Posted on 09/12/2018 1:53:29 PM PDT by NautiNurse
The National Hurricane Center has been issuing advisories for Hurricane Florence since August 30. The five day "Cone of Uncertainty" archive progression since Aug. 30 may be found here. As the super-size storm named Florence approached the U.S. Atlantic Coast, stories abound of people who are refusing to evacuate barrier islands.
The 82nd Airborne has relocated all of its assets, while FEMA is using Fort Bragg as a major staging area for post-storm supplies, including meals, water and cots. Fort Jackson (Columbia SC) has cancelled events including basic training graduation to prepare for military and civilian evacuees from coastal locations.
While hurricane preparations are rushed to completion, some stores are closing for lack of hurricane supplies inventory. Smart phone app Gas Buddy provides updates for gasoline availability along evacuation routes.
Wave heights to 83 ft. were recorded while Hurricane Florence churned 435 miles from Wilmington, NC. Storm surge is predicted to reach 6-13 ft along the coastline to the N of landfall. Steering currents are forecast to collapse at or near landfall, resulting in Florence meandering for days. This is expected to result in up to 40 inches of rainfall in isolated areas in the Carolinas, and up to a foot of rain in the Appalachian Mountains.
Tropical Storm Isaac: The government of France has issued Tropical Storm Warnings and Watches for the Lesser Antilles.
Invest 95L: The National Hurricane Center predicts 70% chance of development in the Gulf of Mexico. Limited forecast models, satellite graphics and GOM buoy info are available for Invest 95L below.
Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating.
Local Weather: |
Our prayers in the Raleigh, Durham, Chapel Hill area must be stronger than the folks in South Carolina....</s >
public advisory from a few minutes ago dropped it to 115mph
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT1+shtml/122354.shtml?
Good to know your stepson is receiving medical treatment.
Diabetes is controllable. Stay safe and we are thinking of you.
On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here--> 
My concern are the Nuclear Reactors. N.C. has 4 reactors and 4 nuclear waste ponds, S.C. has 7 Nuclear Reactors and waste ponds as well. This could cause far more damage than mere hurricane rain and winds.
The ponds are kept cool by water swirling around them. If cold water can’t contain them, then the reactors and ponds can heat up and explode.
Keep praying!
pressure rising, wind speed falling is the best news I’ve heard in 2 days
Again there is enough energy this close to shore to make the CAT irrelevant.
Mississippi found that out with Katrina. Got hit with a “3/2/1 (In many places)”, damage was extensive regardless of the CAT because of the energy already present.
Only saving grace is that the east ridge weakens and this thing quickly goes north east (Away from CONUS).
Moving more to the north and east past the forecast points right now. Either way, it’s still not good because a lot of people are going to experience heartache and loss (Hopefully just material things).
Obviously sustained tropical storm force and/or hurricane force winds over a period that could exceed 24 hours, depending on the stall, is nothing to sneeze at, but it is the sheer breadth of the storm that will cause the storm surge (again, possibly for 24+ hours) to create massive coastal flooding (and push that surge far inland).
And that isn't even mentioning the potential for very widespread freshwater flooding from torrential rains over a very large area. Note with a prolonged and powerful surge, the freshwater flooding potential (and intensity) is magnified since the natural path of the freshwater away from the inland areas can be hampered by a long duration surge.
Put simply, a potential long duration stall (as they are forecasting) of a storm of this size, spells T-R-O-U-B-L-E for many, regardless of the wind speed.
You can be confident we won’t be experiencing a Fukushima. This is a storm with many days’ lead time to prep, not a tsunami generated by an unexpected large earthquake.
What a relief to have answers and chores done.
Weather.com has current wind speed at 115 mph.
They are asking for the Galveston experience. Good luck.
I have been by there many many times, but, never in. Should be ok anyway. Gov’t would make them close and evacuate the island if they were really worried about surge.
As it is, the wind down this way will be coming off the land.
SHOULD keep the surge down.
I can’t promise anything, but, I’ve lived in the area for 58 years now. Should be ok.
Looks like the storm is fizzling out.
It flooded my town here in So.Vt above the historic high flood level in three hours. Wiped out all access in and out for three days, and heavy truck access for two weeks. No power for days and no fuel. I’m well prepared so no problem for my family, power, heat hot and cold running water. I have all manner of vehicles with abilities beyond most, but many suffered and we’re in the mountains 150 mi from the sea.
I wish it would fizzle out but I wouldn’t bet on it.
Based on the Blame Trump Media, wouldn’t it be easier to just ask the POTUS where he plans on directing the Hurricane with his Weather Machine?
Best bet is that he found the old Bush-Rove Weather Machine abandoned in the Basement of the White House.
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