Posted on 10/29/2020 4:07:21 PM PDT by Kaslin
Were either right or wrong. There is no in-between here concerning the polls. These liberal outlets are oversampling Democrats, ignoring Trump Democrats, not accounting for fewer young voters turning out, and including way too many college-educated voters to craft a narrative that this country holds a D+15 electorate. It's just not true. Trump Democrats are being ignored. Rural Republicans are being bypassed. The suburban cohort of the GOPsure. Theyre the squishiest and most vocally anti-Trump of the group. At Trumps rallies, around 25 percent of the attendees didnt vote in 2016. Some firms havent even moved off from registered voter samples. Its a trainwreck. Biden is supposedly ahead by double-digits, which his camp says is not true. Theyre admitting the polls are inflated, which could also be a ploy to keep their base anxious and ready to vote. They dont want complacency to settle in like it did in 2016. Yet, the rule hasnt changed: never underestimate anything when Trump is on the ballot and at the top of the ticket.
Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich is also feeling good about President Trumps chances for re-election. Appearing on Fox News Sean Hannitys show, the former speaker said that the Electoral College result will shock the Left. He has Trump clinching another Electoral College landslide, nabbing 326 electoral votes (via RealClearPolitics):
Newt Gingrich said the left is going to be shocked by a Trump victory and said an electoral map showing the incumbent president with 326 electoral votes seems right to him in an interview Wednesday night with FNC's Sean Hannity.
"He has a better likelihood than he did at this stage in 2016 when he was clearly behind and closing rapidly," Gingrich said. "The people I trust the most, the pollsters that have been the most accurate over the last 5 or 6 years who seem to understand the dynamics of the age of Trump."
"I saw today the first electoral college map that made sense to me and it showed Trump at 326 electoral votes plus," Gingrich said. "I think that is probably about right. I think the left is going to be terribly shocked."
[ ]
"I think every day that Biden hides and Trump goes out and campaigns, the psychological message being driven to the American people is really deeper than just ideology or partisanship," Gingrich said. "It says one guy has the guts, the willingness, the toughness to actually be out here, taking on things including Covid. The other guy is hiding, frightened, hoping the news media will save him because he can't possibly save himself."
One side will be eating a lot of crow next Tuesday night. We all bank on it being Biden and his crew. And I think Newts prediction is about right, but taking off my MAGA hat, I can see this swinging the other way toward Biden as well. I just cannot believe the polls right now. Theyre all over the place, and the early vote totals which usually trend toward Democrats arent trending so favorably toward Biden, especially in key states like Florida.
Still, even with the hesitations here, I feel like well be drinking up a lot of liberal tears next week.
I have money on a Trump win of over 300 EV on the PredictIT website. Not a lot, but it’ll be a nice return come Tues night/Wed morning :)
I put some small money at Predict for a GOP sweep. Payoff is close to 10:1
I still maintain that this godforsaken State of California I live in could have been in Play if Trump exploited it
“Rasmussen had Trump behind 1 in NJ, 1 behind in OR.”
Where are you seeing that? Did not see it at Rasmussen Reports.
Governors don't control how their citizens vote.
I was watching one of his Rallies on Fox News last night, and there must have been at least 30,000 people attending the Rally.
I will make sure that he is going to win by voting for him on Tuesday. I will be voting strictly R on Tuesday like I always do.
Me too!
Who is Nostra-grandma?
Now they have their idiots programmed, so that when President Trump wins, the Democrat Storm Troopers will be rioting again.
It’s scary how easily they control the idiots. And the damned fools fall for it every time. Nearly 4 years of the “Russia” lie. I’ve seen Huffington Post fools still yapping about it.
Ill be drinking Angels Envy bourbon.
Glenfiddich 18 here. Last time I touched it was 11/4/2016 at about 3 am when Maddow started to cry.
L
I wonder what the impact of a lot of college students are at home and not on a campus. Many of these college student register to vote where they are attending school not in their home town.
what’s the link? :)
OK, went back and checked.
It was reported on Twitter Sunday.
I was wrong about NJ....
Rasmussen
NJ Trump 45 Biden 48 (Biden +3)
NM Trump 45 Biden 46 (Biden +1)
OR Trump 46 Biden 47 (Biden +1)
Still 3 in NJ??
With EVERYTHING NY has gone through businesses closed FOREVER these asshat Governor and mayor holding everyone unemployed and schools closed YOU really believe ALL these people standing in line are voting Biden REALLY?..
We really won’t know for sure until election night. But, imagine that you’re completely nonpartisan and just looking at this from a completely intellectual and curiosity standpoint. This past week, on the same day, two Wisconsin polls were issued. Trafalgar had Biden +1. ABC/Washington Post had Biden +17. That is too large a gap to simply be random error. Somebody is badly wrong. Apart from partisanship, some folks will surely be interested in just seeing who is right and who is wrong. Somebody will be eating crow.
This will depend on the Democratic Vote counting shenanigans. 2016 they were over confident and unprepared. This year will be different. I hope Trump has the appropriate counter measures in place. Prayers up
In New Jersey it is all about the suburbs if they turn out he got it.
In New Jersey it is all about the suburbs if they turn out he got it.
I like it!
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