Posted on 10/17/2018 8:59:43 AM PDT by Kaslin
Or, How Urban Legends are made and grow.
Don’t believe one word that comes out of Charlie Cook’s mouth, and don’t believe one word that comes out of Larry Sabato’s mouth.
I love how Cook went from a blue wave tsunami(and that’s the word he had used) to his lower estimate now having the Republicans keeping the House.
8-15.
and 18 days from now Cook will say....
Republican chances are looking even better than they were 3 weeks ago.
Idiot is nothing but a DNC stooge.
Keep telling yourself this, fools.
I will not be surprised if the GOP picks up seats in the House and will romp and stomp in the Senate races. It may pick up as many as six seats: FL, ND, MO, WS, MI, OH and PA.
Just because the so called “wisdom” has the party in power always losing in the midterm election does not mean it has to be so. Remember this is a total different time and remember we have President Trump, who won’t allow it.
Its because he is relying on polling which is 2-3 weeks or more behind reality... Go look at RCP Senate polls... You have several races that haven’t had a poll posted in 3 weeks or more...
Even t hough clearly there has been a fundamental shift, particularly in red states... Yet, no polling in 3 weeks? Please.
If we keep hammering the Kavanaugh attempted lynching and point out the Demons total lack of integrity in bringing it on should bring big results and has.
I have said from the get go, long before Kavanaugh, and the Dems going completely crazy that the GOP should gain 6+... And if the winds blow just right they could hit double digits....
The Kavanaugh fiasco, and the further left wing crazy have certainly done their part to move those winds closer and closer to “Just Right”.
Gop only gaining one or two seats is ludicrous on its face... The saddest part of this cycle to me, is the GOP isn’t even trying to fight for any of the upper midwest.... in this environment, the GOP should EASILY take 2 of the Senate seats in the states Trump flipped up here, but they aren’t even fighting for them.
Baloney. There will be no GOP switches.
Hawley?
I am curious about your Renacci numbers in OH. I always thought Sherrod Brown should be a prime target for the GOP, and that race has not received much coverage.
I agree. WI and MI should have been easy GOP pickups as should the Franken seat in MN. Shouldn’t settle for ND, MO and maybe IN. All were seats Romney blew in ‘12 which Trump can return to us. Enough seats to mostly neuter our remaining RINOs.
I am with you there. States like Wisconsin, Michigan, Ohio, and Pennsylvania should have been ground zero prime pickup opportunities given the new electoral map. Instead, the GOP is not fighting for them.
Oh brother. Can you imagine. Horrible thoughts.
If Cook is coming around, it must be looking good.
Josh Mandel had been planning a run for a couple of years, had a much higher name recognition, then, at the last minute dropped out. Word is that his wife put her foot down and said she would NOT go to DC.
Renacci was not seasoned enough, but he was the guy. He has, according to my sources, “a helluva ground game.” He has walkers everywhere.
He went from 30% name recognition (vs. Brown with 90%) to over 65% in a couple of weeks. Disregard national polls showing him down double digits. My guys on the ground consistently say he is inside of 3. They think the last Trump visit and maybe one more will put him over. Plus, OH has a massive GOP registration edge (300,000 after allocating out all the “indies” based on previous voting patterns).
I have Hawley as a pretty certain win.
I figured Brown would be in for a tough race. He is a card-carrying progressive in a state that Trump won handily in 2016. There has been very little polling of that race, and most of it is very old.
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