Posted on 03/16/2020 10:59:25 PM PDT by rintintin
There are lots of unknowns, but the numbers are high enough now that scientists can narrow it down to a range (seeing 0.8%-3%). My simple fatality rate is fatalities/known cases...as you said that cases # is a big variable (denominator), but let’s use South Korea since it is one of the most tested countries. (USA one of the least). 75 fatalities/8320 cases = 0.9% fatality rate, about 8x regular flu...in line with everything I read & hear on TV from the experts.
More in-depth scientific analysis on the topic:
https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-act-today-or-people-will-die-f4d3d9cd99ca
Had no idea they were there in those numbers.
Thanks for the info.
am, as I said, a Ph.D.
Where do you think MDs get their information? It is from people like me, who understand the basic science. It is painfully obvious that Ron Paul may be a physician, but he has no expertise in anything related to epidemiology.
And, are you incapable of doing math? I linked to the tracking website where case data is compiled, you can access and calculate the numbers for yourself and you dont believe me that the death rate is approaching 4%? Seriously? Pop out a calculator and do your own calculations! You do know how to calculate percentages, dont you?
...
I know many phds who do not live in reality and quite frankly becomes booksmart idiots. I hope through this whole thing you are proven wrong and your 4% number is not based on reality because your premise is simply incorrect. Without having correct testing which is not President Trump’s Fault by the way it was eight years of the previous regime and President Bush before him to blame. Things are not happening the way that the Democrats and the ever so esteemed Dr Fauci, who by the way was awarded a medal by Obama and President Bush, have proclaimed. I only hope the President Trump uses this whole thing to expose the frauds at these people are. And by the way you have not brought up that the virus was purposely released and anybody who does not believe that at this point is quite frankly an idiot. I look forward to you starting a thread in the future after you have been proven wrong. That would be the apology tour.
Boy was it ever! And I have no special gift of discernment at all.
0bummer was like a sore thumb of bad mojo.
In January, the media was busy trying to destroy Pres. Trump via impeachment
Does Pelosis weird December delay make sense now?
We do what we can! ;D
The Ron Paul Hoax
Ron Paul love crises because when the people are fearful they are more willing to give up reason for promises that Dr. Paul will take care of them.
Oh wait, doctor Ron Paul has no credibility in epidemiology? Really? He was a congress man for christ sake. Damn good one too. “Dr. No”, they called him. Voices of wisdom when mitt Romney was running for president. They tanked him like Bernie. Yes I said they.
She didn’t say that.
She quoted someone else.
I completely agree with you! Having followed the Coronavirus threads here for several weeks, I have sadly reached a few conclusions:
1 The love of liberty seems to be comatose and on life support in our formerly great country. I am saddened that in a community named Free Republic, that those who dare advocate for freedom during times of crisis are routinely flamed and ridiculed here.
2. The slave like blind trust in “expert opinions” and projections based on worst case scenarios, in the face of data analysis which would not pass muster in an undergraduate statistics course is distressing.
3.Our formerly great nation seems to no longer be the home of the brave, but rather the wellspring of cowardice. Are there no Patrick Henrys who can say
Is life so dear, or peace so sweet, as to be purchased at the price of chains and slavery? Forbid it, Almighty God! I know not what course others may take; but as for me, give me liberty or give me death!
4. Have we reached a point where we prefer comfortable slavery to dangerous freedom? I fear that we have. Just remember that the liberties which are being stripped away at light speed will not be easily recovered.
Yee shall judge them by their fruits”
If any one wants to convince me they have some kind of insight into future events, please provide me some predictions that I may evaluate and establish credence. Otherwise dont waste our time.
Modern day progressives promote these notions of people being able to “feel the future.” So do many cults. Others just talk to God and Jesus. Maybe they do, but I need evidence they are a true prophet, or have special abilities to foresee the future. The reason that nonanalytical thinking is is promoted is that it provides a useful tool for controlling the masses.
Note, factual predictions for Global Warming (GW) are never true. But the progressives get around this by claiming unusual events must have been caused by GW. By their continuous propaganda, they want you to “feel” the weather or climate is getting more unusual, therefore, it must be due to man made GW.
Skin crawling, heebie jeebies with more than a soupçon of horror.
:)
Actually, looking back on it all now in this snapshot in time, in the time of crisis, time after time he (rp) has always been the town crier of gov corruption and always on the right side of trying to interpret the constitutional rights of citizens and what actually should be done in said crisis. We are free men and women. Most of all we are protected by rights given by God. #1776 #formerRPinglistguy
It would seem that you totally missed the part where I said it had absolutely, utterly ~nothing~ to do with “prophecy” or “predictions” whatsoever, in any shape or form.
God Wins. Enjoy the show.
Go back and look for this part:
“Its not prophecy”
yup
b/c how else can they blame their enemies if they cant frame it on them
I have no idea where/how he jumped the tracks.
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