Posted on 12/31/2008 11:50:42 AM PST by Robert A Cook PE
2008 will be coming to a close with yet another spotless days according to the latest solar image.
This will bring the total number of sunspotless days this month to 28 and for the year to 266, clearly enough to make 2008, the second least active solar year since 1900.
See larger image here. http://icecap.us/index.php
The total number of spotless days this solar minimum is now at around 510 days since the last maximum. The earliest the minimum of the sunspot cycles can be is July 2008, which would make the cycle length 12 years 3 months, longest since cycle 9 in 1848. If the sun stays quiet for a few more months we will rival the early 1800s, the Dalton Minimum which fits with the 213 year cycle which begin with the solar minimum in the late 1790s.
See larger image here. http://icecap.us/index.php
Long cycles are cold and short ones like the ones in the 1980s and 1990s are warm as this analysis by Friis-Christensen in 1991 showed clearly.
See larger image here. http://icecap.us/index.php
In reply to the arguments made that the temperatures after 1990 no longer agreed with solar length, I point out that it was around 1990 when a major global station dropout (many rural) began which led to an exaggeration of the warming in the global temperature data bases. Also the length from max to max of 21 to 22 was 9.7 years and cycle 22 length min to min 9.8 years, both very short suggesting warm temperatures in the 1990s. The interval of cycle 22 max to cycle 23 max centered in the mid 1990s began to increase at 10.7 years and the min to min length of cycle 23 is now at least 12.3 years.
With the Wigley suggested lag of sun to temperatures of 5 years and Landscheidt suggested 8 years, a leveling off should have been favored around 2000-2003 and cooling should be showing up now. Looking ahead, put that together with the flip of the PDO in the Pacific to cold and you have alarming signals that this cooling of the last 7 years will continue and accelerate.
Full (VERY IMPRESSIVE !!!) graphics are at http://icecap.us/index.php
Note that we can't really even tell how long solar cycle 23 was (is) --- since it (cycle 23) has not yet "stopped" yet. At best, we are mired in the dead period between cycle 23 and 24.
Cycle 24 refuses to begin - Dr Hathawy of NASA has already changed his prediction four times. It was originally to have begun ramping up in late 2006.
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Note that the impending 53 trillion dollar democrat-debt for Medicare and Social Security becomes due in 2030 and 2050, but the democrats and their MSM are claiming that a (potential) 1/2 of one degree rise in temperatures by 2050 is immediate catastrophy that requires action this year!
If you took every internal combustion engine vehicle on earth and started them all simultaneously, then let them run for a whole year, nonstop, you could not match the the sun’s effect on the temperature of the earth for one minute...............
That explains my crappy shortwave reception.
Another 8 to 10 inches of Global Warming here in New Hampshire today with temps below 20. Goshdarnitall, where are the December temps in the 70’s I was promised?
This quiet sun is just awful for shortwave propagation.
The last couple of days, the bands have almost been dead.
Boy you got that right.
And I just sent my brother a receiver and a 40 meter antenna for Christmas.
I had to tell him,”it isnt usually this crappy”
How can this be? NOAA (I think) says it will be the hottest.
Tom Vilsack
Does this look like a man that knows what he is doing?
Why is that man’s head in the stuffed bear’s vagina?
It’s a Dem thing.
The mainstream media has been on the Al Gore bandwagon so long they probably won’t mention anything about this until there’s a foot of snow in Miami Beach.
If the lack of solar activity is going to cause another Maunder Minimum mini ice-age (1645-1715), we should be stockpiling food world-wide in anticipation of crop failures due to early and late frosts.
Good point about food shortages.
Stupid GW freaks dont seem to understand that we prosper when it is warm and dont when it is cold
Hopefully millions won’t die of starvation because the liberals won’t own up to their GW hoax....
The idiots even want to burn food to stop it from being warm!
The libs don't give a s**t about million starving. They only care for power.
thanks, bfl
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