Posted on 10/10/2020 6:27:38 PM PDT by Coop
Klacik certainly is very impressive, and I think it’s great that she’s taking the fight to Kweisi Mfume, but she has absolutely no chance of winning in November, given that the district gave President Trump only 20% in 2016 and gave Romney only 22% in 2012. A better use of her time and resources would be for her to campaign for and transfer funds to GOP House candidates who can win with a little help, such as Wesley Hunt in TX-07, Nancy Mace in SC-01, Leo Valentín in FL-07, Stephanie Bice in OK-05, Paul Junge in MI-08, Esther King in IL-17, Michelle Steel in CA-48, and countless others. Helping some of those Republicans get elected could pay off big time for her when she runs for governor (open-seat race) or U.S. Senator (against Democrat incumbent Chris Van Hollen) in 2022.
Detractors say Klactik is “auditioning for a job at Fox News”.
I 100% support putting up a showing in “urban” districts, I live in one. But it would be a crying shame (and frankly irresponsible as hell) if that money wasn’t used where it could actually help.
By the way, Donald J. Trump had absolutely no chance of winning the presidency in 2016.
Trump's campaign is doing a last-minute reversal on Minnesota. Trump went dark on TV here this week -- after six weeks of cutting reserved ad time -- but campaign manager Bill Stepien says there will be a major a buy in the campaign's final week.
Jason Lewis (for Senate), Tyler Kistner (MN-02) and LtGov Michelle Fischbach (MN-07) will definitely benefit from this ad buy.
Except, he did, not a fair comparison.
She would certainly have as good a shot as any Republican in a statewide race whether she loses an unwinnable House race or not.
Trump had absolutely no shot... yet he won.
Klacik has absolutely no shot... TBD.
Fair comparison.
The idea that Trump had “no shot” was prima facie bull, the polls weren’t even that bad. I thought he’d probably lose but I actually gave him a 46% chance.
I honestly think Kim has a better chance of winning the lotto.
“By the way, Donald J. Trump had absolutely no chance of winning the presidency in 2016.”
____________________
Coop, it is disingenuous of you to compare an ignorant statement from people in an echo chamber about the odds of victory of a Republican nominee for president to a sobering statement admission about the odds of winning of a Republican nominee in a black-majority district based in Baltimore that gave said nominee only 25% of the vote in a special election (a two-candidate race) earlier this year, gave President Trump only 20% in 2016, and gave Romney only 22% in 2012.
The only time in the past 50 years that the GOP has come close to winning a House race in a district in which the two previous presidential candidates had received 25% or below was in LA-02 in 2008, when Joseph Cao was elected (i) in a very low turnout December runoff, (ii) against an unpopular Democrat incumbent who was under indictment for bribery after the FBI found $90,000 in cash in the freezer at his office in the U.S. Capitol, (iii) in a district that was several percentage points more Republican than MD-07 currently is (the LA-02 had given McCain 25% that November and 24% in 2004). If Kweisi Mfume is arrested upon the FBI finding $90,000 in cash in his freezer and the MD-07 House election is delayed until December while the presidential race continues on November 3, then maybe Kim has a chance.
But, as things stand, she has a 0% chance, and all the spending in the world won’t change that.
And no one, repeat, no one can blame Kim for losing both House races in 2020. She has run her guts off and been a great spokesman for the GOP and conservatism. While she will not have a clear path to the GOP nomination for governor or U.S. senator in 2022 (Lt. Gov. Boyd Rutherford may run for the former and Gov. Hogan may run for the latter), her performance in the House races will be an asset, not a liability, for her among the GOP electorate in MD.
Why is Murtha an “ex” rather than “former” Marine?
From my viewpoint someone like Jack Murtha who sold out his fellow Marines has disgraced the uniform and no longer deserves the title “former Marine”.
Dude, in case you didn’t read what I wrote, I provided much of that info, including that it’s a D+26 district. But I chose to focus on the positives of her campaign. You chose not to.
I know that you pointed out that it’s D+26, and I think that your optimism about these elections is refreshing, necessary and perfectly reasonable. Your posts have been great, and it’s clear to me now how much poorer FR had been during your years of absence.
But MD-07, like AOC’s district or Ilhan Omar’s district, is not going to happen for us. And my point is that if we spent an extras $500,000 in each of 12 winnable districts instead of $6M in a single unwinnable district, it could be the difference between a GOP House and a Democrat House on January 3, and in the long run it would be better for Kim as well.
CA-43 is Maxine Waters' district. D+99. Okay, not really. But Trump got <17% there, while McCain earned 22% of the vote. However, south L.A. native and U.S. Navy veteran Joe Collins* is going at Mad Maxine full speed, and God bless him for it.
Navy veteran Joe Collins targets Democrat Maxine Waters' home in campaign ad
As of late July Joe Collins had raised over $3M.
I’m proud of Joe Collins, too, but would be even prouder if he lent a helping hand to fellow Californians Buzz Patterson, Ted Howze, Erin Cruz, Young Kim, David Valadao, Greg Raths, Michelle Steel, Brian Maryott and Jim DeBello (as well as freshman incumbent Mike García), all of whom are running in districts that we actually can win.
And while Joe Collins (unfortunately) will not be able to get elected in Maxine Waters’s overwhelmingly Democrat district, he could win a future statewide run if he becomes better known in other parts of the state and cultivates allies that he helped elect to Congress.
And that approach would make much more sense to me, since everyone you mentioned is a Californian. But Joe and Kim and their campaign managers need to decide how to use all that money.
This is great !!!!
Need more of these ads
Powerful !
More good fundraising news regarding GOP challengers trying to win back House seats in Trump districts.
Nancy Mace Poll (SC): GOP Challenger Beating Joe Cunningham By Two Percentage Points
Thanks Coop. So many races
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