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Sabato: Democrats 4 seats short of locking down House win
WASHINGTON EXAMINER ^ | 10/18/18 | Paul Bedard

Posted on 10/18/2018 2:06:47 PM PDT by SoFloFreeper

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To: kingu

If they don’t take the House and lose seats in the Senate, even the MSM would have to admit to it being a loss.


101 posted on 10/19/2018 2:03:49 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration
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To: SoFloFreeper
Another reminder:



Give 'em hell, Donald.
102 posted on 10/19/2018 3:03:23 AM PDT by Eleutheria5 (“If you are not prepared to use force to defend civilization, then be prepared to accept barbarism.)
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To: nikos1121

I think they’ll lose seats in both houses. As for polls, figures can lie and liars can figure. It’s happened before that the polls have been dead wrong, and 2016 was not the first time.


103 posted on 10/19/2018 3:05:55 AM PDT by Eleutheria5 (“If you are not prepared to use force to defend civilization, then be prepared to accept barbarism.)
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To: LS

Or is it? Many of the polls are push-polls, and are of the exact same make-up that said Hillary was safely ahead....


104 posted on 10/19/2018 6:18:20 AM PDT by Nabber
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To: SoFloFreeper

He’s like a weatherman, if he’s right 50% of the time he thinks he’s good.


105 posted on 10/19/2018 6:22:10 AM PDT by 1Old Pro
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To: Nabber

Consider the wave of NYT/Siena polls that appeared to be bad news yesterday:

In some cases they made 60,000 calls (!) to get just 300 respondents. Now, 300 respondents, esp if you have a sample off by 5 points, means that just a handful of people the “wrong way” would dramatically reshape the results.

The margin error should be about 20%.


106 posted on 10/19/2018 6:30:45 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: OKSooner

Sabato is not a RINO. He’s a dyed in the wool democrat.


107 posted on 10/19/2018 6:51:28 AM PDT by pgkdan (The Silent Majority STILL Stands With TRUMP! WWG1WGA)
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To: Innovative
[Ignore polls and projections, just be sure and VOTE!!!!!!!!!!!]


108 posted on 10/19/2018 8:43:57 AM PDT by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the days of Lot; they did eat, they drank, they bought, they sold ......)
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To: Electric Graffiti

[ Not to panic anyone, but if the dems win anything it’s RIP U.S.A. ]

Correct you are. The stakes couldn’t be higher before 2020.


109 posted on 10/19/2018 8:44:55 AM PDT by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the days of Lot; they did eat, they drank, they bought, they sold ......)
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To: SoFloFreeper

[And the day before the election, Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball prophesied 322 electoral votes for Clinton and 216 for Trump.]

That’s an amazing Crystal Ball. It just got the names backwards. And the numbers were slightly off.

So, he was close. Except for the wrong party winning.

Democrat is ALWAYS the WRONG PARTY.


110 posted on 10/19/2018 8:48:51 AM PDT by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the days of Lot; they did eat, they drank, they bought, they sold ......)
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To: SoFloFreeper

I still say Republicans will gain 4 in the Senate and 2 in the House.


111 posted on 10/19/2018 9:46:02 AM PDT by southernindymom
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To: SoFloFreeper
Reminder: And the day before the election, Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball prophesied 322 electoral votes for Clinton and 216 for Trump.

Thanks for the reminder!

The trend is our friend: 1) Blue wave, Democrats taking House and Senate; 2) Demos may not take Senate, but the House is in the bag; 3) Demos will not take the Senate, but probably have the House; 4) Demos will not take the Senate and will fall just shy of the House.

We still have two weeks until election day. It'll be a red wave yet!

112 posted on 10/19/2018 11:17:34 AM PDT by Forgiven_Sinner (Seek you first the kingdom of God, and all things will be given to you.)
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To: Nabber
IF PDT has 36% approval rating from African-Americans, and I believe the numbers aren’t far off, then the Dems have to be in big trouble....

Demos MUST have 90%+ of the black vote or they're done for as a party. Good night, the party's over. Click here.

113 posted on 10/19/2018 11:24:35 AM PDT by Forgiven_Sinner (Seek you first the kingdom of God, and all things will be given to you.)
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To: SoFloFreeper

This is libtard porn.


114 posted on 10/19/2018 11:45:43 AM PDT by major-pelham
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To: SoFloFreeper

http://crystalball.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/our-final-2016-picks/

he thought Feingold would win, too.


115 posted on 10/19/2018 6:15:34 PM PDT by Baladas
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To: OKSooner

What a tool.


116 posted on 10/20/2018 3:57:27 AM PDT by jimbug
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To: SoFloFreeper
Larry Sabato?

LOL.

People still pay attention to him?

On election eve, he said Hillary would win FL, NC, MI, WI and PA.

And that's just a small sample of how he's usually wrong, always for the Democrats.

117 posted on 10/20/2018 12:20:43 PM PDT by FreeReign
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To: SaveFerris
..If the democrats win it is TIME TO 👀 ☝
118 posted on 10/20/2018 12:25:39 PM PDT by smvoice (2 Cor.5:20. "Now then we are ambassadors for Christ")
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To: SoFloFreeper

Here in NH, it is a toss up. Carol Shea Porter is not running for re-election. For the Democrats, we have Chris Pappas (D) vs. Eddie Edwards (R). Pappas is 38 and the son of the owners of a very good chicken restaurant in Manchester. He went to Harvard and has been a state rep and on the executive council. He is openly gay which may make him the first person elected to congress that is openly gay. Eddie Edwards is a navy veteran and graduate of the FBI National Academy in Quantico, Virginia. He was the chief of police for a town in NH. He is married (to a woman) and has two kids. Oh and btw, he is black. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M1fJBqpuF6A I don’t see that as “likely Democratic”. Annie Kuster has been in congress off and on for years. She lost to a guy that was later found to have been corrupt with campaign finances. She faces Steve Negron - airforce veteran, small businessman, state rep. People in NH are fed up with DC politics and view Kuster as just a rubber stamp for whatever the Democrat leadership wants. Watch this on election night. Could be a +2 for the Republicans...


119 posted on 10/20/2018 12:26:08 PM PDT by seamusnh
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To: smvoice

Sure a lot of things going on.

FReepmail


120 posted on 10/20/2018 12:30:15 PM PDT by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the days of Lot; they did eat, they drank, they bought, they sold ......)
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