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Hurricane Ike Live Thread III
NOAA/NHC ^ | 12 September 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 09/12/2008 5:12:09 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Large and dangerous Hurricane Ike approaching the Upper Texas coast. Mandatory evacuations began in earnest Thursday as an estimated one million coastal residents headed inland. There were widespread reports of gas stations running out of fuel.

The National Weather Service posted dire storm surge predictions of 20-25 ft storm surge along the coast and bay heads. Hurricane warnings covered a 400 mile swath of the Gulf of Mexico.

Wholesale gasoline prices spiked 30 percent Thursday, or nearly $1 a gallon, out of fear of what Ike might do.

Public Advisory Updated every 3 hours

Discussion Updated every 6 hours

Buoy data: Western Gulf of Mexico

Forecast Models

Houston/Galveston Long Range Radar
Corpus Christi Long Range Radar
Brownsville Long Range Radar
Lake Charles Long Range Radar

Ike
Single Image Image Loop
Lat/Lon No Lat/Lon Short Long
Visible Visible Visible Visible
Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave
Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor
Infrared Channel 4 Enhancements
None None None None
AVN AVN AVN AVN
Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak
JSL JSL JSL JSL
RGB RGB RGB RGB
Funktop Funktop Funktop Funktop
Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow

Additional Resources:

Navy Tropical Cyclone
Storm Pulse Very cool site

KHOU Houston
ABC 13 News Houston
FOX News Houston

KPLC Lake Charles
KFDM 6 Beaumont/Port Arthur
KKBMT 12 Beaumont
KRIS-TV Corpus Christi
KZTV Corpus Christi

Brazoria County Emergency Management
Galveston County Emergency Management
Chambers Country Emergency Management
Liberty County Emergency Management

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Ike Live Thread II
Hurricane Ike Live Thread I
TS Hanna, Hurricane Ike & TS Josephine [Other than that, the tropics are calm]
Tropical Storms Hanna, Ike and Josephine, TD Gustav (Other than that, the tropics are calm)


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Arkansas; US: Louisiana; US: Oklahoma; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: arkansas; california; crude; desiel; drill; flordia; florida; galveston; gasoline; gulf; hurricane; ike; louisiana; offshore; oil; oklahoma; prices; refineries; rigs; storm; texas; weather
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To: texasredtop
The lady kept saying she thought she had more time

That is a quote from another forum (storm2k),in which a man and his dad saved a lady,in her car, from rising waters in Galveston.He said he never thought he would see what he just saw,and the storm hasn't arrived yet.911 refused to respond.

If you do stay,please use a permanent marker and write your identification information on your skin.Makes it easier after cleanup.That goes for all staying in the area.Not directed at you texasredtop:D

601 posted on 09/12/2008 10:48:05 AM PDT by quack
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To: NautiNurse
Galveston official reports on CNN that an estimated 25% of Galveston's population stayed behind. (That's better than 50%).

CNN showed the Beau Rivage in Biloxi under water past the lower parking level.

sw

602 posted on 09/12/2008 10:49:23 AM PDT by spectre (Spectre's wife (Is He the one?)
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To: pax_et_bonum

I am not giving advice. Seems to me that’s what some other folks are doing.

Also, I am not second-guessing anyone else’s decision, whether leave or to stay.

For the record, I left for Katrina. Given the information available to me at the time, it was the right call for me and I would do it again. OTOH, we stayed for Gustav. Again, I am very comfortable with the decision we made.


603 posted on 09/12/2008 10:49:56 AM PDT by Romulus ("Ira enim viri iustitiam Dei non operatur")
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To: spectre
My husband and I are ones that are hunkering in. Watching on TV what is happening in Galveston right now, is breaking my heart and the storm is still hundreds of miles out.

We go camping there several times a year at Galveston State Park. Right now, it appears that we will not be going there for some time.

604 posted on 09/12/2008 10:51:52 AM PDT by Alexis the Bengal Kitty
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To: DollyCali

I saw the car one. NO that was not it. There’s a whole bunch of options from that link. You have to scroll through them.

I’m still getting it. You can try again
http://www.foxnews.com/video2/live.html?chanId=3

or go to FOXNews.com http://www.foxnews.com/ And try the Breaking News orange header.


605 posted on 09/12/2008 10:52:04 AM PDT by metmom (Welfare was never meant to be a career choice.)
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To: lainie

I don’t know how many times I have to repeat this - we have four vehicles full of gas and can get out at any time. It is not raining her yet, not a drop. The roads are free and clear. IF we felt it necessary, we would leave. At this time we don’t feel it is. The media is total drama over this storm, praying it will turn into destruction and devastation. I’m not worried about Galveston and the residents there, they made their choices. I make mine. As far as paying taxes and receiving city services, you don’t????


