Have you punched a pinko socialist today?
Don’t tell these reprobate losers but throw them out even if they vote for Judge Kavanaugh. What a bunch of duplicitous degenerates.
Manchin was the most likely to survive... but given this Kavanaugh stuff, even he’s a long shot, and formerly “SAFE” places for the Dems... such as MN, and WI may get into play..
Manchin will vote to confirm, unless of course his vote would seal the nomination.. then, and only then, he MAY be willing to take the bribe from the left and vote no.. but he knows his political career is OVER if he voters no... Kavanaugh is supported by 80% iin WV... He votes no, he knows he’s done... The ONLY way I can see Manchin even considering a no vote, would be if his yes vote would be the one to put it over the top....
Depending on the poll you look at Heitkamp dropped 6-8 points OVERNIGHT after she announce (foolishly I might ad) that she was a no.
Donnelly, announced NO, to only backpedal to a maybe in less than 48 hours.
if the Kavanaugh fiasco is a general 6-8 point swing, particularly in fly over country..... Dems are looking at a loss of possibly 10 seats or more in the Senate.
A 8 point swing puts places that weren’t even remotely in play, on the map.
I said going into this fall, that I expect the GOP to gain 6+ in the Senate, and if the wind blows just right, they could see double digit gains.
Thanks to this Kavanaugh fiasco, the winds are looking more and more like they may blow just right....
Any shot at retaking the house by the Dems, is GONE.... They will be luck at this point if they don’t lose seats there too. I’d say at least 50-50 odds republicans gain seats, and its ALL due to this Kavanaugh nonsense.... A completely self inflicted wound for the Dems.
Kavanaugh will be confirmed 52-55 votes... the Dems will be going crazy for at least a few weeks after, on full display for the world to see, going into late October...
They are toast.... The idea that somehow stopping Kavanaugh would A) happen and B) help them win the Senate was beyond a pipe dream.
First thing on the docket in January 2018, once the new Senate is seated, should be the censure of Pelosi for her behavior in this. Investigation and prosecution of everyone involved in illegal activities around this...
That's rich. The Dems have destroyed what was left of due process to try and keep Kavanaugh off the Supreme Court. The only destroyers look themselves in the mirror in the morning.
Key updates here:
First, in the article the key line is that the Ds are in “disbelief” that Judge K hasn’t dropped out. It’s clear now THIS was plan A. They never thought Manchin-on-a-Hill, Heitkamp, Donnelly, and Testicles would have to vote and put their seats in jeopardy. Testicles says he’s a no, as does Donnelly. I wonder though if that wasn’t for show, and if their internal polling isn’t telling them something different?
Baris tells me he is moving IN today. Baris is the pollster, but I think even he is a tad behind the curve just because of the lag nature of polling, and I think already we’re seeing in ND and MO that the Judge K stuff is a difference maker. Therefore, I think Donnelly is already toast, I think Testicles is actually in trouble, but probably not trailing quite yet, and Manchin-on-a-Hill is a tossup along with Hugin (who is likely down 3-4, cuz, well, it’s Joisey).
BUT, even more important, we are seeing STEADY, CONSISTENT SHIFTS ACROSS THE BOARD. Mike Coffman, considered a dead man walking in his CO House seat, is suddenly now tied in internal polling. Hearing Dino Rossi is up in his district. Hearing that in fact Barbara Comstock has comeback and leads, which is huge. I think she was considered the “mos” vulnerable House member. Hunter up in CA. The guy in NC now appears safe. FL27, once a sure loss, is a slight lean R, and FL 7 saw the D candidate die (!).
I still have 3 seats gone in PA, Blum in IA, McSally’s seat in AZ (until I hear differently), Bishop in MI, one in NJ, and am throwing in Tenney in NY (though she is in a very red district), Collins in NY (but ditto), and one in CA (could end up being 2-3 losses, or one net flip). That gives me 10 losses, 2 D-R flips (MN), and 5 tossups for a total max loss of 13. There are some possible D-R flips though, including NV4, Antonio Sabato’s Ventura CA district, and the FL7 seat I mentioned. Enema’s seat in AZ is in a slight red district, but heavy with indies from ASU. Still, a low D turnout could flip that one.
In terms of voter enthusiasm, off the charts now for the Rs.
Baris confirms this. He had one Senate poll flip a full nine points to the R during the Judge K crap.
It’s clear form the Hill article today that the Ds (they are in “disbelief” K didn’t drop out) NEVER expected their idiots to have to defend their anti K votes. That’s very bad for Donnelly, Manchin, McCaskill, and Testicles.
Going out on a limb but I wouldn’t be surprised if, even after at first announcing a “no”, Donnelly didn’t say after the FBI report, “you know, nothing came back so I will vote yes.”
