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Florida Early Vote update, 10/28/2020
ElectionCZAR ^ | 10/28/2020 | self

Posted on 10/28/2020 6:30:07 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas

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To: SpeedyInTexas

“Important to note that Miles Taylor was not DHS chief of staff on September 5, 2018, when he published ‘Anonymous’ op-ed in NYT. He was a DHS policy adviser, which NYT characterized as a ‘senior official in the Trump administration.’”


281 posted on 10/28/2020 3:38:18 PM PDT by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Last weekend before election.

Everyone ready for that final NYT Trump tax story?

Right, count me out too.


282 posted on 10/28/2020 3:40:36 PM PDT by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: Owen

Okay, there’s a 20K relative Biden advantage in Duval. But there’s a 13K Biden advantage in the four westernmost counties of FL. Doesn’t mean much until voting is completed on 11/3.


283 posted on 10/28/2020 3:41:26 PM PDT by Coop (After 14 years, it's time for a new tagline)
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To: plushaye

Matt Gaetz
@mattgaetz
US House candidate, FL-1

“Tomorrow Democrats will fall under a 200k “ballots cast” advantage in FL.

DeSantis won a close one going into Election Day down 230k.

Warning: RED WAVE incoming!”


284 posted on 10/28/2020 3:43:38 PM PDT by plushaye (God wins! Anarchy begone in Jesus Name!)
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To: plushaye

Its so hard to square what we are seeing in FL with polls saying Biden up 12 - like todays CNN poll. 54-42%.

Something does not compute.

We will know in 6 days.


285 posted on 10/28/2020 3:52:32 PM PDT by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: All

going backwards now , again those 3 counties missing are hurting plus dems getting decent mail ins

last refresh
REP EV+176
DEMS mail in +228

dems pick up 52

dems 203999


286 posted on 10/28/2020 3:53:59 PM PDT by janetjanet998 (H)
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To: Ravi; LS; bort; byecomey; Coop; carton253

Supreme Court Won’t Hear Pennsylvania Ballot Case Before Election

The high court refused to expedite a Republican challenge to a Pennsylvania court order allowing three extra days for accepting absentee ballots mailed by Election Day.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/supreme-court-won-t-hear-pennsylvania-ballot-case-before-election-11603920921?mod=hp_lead_pos3


287 posted on 10/28/2020 3:56:18 PM PDT by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

“The court indicated that the justices may issue additional opinions in the case. The Supreme Court could still decide to hear the case after the election, particularly if the outcome depends on Pennsylvania’s 20 electoral votes.”

ACB didn’t participate in decision.


288 posted on 10/28/2020 3:58:39 PM PDT by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

I ignore all “narrative” media polls. They’re being made up to depress (R) turnout.

I remember that in 2016, given the probability of Hillary winning over Trump was 93%-7%, Republicans ignored all pollsters and went to the polls. Trump won against all odds. The media pollsters are even worse this cycle. They not only have to be ignored but I hope they will all be humiliated and forced out of business starting next week.


289 posted on 10/28/2020 4:00:17 PM PDT by plushaye (God wins! Anarchy begone in Jesus Name!)
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To: SpeedyInTexas; byecomey
It's probably too late now, but is it possible for byecomey to add extra buttons like the "Compare Early Votes to Active Registrations," but make it for remaining votes for Election Day?

Can we see where the votes that are left are, or does this visual not add any additional value?

-PJ

290 posted on 10/28/2020 4:10:18 PM PDT by Political Junkie Too (Freedom of the press is the People's right to publish, not CNN's right to the 1st question.)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

I haven’t thought this was worth the exercise. The ballots are mailed no later than election day. The Constitution says the vote takes place the first Tues after the first Monday of November, something like that.

If a vote is postmarked by that day, then I don’t see the issue. If it arrives 2 or 3 or 6 days later, so what? The vote was legally cast.

If this is all about fraud this and fraud that and counterfeiting a postmark, well, why not manufacture gazillion votes 5 days earlier than ED and legally mail them. It doesn’t matter if you know just how many to print up, print 100K extra and don’t bother waiting. It’s a federal crime if you print just 1 so you’re going to jail if caught regardless of the number.


291 posted on 10/28/2020 4:10:39 PM PDT by Owen
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To: janetjanet998

Loss of those counties definitely hurting, but it doesn’t look like it will cost 1000. Fewer.


292 posted on 10/28/2020 4:14:09 PM PDT by Owen
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To: All

last update, Dems up on EV

I think only Orange (heavy dem Orlando) and a few left in the eastern panhandle remain open

Dems might gain a few hundred more votes

Dems EV +81
Dems +6 mail

Dems +87

dems 204086


293 posted on 10/28/2020 4:15:16 PM PDT by janetjanet998 (H)
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To: Owen

The odds of Trump getting 42% of Florida vote on election night is negative zero point zero percent. These polling outfits are a joke.


294 posted on 10/28/2020 4:16:02 PM PDT by wareagle7295
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To: plushaye

DeSantis was NOT down 230k day before election day. Not sure if he’s talking about 5 or 6 days out but the day before, nope.


295 posted on 10/28/2020 4:16:38 PM PDT by southpaw1
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Dem/Dim twits are happy today. Lead only decreased by 40k today instead of 50k.

Too funny.


296 posted on 10/28/2020 4:18:06 PM PDT by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: Political Junkie Too; SpeedyInTexas; bort; Ravi

It is already there. Just scroll down. Broken out by All, NPA, Rep, Dem.

Be aware, though, that Dems are low propensity voters in general. Republicans naturally have much higher turnouts.


297 posted on 10/28/2020 4:18:29 PM PDT by byecomey
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To: janetjanet998

Another good day, before today I was projecting Republican at -94K before election day, now I’m projection -79K.


298 posted on 10/28/2020 4:19:41 PM PDT by Truthsearcher
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To: Owen

“If a vote is postmarked by that day, then I don’t see the issue. If it arrives 2 or 3 or 6 days later, so what? The vote was legally cast.”

And what if a legislature passes a law saying ballots MUST be received by Election Day.

Then a court says in its better judgement, the ballot can be counted if it arrives 3 days later.

Is that right?


299 posted on 10/28/2020 4:20:25 PM PDT by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: southpaw1

I just copied the tweet intact. I only remember the outcome of the main FL races, not the numbers.


300 posted on 10/28/2020 4:22:41 PM PDT by plushaye (God wins! Anarchy begone in Jesus Name!)
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