The Electoral College Prediction That Will Leave the Left 'Terribly Shocked'

Townhall.com ^ | October 29, 2020 | Matt Vespa

[Kaslin]

We’re either right or wrong. There is no in-between here concerning the polls. These liberal outlets are oversampling Democrats, ignoring Trump Democrats, not accounting for fewer young voters turning out, and including way too many college-educated voters to craft a narrative that this country holds a D+15 electorate. It's just not true. Trump Democrats are being ignored. Rural Republicans are being bypassed. The suburban cohort of the GOP—sure. They’re the squishiest and most vocally anti-Trump of the group. At Trump’s rallies, around 25 percent of the attendees didn’t vote in 2016. Some firms haven’t even moved off from registered voter samples. It’s a trainwreck. Biden is supposedly ahead by double-digits, which his camp says is not true. They’re admitting the polls are inflated, which could also be a ploy to keep their base anxious and ready to vote. They don’t want complacency to settle in like it did in 2016. Yet, the rule hasn’t changed: never underestimate anything when Trump is on the ballot and at the top of the ticket.

Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich is also feeling good about President Trump’s chances for re-election. Appearing on Fox News’ Sean Hannity’s show, the former speaker said that the Electoral College result will shock the Left. He has Trump clinching another Electoral College landslide, nabbing 326 electoral votes (via RealClearPolitics):

Newt Gingrich said the left is going to be shocked by a Trump victory and said an electoral map showing the incumbent president with 326 electoral votes seems right to him in an interview Wednesday night with FNC's Sean Hannity.

"He has a better likelihood than he did at this stage in 2016 when he was clearly behind and closing rapidly," Gingrich said. "The people I trust the most, the pollsters that have been the most accurate over the last 5 or 6 years who seem to understand the dynamics of the age of Trump."

"I saw today the first electoral college map that made sense to me and it showed Trump at 326 electoral votes plus," Gingrich said. "I think that is probably about right. I think the left is going to be terribly shocked."

[…]

"I think every day that Biden hides and Trump goes out and campaigns, the psychological message being driven to the American people is really deeper than just ideology or partisanship," Gingrich said. "It says one guy has the guts, the willingness, the toughness to actually be out here, taking on things including Covid. The other guy is hiding, frightened, hoping the news media will save him because he can't possibly save himself."

One side will be eating a lot of crow next Tuesday night. We all bank on it being Biden and his crew. And I think Newt’s prediction is about right, but taking off my MAGA hat, I can see this swinging the other way toward Biden as well. I just cannot believe the polls right now. They’re all over the place, and the early vote totals which usually trend toward Democrats aren’t trending so favorably toward Biden, especially in key states like Florida. 

Still, even with the hesitations here, I feel like we’ll be drinking up a lot of liberal tears next week.

[Mr. Jeeves]

And some I've talked to that are undecided, said they were leaning Bernie Sanders. I said "oh, the socialist/communist". They act so surprised. These are middle class landlords and people with property.

They are the ones with Sanders stickers on their BMW SUV's. Thinking he's just some nice old guy who wants to pay off their kids' student loans and tale care of people with pre-existing conditions. I know at least one young pastor who loved Sanders in 2016. Thought that he was the "Christian" candidate who cared about the poor.

Can these people be straightened out, other than through years of hard negative experiences?

[Trump.Deplorable]

Bush the Elder had the charisma of a wet towel

Bubba Clinton could charm the pants off anyone

[LucienCA13]

I too have some bets on PredictIt: AZ, PA, Trump on ECV and PV. I won nearly $2k there in 2016. The comments the Left says there! LOL Polymarket is another site you can bet on Trump, as well as a bunch of other things (many of which I find strange).

[Balding_Eagle]

Neither ran in 2016.

[funfan]

You dont think Republicans vote early?

[funfan]

You dont think Republicans vote early?

[newfreep]

Soros has financed many State Secretarys...’cuz they provide the official vote count of each state...and can control/implement the voter fraud.

Josef Stalin: “It’s not who votes that counts, it’s who counts the votes”

[aMorePerfectUnion]

Happy Birthday!

....

Ronna McDaniel
@GOPChairwoman
·

Fantastic data out of
@realDonaldTrump’s rally in Tampa!

17,420 signups

19.3% NOT Republican

25.2% did not vote in 2016

Thank you, FLORIDA!

[spacejunkie2001]

so...on predictit, you just click on the amount next to prez and add it up to the amount you deposited, for each race?

[JungleGoat77]

NY out of play with HRC as one of the Electors

[colorado tanker]

I really, really hope Newt is right. I doubt he would be this bold in his prediction if he hadn't seen some positive numbers from people he respects.

For me, there is so much uncertainty in 2020, the wackiest year I've experienced. People have COVID fatigue. Who are they gonna blame, Trump or the lockdown Governors? The Dems are forcing their voters into mail voting, which strikes me as really dumb because it derails their traditional GOTV machine. But their early vote numbers are huge. Will Trump get credit for the great pre-COVID economy or the recovery that is underway but the press is refusing to report?

So much uncertainty. One would think this would be a change election, but all this uncertainty might cause people to keep Trump in place and not take a chance on a senile guy who won't come out of his basement and a women whose only qualification was her gender and the color of her skin. What Newt is suggesting is the latter is where most people will go.

[Guenevere]

Bttt

[LucienCA13]

I think the big markets are maxed out, so no newbies. I could be wrong and I know that some smaller markets are still open. There’s a lot of ways to bet. I just do the math (1000 shares x $0.20) I make a deposit for that amount and click on the buy button. Sometimes it’s cheaper to buy say Biden No than it is to buy a Trump Yes, so watch for that. I think it’s that way imnPA no: Shares for Biden No are cheaper than Trump yes.

[libertylover]

What with 21-30 people, consistently, showing up at Joe Biden rallies, that may be too conservative.

I know. Biden has tens of people showing up at his rallies; Trump has tens of thousands of people showing up at his, so it's really hard for me to see a big Biden blowout that the MSM seems to believe will happen.

[R_Kangel]

................... Hope for the Best ...... Prepare for the Worst .......

[mlo]

"IIRC it was Stalin who once said that it's not who *casts* the votes,it's who *counts* them."

In Stalin's country that was true. If you are comparing America to the Soviet Union then maybe you're in the wrong place.

[mlo]

"Soros has financed many State Secretarys...’cuz they provide the official vote count of each state...and can control/implement the voter fraud."

Nope. Votes are tallied locally and then compiled at the state level. No Secretary of State in the US has the power to fake a result contrary to the vote count. These are all paranoid fantasies. That doesn't mean small scale fraud doesn't go on. Of course it does. But Governors and Secretaries of State are not dictating results.

[goodnesswins]

“1 behind in OR?” You gotta be kidding!

[newfreep]

NOPE!

You are wrong. You could not be more wrong if you tried.

Reread my post.

Soros financed state SoS controls the process of official votes being counted.

Nice try to misdirect.

[JoeRed]

I just read that hiLIARy Clinton is an elector for New York. PLEASE ALL I WANT FOR CHRISTMAS IS FOR HILIARY TO HAVE TO CAST HER ELECTORAL VOTE FOR TRUMP!!!