Democratic Underground website encouraging members to go to FBI agents to report Kavanaugh “crimes”:
https://www.democraticunderground.com/100211220893
Sent: Monday, October 1, 2018 6:32 PM
To: rachel@msnbc.com
Subject: Fw: Publicize a way to get Kav reports into FBI records anyway
Sent: Monday, October 1, 2018 6:01 PM
To: sargentg@washpost.com
Subject: Publicize a way to get Kav reports into FBI records anyway
Hi Greg:
I think this workaround will work; check with your Bureau sources about whether it will.
Do your best to get the word out, FAST, that if you have relevant info on Kavanaugh or Mark Judge, to not call the FBI and wait for a call back, because that’s probably been specifically prohibited by McCabe and Trump until the 7 days are up.
Tell people to instead PHYSICALLY GO TO AN FBI OFFICE, tell them you’re there to REPORT A FEDERAL CRIME, and then sit in their damn lobby and refuse to leave until a SPECIAL AGENT TAKES YOUR REPORT.
INSIST you want to report the crime RIGHT THERE AND THEN, and don’t let them put you off. Because they probably will if you let them, Christopher Wray is almost surely under presidential orders to essentially run out the clock on this background investigation (BI) extension.
Thursday Sep. 27, 2018 Brett Kavanaugh committed maybe 100 federal crimes. He lied under oath to Congress about that many times, and everybody witnessed it. Whichever lie he told that a person has specific knowledge is false, is the federal crime to report there in the FBI field office.
And again, you must INSIST on reporting what you know to be a federal crime, based on whatever information you have that is contrary to his lie. Be prepared for the field office agents to try to not take the report, by saying it falls under a BI that a special team of agents is doing and you’d need to report it directly to them. Well, that special BI team of agents are not going to talk to you until after Friday, if then.
So INSIST. There has been a federal crime committed, and you insist on reporting what you know about it, right then and there.
Stay until you do.
Ask for a photocopy of the statement you sign.
Take the special agent’s name. I believe they’re required to submit it within 24 hours of receiving the report. Ask to be emailed and mailed a copy of it.
When you leave, immediately send all of the particulars to the Democratic senator of your choice. And to the Washington Post, New York Times, New Yorker, CNN, MSNBC, Guardian, and whatever other media of your choice. Probably the FBI will instruct you not to disclose your report to anybody... “ongoing investigation” and all that. I’d do it anyway and take my chances, because to not will probably be to have accomplished nothing.
If everyone who knows factually about a Kavanaugh lie to Congress does this immediately, we can at least get the reports physically into the FBI somewhere. And Democratic senators, the principled media, and the American public hopefully can successfully demand that the reports be taken into account before a final vote to confirm Kavanaugh.
I hope this works. We are in a fast-moving constitutional crisis created by a dishonest authoritarian president and his Republican senator co-conspirators. The White House is in the position to make Christopher Wray run out the clock while avoiding any new negative information about Kavanaugh in a sham of a BI. And we need to do everything can to counter this, right NOW.
Thank you.
McCaskill is going to get tossed in MO. She has a competent opponent this time.
Heitcamp is down 10 points in the polls to her competitor. My guess is that Trump is telling Kavanagh to hang tough. Claire McCaskill is in big trouble too.
Since 0bama has driven the wedge in, I “need” to know if you are a wymyn.
Doesn’t make much difference, but it becomes a point of information.
Crazy times....
Landmark poll shows tight race for Georgia gov, a divide over Kavanaugh
I hope nobody is suggesting these Dims would vote against their party’s ideals...just to get re-elected.
Oh, the horror...
Just put some ice on it.
All well and good, but we are being held Hostage by two Red State Republicans, Flake and Murkowski.
Collins is in Blue Maine. Well, mostly blue anyway. We can only afford to lose one of those three, and I am pretty sure that flakey Flake is already a NO Vote.
Just think of all the ways that the Dems have painted themselves into a corner right now... and then marvel at how anyone still supports them. It is really a testament to the power of televised propaganda and social media manipulation.
They face a nightmare if the economy improves, if healthcare improves, if international relations improve, if we are successful against ISIS, if we find a diplomatic victory over Iran or North Korea or Russia or China, if consumer confidence increases, if housing start are up, if the environment doesn't have a calamity, if global temperatures do not rise, if ocean levels do not rise...
In short, if anything good happens, or anything bad does not happen... they are at risk. They have to hope for bad days for America and the world so that they can climb back into power... and yet, somehow, they find half of the nation fervently behind them, hoping for the same things.
Thankfully, most of those good things ARE happening, and the bad mostly are not. Pray that it continues and more people begin to see what the Left openly hopes for.