606 posted on 09/12/2008 10:52:19 AM PDT by texasredtop
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To: Romulus
I think Geraldo’s getting to you. Please get a grip.

Bite me. This is not a time for someone to stumble into this thread who has already forgotten what happened with Katrina just three years ago. Katrina puts the lie to both your statements.

607 posted on 09/12/2008 10:53:12 AM PDT by dirtboy
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To: texasredtop
I think it's clear you've committed yourself to staying at this point. Therefore I would like to inform you that under FR Forum By Rule 324.87 you are expected to stay and post until the bitter end.
608 posted on 09/12/2008 10:53:15 AM PDT by Justa (The media lied while Americans died.)
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To: Romulus

I just think we should be careful not to lead someone to underestimate a storm like this.

Once they stay and it hits, it’s too late.

It’s much better to exaggerate and to get out of harm’s way than to try to guess close.


609 posted on 09/12/2008 10:53:17 AM PDT by pax_et_bonum (That midget hates it when I do that.)
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To: spectre

To me, that’s what really is chilling about Ike. The fact that places hundreds of miles away like Ocean Springs, Biloxi, New Orleans, even Tampa, are getting 4 or 6 or 8 feet of coastal flooding off this thing. I’m no professional hurricane forecaster, but I honestly cannot ever remember any hurricane ever having effects this widespread. So if it’s going to put 5-6 feet of water in the Beau Rivage way back in Biloxi, what’s it going to do if it hits Galveston Island head-on in twelve hours?

}:-)4


610 posted on 09/12/2008 10:53:17 AM PDT by Moose4 (http://moosedroppings.wordpress.com -- Because 20 million self-important blogs just aren't enough.)
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To: Alexis the Bengal Kitty
Are you in Houston?

sw

611 posted on 09/12/2008 10:53:50 AM PDT by spectre (Spectre's wife (Is He the one?)
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To: AFPhys

Folks - a request

Anybody reading this who can, please try to phone Rush Limbaugh (800)282-2882 - to try to set him straight about Ike.

He just laughed at the life threatening aspect of it... he’s clearly not up to date on what the NHC means and the seriousness of this storm.

If you feel able to explain, pleast try to get through now


612 posted on 09/12/2008 10:54:20 AM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: texasredtop

Keep a good eye out texasredtop.


613 posted on 09/12/2008 10:55:46 AM PDT by fatima (Put your lipstick on girls and go vote.)
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To: spectre
CNN showed the Beau Rivage in Biloxi under water past the lower parking level.

The Beau Rivage in Biloxi was built up high after Katrina. It is also well over 300 miles from Ike's center. Incredible storm.

614 posted on 09/12/2008 10:55:47 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Palin won more votes in her Wasilla Mayoral race than Biden got in his 2008 Pres run)
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To: spectre
Yes, we are on the west side of town. I went outside a little while ago, the clouds have started to come in and the wind has picked up a bit from this morning.

No rain yet. I do not expect that until much later. I am not too worried how we will fair, unless a tornado were to hit us.

615 posted on 09/12/2008 10:57:55 AM PDT by Alexis the Bengal Kitty
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To: DollyCali

http://www.khou.com/video/?nvid=178826&live=yes&noad=yes


616 posted on 09/12/2008 10:57:56 AM PDT by fatima (Put your lipstick on girls and go vote.)
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To: Romulus

Well God Bless you! I was there that weekend, ya know, Katrina weekend. Evacuating cut my weekend short and it ticked me off bad. I had reservations at Brigsten’s that Saturday night and was not at all wanting to leave. But I did. I’ll see NOLA in December :-) as I do every year. We missed our summer trip there this year because we were both retiring.


617 posted on 09/12/2008 10:58:08 AM PDT by texasredtop
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To: Moose4
The effects are being felt in Fort Walton Beach/Destin area as well.

The total devastation from the wide spread flooding along the 500 mile gulf coast will hardly make it past the reports about Galveston after this storm passes.

This is going to be a national disaster.

sw

618 posted on 09/12/2008 10:58:22 AM PDT by spectre (Spectre's wife (Is He the one?)
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To: AFPhys; Moose4

Excellent points.

This is what happens when language ceases to have meaning it loses impact- and the similarities to 1984 are kind of startling.

I’m looking more at the potential surge- which is where my alarm is rooted.

I’ve been sailing since I was about 5 and grew up on the Atlantic - I’ve sailed in 20 ft seas- the power of water is a fearsome element and should one lose respect for that- one will not live to tell the tale. If I were in a low-lying area I’d be heading north today.


619 posted on 09/12/2008 10:59:40 AM PDT by SE Mom (Proud mom of an Iraq war combat vet-McCain/Palin 08)
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To: dirtboy

Alright then, I’ll just go off myself right now.


620 posted on 09/12/2008 11:00:41 AM PDT by texasredtop
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