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2008 Ends Spotless and with 266 Spotless Days, the #2 Least Active Year Since 1900, Portends Cooling
Icecap ^ | Dec 31, 2008 | Joseph D’Aleo CCM, AMS Fellow

Posted on 12/31/2008 11:50:42 AM PST by Robert A Cook PE

2008 will be coming to a close with yet another spotless days according to the latest solar image.

This will bring the total number of sunspotless days this month to 28 and for the year to 266, clearly enough to make 2008, the second least active solar year since 1900.

See larger image here. http://icecap.us/index.php

The total number of spotless days this solar minimum is now at around 510 days since the last maximum. The earliest the minimum of the sunspot cycles can be is July 2008, which would make the cycle length 12 years 3 months, longest since cycle 9 in 1848. If the sun stays quiet for a few more months we will rival the early 1800s, the Dalton Minimum which fits with the 213 year cycle which begin with the solar minimum in the late 1790s.

See larger image here. http://icecap.us/index.php

Long cycles are cold and short ones like the ones in the 1980s and 1990s are warm as this analysis by Friis-Christensen in 1991 showed clearly.

See larger image here. http://icecap.us/index.php

In reply to the arguments made that the temperatures after 1990 no longer agreed with solar length, I point out that it was around 1990 when a major global station dropout (many rural) began which led to an exaggeration of the warming in the global temperature data bases. Also the length from max to max of 21 to 22 was 9.7 years and cycle 22 length min to min 9.8 years, both very short suggesting warm temperatures in the 1990s. The interval of cycle 22 max to cycle 23 max centered in the mid 1990s began to increase at 10.7 years and the min to min length of cycle 23 is now at least 12.3 years.

With the Wigley suggested lag of sun to temperatures of 5 years and Landscheidt suggested 8 years, a leveling off should have been favored around 2000-2003 and cooling should be showing up now. Looking ahead, put that together with the flip of the PDO in the Pacific to cold and you have alarming signals that this cooling of the last 7 years will continue and accelerate.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Government
KEYWORDS: catastrophism; globalcooling; globalwarming; maunderminimum; medicare; socialsecurity; solar; sunspots
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Quick post for everybody info about climate predictions:

Full (VERY IMPRESSIVE !!!) graphics are at http://icecap.us/index.php

Note that we can't really even tell how long solar cycle 23 was (is) --- since it (cycle 23) has not yet "stopped" yet. At best, we are mired in the dead period between cycle 23 and 24.

Cycle 24 refuses to begin - Dr Hathawy of NASA has already changed his prediction four times. It was originally to have begun ramping up in late 2006.

-----

Note that the impending 53 trillion dollar democrat-debt for Medicare and Social Security becomes due in 2030 and 2050, but the democrats and their MSM are claiming that a (potential) 1/2 of one degree rise in temperatures by 2050 is immediate catastrophy that requires action this year!

1 posted on 12/31/2008 11:50:42 AM PST by Robert A Cook PE
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To: Robert A. Cook, PE; Defendingliberty; WL-law; Genesis defender; proud_yank; FrPR; enough_idiocy; ...
 




Beam me to Planet Gore !

2 posted on 12/31/2008 11:55:02 AM PST by steelyourfaith
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To: Robert A. Cook, PE

If you took every internal combustion engine vehicle on earth and started them all simultaneously, then let them run for a whole year, nonstop, you could not match the the sun’s effect on the temperature of the earth for one minute...............


3 posted on 12/31/2008 11:55:06 AM PST by Red Badger (I was sad because I had no shoes to throw, until I met a reporter who had no feet.....)
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To: steelyourfaith; sionnsar; neverdem; xcamel

For reference: Watts Up with That

http://wattsupwiththat.com/

also has this report.


4 posted on 12/31/2008 11:55:43 AM PST by Robert A Cook PE (I can only donate monthly, but socialists' ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!)
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To: Robert A. Cook, PE

That explains my crappy shortwave reception.


5 posted on 12/31/2008 11:58:03 AM PST by dfwgator (I hate Illinois Marxists)
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To: Robert A. Cook, PE
Does this mean I need to get more base layers before Obama takes office?
6 posted on 12/31/2008 12:00:10 PM PST by Desdemona (Tolerance of grave evil is NOT a Christian virtue (I choose virtue. Values change too often).)
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To: Robert A. Cook, PE

Another 8 to 10 inches of Global Warming here in New Hampshire today with temps below 20. Goshdarnitall, where are the December temps in the 70’s I was promised?


7 posted on 12/31/2008 12:01:03 PM PST by LiveFree99
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To: Robert A. Cook, PE
Thanks for the post. Today from spaceweather.com:



A great deal of grant money must be riding on this cycle considering the blitz on sunspot projections being made. Got cosmic radiation block?
8 posted on 12/31/2008 12:02:51 PM PST by PA Engineer (Liberate America from the occupation media.)
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To: Robert A. Cook, PE

This quiet sun is just awful for shortwave propagation.

The last couple of days, the bands have almost been dead.


9 posted on 12/31/2008 12:04:07 PM PST by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: dfwgator

Boy you got that right.

And I just sent my brother a receiver and a 40 meter antenna for Christmas.

I had to tell him,”it isnt usually this crappy”


10 posted on 12/31/2008 12:10:45 PM PST by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: Robert A. Cook, PE

How can this be? NOAA (I think) says it will be the hottest.


11 posted on 12/31/2008 12:13:30 PM PST by Lee'sGhost (Johnny Rico picked the wrong girl!)
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To: Lee'sGhost
Guess who is about to run NOAA?

Tom Vilsack

Does this look like a man that knows what he is doing?


12 posted on 12/31/2008 12:18:20 PM PST by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: mylife

Why is that man’s head in the stuffed bear’s vagina?


13 posted on 12/31/2008 12:47:10 PM PST by Lee'sGhost (Johnny Rico picked the wrong girl!)
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To: Lee'sGhost

It’s a Dem thing.


14 posted on 12/31/2008 12:49:09 PM PST by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: mylife

The mainstream media has been on the Al Gore bandwagon so long they probably won’t mention anything about this until there’s a foot of snow in Miami Beach.

If the lack of solar activity is going to cause another Maunder Minimum mini ice-age (1645-1715), we should be stockpiling food world-wide in anticipation of crop failures due to early and late frosts.


15 posted on 12/31/2008 2:01:20 PM PST by hreardon
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To: hreardon

Good point about food shortages.

Stupid GW freaks dont seem to understand that we prosper when it is warm and dont when it is cold


16 posted on 12/31/2008 2:12:16 PM PST by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: mylife

Hopefully millions won’t die of starvation because the liberals won’t own up to their GW hoax....


17 posted on 12/31/2008 2:26:04 PM PST by hreardon
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To: hreardon

The idiots even want to burn food to stop it from being warm!


18 posted on 12/31/2008 2:29:42 PM PST by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: hreardon
"Hopefully millions won’t die of starvation because the liberals won’t own up to their GW hoax....

The libs don't give a s**t about million starving. They only care for power.

19 posted on 12/31/2008 5:00:30 PM PST by Ditto
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To: Robert A. Cook, PE

thanks, bfl


20 posted on 12/31/2008 5:56:38 PM PST by neverdem (Xin loi minh oi)
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