Posted on 10/17/2018 8:59:43 AM PDT by Kaslin
Good to see that OH is going to be contested. It really burns me that Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania were not highly contested races. I am hoping for an upset in one of those races.
Its not so much the new “electoral map”, as much as the weak weak candidates...
Casey should be a cakewalk to take out, but the GOP isn’t even trying.. Lou is clearly the better candidate, but with no money and terrible messaging, not a shot in hell he is going to win.
The GOP seems to not want to learn the lessons of Trump.. what little messaging they offer up here, just isn’t going to win them anything... You can’t run a campaign here like you can in the deep south... simply calling the D names isn’t going to win here.
Sorry, Senior moment and the GOP guy’s name escaped me.
I grew up in PA, and Casey should have been a prime target. Barletta is a good candidate from the working class northeast, but the messaging has been very poor.
LS, where did you get the early Ohio numbers? I am curious to keep track.
""Meg Whitman ran for governor of California in the 2010 election and her campaign was largely self-funded. She spent more of her own money on this effort than any other self-funded political candidate in U.S. history[7] and ultimately lost to Jerry Brown.""
Whitman didn't lose because the was Republican. She lost because she was employing illegal aliens, lied about it then was proven a liar. Tens of thousands of Republicans just stay home and refused to vote for that poser.
And btw, Clinton outspent Trump big league from Trump's $285 million, compared to Clinton's $609 !!!
:) You can’t.
They are proprietary. I work with a couple of guys in OH, “Ohio Wan” and “The Accountant,” who have unique access and who have done unprecedented work on analyzing Ohio “unaffiliated” voters.
Messaging throughout the entire upper midwest has been absolutely WRONG....
PA18 and OH12 should have told the GOP ecosphere that, but they are just tone deaf...
Thanks LS, I thought maybe there was a website with the data similar to Florida. That explains why I have been unable to find it for Ohio!
Another race that is flying under the radar is the Baldwin-Vukmir race. Remember that everyone had Ron Johnson losing handily in the polls in 2016. Walker is on the top of the ballot, how many ballot splitters will there be?
True. I said if Walker wins by 5, she has a chance, but Johnson was an incumbent. Big difference. And NO dirt yet on Baldwin.
OH Sec State does post absentee #s, but unless you have a way (as we do) of accounting for the huge #of “unaffiliated” voters, it won’t do you any good. These are NOT “indies.” In OH if you don’t vote in the previous election, including a primary, the SecState considers you a “U.”
Because Orangeman bad! Duh.
I guarantee that if there are 6 races too close to call that the Democrat candidate will win all six.
Well slap me upside the head! Duh!
The word was that she was battling an illness and he then dropped out of the race. He had been planning to run for 6 years in a rematch - he had already ran against him before in 2012 and was married to the same person then without apparently being told she would not go to DC. It is a shame as this time around he was outpolling him.
Right. It’s his choice, and if he put family first, good for him.
Personally, I’m NOT sure he was the “shoo-in” everyone else thinks. I think it would be the same battle as Renacci is fighting.
Case in point:
I left the GOP when the Senate refused to have a real trial with witnesses for Bill Xlinton.
Then around 2008 I simply quit voting.
I came out of voter retirement to cast one vote in 2016 and that was for Donald Trump. Not Republicans.
I had planned on sitting out the midterms.
However as things progressed through the Senate Confirmation hearings coupled with the mob thuggery I made the decision to vote in the midterms.
In that I re-registered in 2016 without any party affiliation I couldn’t vote straight ticket. So I mailed in my absentee ballot last week having gone down the entire list voting “against” every Democrat up for election.
I dislike the GOP only marginally less than the Democrats. But I did vote and a true “independent”.
I would like to believe there are many others out there is the same position.
Donald Trump is the last, best hope for the Republic, imho.
I only wish someone could convince him to post to Twitter about 90% less than he is.
But I ain’t holding my breath on that one.
The thought of Corrupt Maxine Waters chairing the Finance committee should be enough for R’s to stampede to the polls.
There is NO WAY we gain and keep the senate and lose the house NO WAY!!!!
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