Posted on 10/28/2018 11:19:16 AM PDT by BlackFemaleArmyColonel
Don’t think the NV # is right.
In states won by Trump, the GOP leads in early voting.
In states won by CrookedH, the rats lead the early voting.
The ONLY exceptions to this are IA and NC, where the rats lead.
Follow LS posts - he details the state-by-state numbers and compares them to previous years. The increase in the GOP vote over this year and 2016 (and previous years) is significant.
I visit my ex girlfriend’s sister’s FB page now and then since she is a big time nut job lefty.
she recently posted that she is distraught because she has read two separate polls that indicate only about 40% of registered democrats plan to vote in the mid-terms.
Exactly.
What are they voting FOR anyway. Just to get rid of Trump. And then, get rid of him for what exactly?
Really only because they don’t like his personality.
Not much to get excited about if you ask me.
I’d stay home as well if that was all I was voting ‘for’.
Here’s the inside skinny on the early voting:
1. Young people aren’t coming out in the numbers the poll-takeing organization assume and work into their polls (through “weighting”). This means the polls are off by several points. We’re going to win all the “toss-up” and some of the “leans Democrat” seats.
2. It is possible the polls are completely off, and we win a lot of the “leans Democrat” and some of the “probable Democrat” seats.
3. They HAD a money advantage. But they don’t any longer. We’re about even up in money. And, we’re now fighting fire with fire.
4. We definitely have the Momentum. It is also possible the polls will change by election day.
These are NOT "survey results." They are actual votes.
Not a single conservative voter will be discouraged by the evidence of what we all knew anyway, that the "Blue Wave" is BS.
We here in Arizona are doing what we can to prevent being Californicated. Liberal Californians stay home you are NOT welcome in Arizona
So... How many of the pollsters, now that nearly half the vote is already in are using these statistics to make their polls?
These goofballs are still using (wishing) a D +5 or 7!?
Sorry, typo. Should be:
The increase in the GOP vote this year over 2016 (and previous years) is significant.
In Florida, we are doing much better, maybe around double better than this time in 2016. We won in 2016.
Black Female Army Captian... HOW MANY POLLSTERS ARE USING THIS BREAKDOWN?
We need to hold these pollsters account now and on the airwaves after the election, but actually if we take EGO out of the equation (which is difficult) we can say that their pathetically biased polls are lulling the enemy to sleep.
Lets appear far away when we are near and appear near when we are far away.
Yes, she did!!!
I do t see how Tester survives MT with those numbers
I really want to say it, but part of me is paranoid for sure. LOL!
Hmmm. I will just say that there are chess moves being made here, and for solid reasons. Frankly considering the pieces on the board, it is a better series of moves for a more solid win.
But it is risky, and will require recklessness on one side to pull it off.
That’s sounds good. I hope the reckless moves pay off.
Thank you.
I say we gain 3-6 in the Senate and hold the House.
You make some good observations. They know they don’t have any real foundation to be against Trump so their incentive is way down.
One thing that stands out is McKaskill (sp?) is just done.
Can we find numbers form October 23, 2014? That’s your comparison.
Thanks!
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