable candidate).

[Zhang Fei]

[If you have to nominate RINOs in order to “win”, you’ve already lost. What’s the point of replacing Jeff Flake with Marfa McQueeg, whose voting record is to the LEFT of his (!) when he is already execrable ? It’s insane. You might as well keep Flake.]

---

Flake isn’t much of a Republican, but he’s far to the right of any Democratic senator. And I mean *any* Democrat senator. Flake knocked himself out of the race by repeatedly ragging on Trump. But he could have done himself, Trump and the AZ GOP a huge favor and just kept his trap shut. Then we wouldn’t be in this predicament.

[fieldmarshaldj]

The predicament is keeping open primaries. Without them, frauds like Flake, McQueeg, Marfa and the other RINO buffoons wouldn’t remotely stand of a chance of being nominated.

[McGavin999]

The only reason we have open primaries is so McCain could get re elected

[elcid1970]

The problem areas in Tennessee are Nashville and Memphis; the latter is brain dead minority dominance, the former is the Islamic Triangle of Nashville, Shelbyville and Murfreesboro and there is no end of pandering to muzzies in America these days.

My hopes & prayers are with Marsha Blackburn.