Posted on 10/18/2018 2:06:47 PM PDT by SoFloFreeper
...“A race-by-race analysis of Democratic House targets shows the party is close to winning the majority, but they do not have it put away, in our judgment, with Election Day less than three weeks away,” said Kyle Kondik, managing editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball in his new post.
...the Democrats in a worst-case scenario could be four seats shy of the needed 23 needed to install Rep. Nancy Pelosi as speaker.
Of course there are caveats, such as the impact of the huge influx of money to Democrats and President Trump’s decision to campaign furiously through Election Day, but the analysis is a bit of a wet towel on polls and reports declaring a blue wave blowout election.
Nonetheless, he predicts a good night for Democrats.
“Barring a big, positive late change in the political environment in favor of Republicans, the bare minimum for Democratic House gains is in the mid-to-high teens.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonexaminer.com ...
Also, this "conventional wisdom" that sitting presidents almost always lose seats in the mid-terms is no different than other CW canards like only AL teams win All-Star game in presidential years when Republicans win and other such nonsense.
Trump is one of the most successful presidents of all time and we will hold both houses of Congress if we all just get out and vote and ignore the polls and conventional wisdom.
Polls are only good for food for 24 hour news channels.
And strippers & skiers.
-—SP
They must be basing this on the new facebook algorithms.
Not JUST Larry, either. That NITWIT hack on Fox, the Never Trumper Chris Stirewalt is just as bad if not worse than Larry -- although they walk in lockstep with each other concerning prognostications. They must lick the same crystal balls.
They rely on polls that are waaay off. They are fighting the last war
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