Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Poll: Gillum leads DeSantis by 6 points in Florida
The (s)Hill ^ | 10/30/18 | Michael Burke

Posted on 10/30/2018 7:18:28 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper

....The University of North Florida poll of likely voters found that Gillum, the mayor of Tallahassee, has the support of 49 percent of likely voters in the state, while 43 percent said they plan to back DeSantis....

Gillum's lead is boosted by support from independent voters in the state, with 56 percent of nonparty affiliates surveyed saying they'll vote for the Tallahassee mayor....

....phone interviews from Oct. 23 to 26 with 1,051 likely voters. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

A RealClearPolitics average of polls shows Gillum with a 3.2 point lead.

The Cook Political Report rates the race as a toss-up, while FiveThirtyEight's governors forecast rates it as likely Democrat and gives Gillum better than an 80 percent chance to win.

(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: 2018; 2018midterms; fl2018; tds; vote
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-80 ... 121-136 next last
To: C19fan

I hope they also enjoy that shiny, brand-new state income tax that’ll be needed to fund all those wonderful freebies.


41 posted on 10/30/2018 7:34:39 AM PDT by ScottinVA (GOP: The party of jobs. Democrats: The party of mobs.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: SoFloFreeper

Desantis didn’t help himself any by distancing himself from Trump.


42 posted on 10/30/2018 7:34:50 AM PDT by JZelle
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SoFloFreeper

Florida Man goes to the polls.


43 posted on 10/30/2018 7:35:43 AM PDT by oblomov
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SoFloFreeper

“This makes me ill.”

No need to be ill my friend. I can explain everything in 2 words: “Fake Poll”

Enjoy this great day, 1 week before Election Day aka Victory Day.


44 posted on 10/30/2018 7:36:05 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ncalburt

I went to UNF for one semester. It’s a commuter school like UCF, USF, Florida Atlantic, FIU, UWF and Florida Gulf Coast.

All of those exist for people who couldn’t get into UF or to a lesser extent, FSU.


45 posted on 10/30/2018 7:36:18 AM PDT by FLT-bird
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: mewzilla
Did you check out the poll’s methodology? I did. They got what they polled for.

What are you seeing exactly? I am not saying I agree Gillum gets +25% of the independent vote but none of the numbers around the people sampled looked dramatically wrong to me.
46 posted on 10/30/2018 7:36:26 AM PDT by Methos8
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 22 | View Replies]

To: nevergore

FAKE NEWS & FAKE POLLS

https://youtu.be/l0GvB26lv-g


47 posted on 10/30/2018 7:36:32 AM PDT by Trump_vs_Evil_Witch (Meuller, Rosenstein,....co-conspirators to Obstruct Justice over Uranium One)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Trump_vs_Evil_Witch

me and my girl early voted yesterday. Old timer at the box said it’s been pretty steady.


48 posted on 10/30/2018 7:37:03 AM PDT by VastRWCon (Fake News)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: SoFloFreeper

I’m not buying it. He will NOT win.


49 posted on 10/30/2018 7:37:06 AM PDT by New Jersey Realist ( (Be Nice To Your Kids. They Will Pick Out Your Nursing Home))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Buckeye McFrog

There is no hpoe and change coming..

I lived in Colorado... the Califorinans moved in and ruined it..

add Nevada.. Montana,, Arizona..


50 posted on 10/30/2018 7:38:20 AM PDT by Hojczyk
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 19 | View Replies]

To: mewzilla

Fake RAT propaganda News.


51 posted on 10/30/2018 7:38:41 AM PDT by ExTexasRedhead
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 22 | View Replies]

To: JZelle

Desantis has not done that .
I was at his rally this weekend .
Pure Trump .
Trump visiting here .
What are you talking about .


52 posted on 10/30/2018 7:39:07 AM PDT by ncalburt (Gop DC Globalists out themselves)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 42 | View Replies]

To: JZelle

Desantis has not done that .
I was at his rally this weekend .
Pure Trump .
Trump visiting here .
What are you talking about .


53 posted on 10/30/2018 7:39:27 AM PDT by ncalburt (Gop DC Globalists out themselves)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 42 | View Replies]

To: SoFloFreeper

Could it possibly be a “Tom Bradley effect” result, where respondents to a poll in 1982 in California told the pollster that they were voting for Bradley for governor, feeling that they would be considered a racist if they didn’t, and then voted for the GOP candidate George Deukmejian on election day.


54 posted on 10/30/2018 7:39:58 AM PDT by nd76
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: nd76

The hope for a “Bradley Effect” was present in 2008, yet Obama outperformed polls on Election Day. That dynamic might’ve been a factor in the ‘80s, but it’s unlikely now.

Perhaps Florida voters just long to have their own Obama-like “Black Jesus.”


55 posted on 10/30/2018 7:44:46 AM PDT by ScottinVA (GOP: The party of jobs. Democrats: The party of mobs.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 54 | View Replies]

To: FLT-bird

Exactly , the polling amateurs peddling push polls .


56 posted on 10/30/2018 7:44:59 AM PDT by ncalburt (Gop DC Globalists out themselves)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 45 | View Replies]

To: Methos8

Read the methodology :-)


57 posted on 10/30/2018 7:45:18 AM PDT by mewzilla (Is Central America emptying its prisons?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 46 | View Replies]

To: Trump_vs_Evil_Witch

There is so much “rigging” by the media in their reporting to skewer their wishes and make it appear “their” candidates are leading or way ahead.

It’s hard for me to believe people in FL want much higher taxes and Gillum as their governor.


58 posted on 10/30/2018 7:45:27 AM PDT by hsmomx3
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: VanDeKoik

I agree the data suggests that the GOP should win these statewide races fairly comfortably.....

However, you cannot dismiss the fact that an AA candidate may indeed affect turnout numbers on election day to a different pattern than historical performance.

I do however, find the spread of 5 points almost laughable.

In a week we know...


59 posted on 10/30/2018 7:47:12 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 29 | View Replies]

To: nd76

Why does any GOP voter believe MSM POLLS?

The truth is that early voting in Florida shows GOP way ahead...

https://youtu.be/l0GvB26lv-g


60 posted on 10/30/2018 7:48:10 AM PDT by Trump_vs_Evil_Witch (Meuller, Rosenstein,....co-conspirators to Obstruct Justice over Uranium One)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 54 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-80 ... 121-136 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson