Posted on 10/10/2020 6:27:38 PM PDT by Coop
It would be really helpful if every Freeper in a contested House district would chime in, with their state, the district, the two candidates, and where, in their estimation, their race is.
Yeah. Maybe you'll have better luck than me. This thread went over like a lead balloon.
Here in this board we have to have people in at least 20 contested districts.
Nearly lost in 2018 and I think there were way more rat primary votes this year. Romney’s numbers are ancient history, unfortunately. Atlanta suburbs are turning to the dark side.
My mistake. The City of Pittsburgh proper certainly belongs to Doyle (I say that intentionally ... That fish faced jagoff will own that seat forever). Lamb got the northern suburbs.
I was trying to say that they gerrymandered a lot of Allegheny County into Lamb’s district to offset the more conservative areas like Beaver and Butler County.
Lamb has to lose. If not, he’s going to run for Senate in 2022 and win ... Western PA buys his crap hook, line, and sinker. I’m sure the rest of the state will fall for it (the fact that Casey Jr., one of the laziest pieces of crap to ever sit in the US Senate, won again on his dad’s name and continues to vote lockstep with liberals).
I have to quit making posts on my phone ... I screw up too much and can’t easily review what I write :-).
I’m worried about GA-07 because (i) Woodall was not scandal-tarred yet barely won it in 2018 (less than a 0.5% victory margin IIRC) and (ii) the Dem turnout in the primary was much higher than the GOP turnout. But I agree that we have a great candidate in GA-07 (as well as in TX—23), and I am certainly not writing it off. Given our recent performance in those formerly safe suburban Atlanta CDs, I would not be surprised if we failed to hold GA-07 and didn’t win back GA-06 either. We can win both races, but we just as easily could lose them both.
The Democrat nominee in TX-23, Gina Ortiz Jones, is a lesbian Iraq War veteran of Filipino ancestry who came close to beating Hurd in 2018. The TX-23 is majority Mexican-American, and I hope that tge GOP is oointing out that, despite Jones’s middle name, she is not Hispanic, much less Mexican-American, while Gonzales is a local Mexican American who made good, serving with distinction in both Afganistan and Iraq.
I knew what you meant (Democrat-trending Pittsburgh suburbs, not Pittsburgh proper), and my intent was to explain in my post why your argument still holds despite the city itself being in Doyle’s CD.
Remember when Doyle first was elected, in Santorum’s old Mon Valley CD? Doyle was pro-life back then! After he got redisricted in with Coyne (who retired) in a Pittsburgh/Mon Valley CD, though, Doyle switched to pro-abortion. That was back when the PA U.S. House delegation had 7 pro-life Democrats and only 4 pro-abortion Democrats.
Impy, I hadn’t seen your post when I replied to Coop, so, like Newton when he developed calculus without a clue that Leipniz was doing the same thing across the pond, the fact that I wrote oretty much the same thing that you did is an example of great minds thinking alike, not of me pulling a Biden. : )
Yep, but it wasn't a presidential election. Guess we'll see in about 3 weeks.
In OR-04, after years of nominating a rather odd candidate, this time around the GOP has nominated a National Guardsman combat veteran who helped to stop a terrorist on a Paris train in 2015. Alek Skarlatos*
OR-04 encompasses southwestern OR, while Portland is OR-03. Trump lost the state by 10.6 points in 2016, but given the insanity in Portland I think OR is going to be competitive this time around. I was in OR 2+ months ago, and there was a lot of disgust with the Democrats. And that was before the governor completely botched the wildfire response. Both parties are spending money on OR-04, meaning both sides view it as competitive.
Trump lost this district four years ago by a mere 1/10 of a point.
Nice work and great discussion. Saw Joe Collins’ ad yesterday and he looks great against Mad Maxine Waters, but what are his prospects?
I also would like to hear about the senate races.
Thanks for the h/u.
The contrast between the two parties was never more stark:
<><> Democrats paint a picture of a country you’d want to flee –
<><> Democrats want to impose a racist hellhole built on oppression,
<><> Democrats resurrect a frightening Adolf Hitler Jr. regime w/ BLM/ANTIFA the storm troopers.
<><> Democrats are just lying in wait for the chance to seize absolute power.
And in the bgrnd are sperminator Hunter and the rest of the money-hungry Biden clan,
all lined up to loot and pillage the govt till, and kick taxpayers into perpetual poverty.
And it’s all done with
(A) a toothy smile from candidate Biden,
(B) regular reassurances from Nanzi and the Dem crowd.....
(C) all of it to be accomplished by the “certified dependability” of mail-in voting.
(H/T Derek Hunter)
If you can’t donate, please doorbell or work for a call bank. Everyone can do something.
TX-24 is an open seat
Details please
Amen. My old legs are sore today. Did about three hours walking neighborhoods yesterday, dropping off campaign literature.
.....these bode well for Trump and Republicans......:
In 1998, Republicans were expected to win seats in Congress following Bill Clinton’s 1996 reelection.......
but, Republicans spent 100% of their time obsessing on Clinton’s Lewinsky affair and impeachment.....
ergo, we lost seats and Newt resigned as Speaker. We lost because
<><> we pissed off Democrats by our non-stop Clinton attacks,
<><> we offered our own voters NOTHING to vote for.
Democrats are doing the same thing: their attacks on Trump do nothing but fire up the Republican
base......Dems have offered NOTHING of substance to blacks and other voters as a whole.
Even “hair”brained Nanzi backed off a 2nd Trump impeachment try;
she knows it would harm her voter fraud projects to get the Hidey-Ho ticket elected.
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