Posted on 10/19/2019 6:38:17 AM PDT by LS
@FloridaDude297 "LOUISIANA ELECTION. Exit polls and post election surveys are in. Republicans received 25% of the Black vote. GOP Black voters was 291% over 2015. #1 issue for Conservative voting Black Voters was Democrats attacking President Trump."
Urban black vote vs rural?
Despite the stereotypes, most of them want to work (there’s just as many whiteys that want to sit around all day and be paid to get drunk/high, too). Obama told them, “There’s no jobs and they’re not coming back!” Trump pulled off the greatest reversal ever. Talk is talk, the blacks saw RESULTS from Trump, not never-ending full-of-crap excuses as to why things are so bad and getting worse while only caring about his next vacation or celebrity event.
Hillary only got 78 percent of the black male vote.
I believe that helped in maybe 3 or 4 states quite a bit.
black women went thee usual 96 percent dem because they need the gov to take care of their daddys babies
But 78 percent instead of 96 percent black men going for the dem was a Big change. and a good one.
I think they are starting to realize that Trump is giving them real opportunities, while the Dems just want to keep them down and having them still continue to vote for Dems.
President Trump is the only politician who has made an honest attempt to engage blacks - what do you got to lose? I'm betting the president is going to be revisiting that rhetorical question here quite soon.
Blacks are a bellweather for Democrat chances - more more, thinking people are see life is better letting America be America and president Trump hasn't burnt the place down - I'm doing way better then I ever did with Obama. Call me crazy but I think president Trump might actually give a damn about the fate of a black man - weird - once independent thought starts who knows what can happen next.
President Trump is a master of changing hearts and minds - otherwise that team of monkeys wouldn't be burning the chances of keeping the house with a year out from election day.
It's civil war if they impeach him - even with out a senate conviction. They have no idea the fire they play with.
It’s not correct, unfortunately.
Here’s the article the OP seems to have gotten his info from:
Here’s the relevant paragraph:
“In the 2015 primary for Governor, 1.14 million (or 39%) turned out to vote. Last night, turnout increased to 45%, for a total turnout of 1.34 million voters. This was a conservative turnout: while 25% of the early vote was black, JMC estimates that due to 35% Election Day turnout in white precincts and 28% Election Day turnout in the black precincts, 27% of last night’s electorate was black. In other words, an estimated total electorate that was 26.5% black, which is on the low side in Louisiana in terms of base Democratic voter intensity”
Blacks simply made up 25% of total turnout. There is nothing that indicates that 25% of Blacks voted GOP.
And in fact, if we go to the polling firm indicated in the article:
https://winwithjmc.com/archives/8815
We find out that exit polls indicate that 91% of Blacks voted for the Democrat Governor.
“Furthermore, JMC estimates that Governor Edwards received 91% of the black vote and 31% of the white vote – respectable numbers, except that black turnout overall wasn’t very strong.”
Misinformation like the OP posted, and people believing it because they want to, with out engaging the critical thinking skills is what loses elections.
DONT GET COCKY.
Bookmarked!
Maybe, but not sure. Note this is based on a polling firm that “estimated” the vote-—it did NOT mention exit polls which the Tweet did.
So black voting overall fell (right in line with my predictions based on 2 years of polling).
As for whether 25% voted GOP, neither this article nor the JMC Analytics actually says anything one way or another except an “estimate” with no more specifics than the tweet.
Salena Zito’s book “The Great Revolt,” which polled Trump voters after the election, found that in fact Trump did better with college educated voters who were NOT in big cities than Cankles did.
Where he lost college educated was in the cities.
Urban folks are far more lefty than rural folks period, regardless of race.
Very good point.
Unfortunately, some of the black reps we have had in the past-—Sen. Brooke in MA, Cong. Will Hurd-—were libs. The last real conservative black congressman we had was Allen West.
I would suspect the same holds true for Oregon ( with mandatory mail in only) and Washington state with extreme liberal controller office appointees
I do not believe that is as true as it seems. i do believe the county controllers offices are cheating on votes
Sorry but you are barking up the wrong tree.. there is some fraud at some districts but the differen world view between urban and rural is real and as old as this nation. It’s why we have a electoral college.
No, no. I’m not talking about federal-level members (which are technically easier to elect), I’m talking about members at the legislative level. If the GOP doesn’t put in the effort in districts with large levels of Black voters to elect Black Republicans, it’s going to be hard to make a breakthrough beyond that small percentage (10%) except in unusual circumstances.
When you have an all-White GOP caucus in Baton Rouge, it’s going to be hard for Black voters to see the GOP as anything other than the “White People Party.”
Me too, this is a controlled vote that can be tabulated even before an election.
. but i do believe the leftists have the upper hand because of several factors like cheating, they own the information stream, they own acedemia and they are violently and aggressively dominant in character. For example, in hispanic or black culture liberals will attack anyone on the right with such ferocity, that they stay quiet and undercover in order to save themselves from all out attack.
The liberals are insane and vicious.
With the turnout expected, New Orleans could give the Democrat Governor Edwards a 90,000-vote or more lead. It’s a lot of votes to make up in small parishes remaining.
Do not estimate the votes that can be cranked out in Orleans Parish. Furthermore, watch Jefferson Parish where Bel Edwards ran strong in the Primary.
Jefferson Parish will decide this race.
Trump may flip Minnesota and New Hampshire. This is still a 50/50 country.
The hope of blacks voting for republicans just isn't going to happen. The only thing to hope for is they stay home as enough did in 2016 to allow Trump to win and I can be happy with that.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.