Posted on 04/21/2020 6:28:51 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
The Swedish Public Health Agency has collaborated on a new study that estimates one-third of all Stockholm residents will have been infected with COVID-19 by May 1. That amounts to approximately 600,000 people in Sweden’s capital city. Sweden’s official figures report only 15,322 positive cases so far in the whole of the country, suggesting significant numbers of “invisible” infections.
The astonishing numbers are in stark contrast to the latest World Health Organization (WHO) estimates that “no more than two to three percent” of the world’s population have been infected.
Sweden’s acting state epidemiologist Anders Wallenstein confirmed the findings during the latest daily press conference about the virus outbreak. It was also revealed that a further 185 coronavirus-related deaths have occurred in Sweden in the last 24 hours, bringing the total to 1,765.
The study indicates that for every confirmed case of COVID-19, a further 999 people are likely to have been infected with the virus without knowing it. The study used a model that includes the number of positive COVID-19 cases in Stockholm from February 17 to April 10, along with samples taken from infected people in the period March 27 to April 3.
Professor Johan Giesecke, former Chief Scientist of the European Center for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC), told SVT the estimates are good. “The virus is very contagious but most people who are infected do not know it.” One of the reasons for his confidence is a new coronavirus test that has been performed on blood donors in the Stockholm region. It showed that at least 11 out of 100 have developed antibodies.
(Excerpt) Read more at forbes.com ...
BINGO!
It just joins the hundreds of other viruses and bacteria our bodies are colonized with, but have immunity to.
CC
I suspect that the number of Sweden's cases is under reported.
That's not as grim.
I'll try to type this more s l o w l y.
Active cases + Closed cases = Total cases of COVID-19
Active cases = active infection, still shedding virus, contagious
Closed cases = either recovered (cured) or dead (let me know if you need description for dead)
Sweden Total cases = 15,322 (active + closed)
Sweden Active cases = 13,007 (still contagious, infectious)
Sweden Closed cases = 2315 (either recovered or dead)
Sweden Closed cases: 550 Recovered and 1765 died
Note that more than 3x closed cases are dead rather than recovered.
Also note that 85% of Sweden's Total cases are still active.
Summary: These are grim statistics
Lol!!!!!
Without massive testing you know that is garbage. How many people recovered at home?
LG thanks for teaching us. It was very hard to figure out that chart what would we have done without you. Go back to being terrified
The death rate being higher at a given time doesn’t necessarily mean more total deaths over the span of the pandemic. You only get more total deaths if the death rate is so high that it causes the healthcare system to be overwhelmed, which hasn’t happened in Sweden and seems unlikely to happen. If the system isn’t overwhelmed, then the death rate only changes how the deaths are distributed over time, not the total number. Sweden’s strategy will result in more deaths early on but fewer later, a wash. And they will have done this without shutting down their economy.
Probably the same as everywhere else in the world
Millions of potentially dead Americans is a “few” to some people.
Sweden will likely win the Darwin Award among nations.
Well, good for Sweden, but the serological surveys in the US is what we need for decision making here.
Bucky, it sucks to be you. Day after day, you do nothing but yelp snarky comments with nothing/nada/zilch to back up your crusty screed. You bring your misery upon yourself, then you try with all of your might to drag the rest of us down with you.
Back up your "garbage" claims with data. In other words, put up or shut up, Bucky.
But antibody surveys are very inaccurate if their is a low infection rate.
IIRC DR Birx said a 99% specific test would be wrong half the time in a population with only a 10% infection rate. It’s crazy.
So if Stockholm is well infected from no lock-down it would give useful info.
BTW...
https://komonews.com/news/coronavirus/test-to-detect-covid-19-antibodies-ready-for-public-use-uw-researchers-say
Antibody test... 100% sensitivity, 99.6% specificity!
BIG news.
Maybe they can re-name it the “Stockholm syndrome”.
So you are saying that infections and cases are synonymous? They are exactly the same thing? So that the number of infections is equally to the number of cases?
Yer funny! LOL!
And yet how many have died in Sweeden of the virus? How many are asymptomatic? Are their hospitals over-run?
So far, the Swedish approach seems superior to the rest of the world.
I’ll change my mind if I see a huge spike in deaths in the near future there, but as of now they have marginally more deaths per million than most other countries, with almost none of the negative economic side effects.
Seems superior to hiding at home for months on end while our economy is decimated.
The only models I like are those in the Benchwarmer cards. Otherwise, models are just models. You can have as many types as you want and eventually one will fit your preconceived notions.
When Sweden tests 10,000 people from hotspots to rural areas, then I’ll be interested in the scope of the virus. It is bad, I know, but unsubstantiated “model” numbers don’t mean a thing. Just look at the accuracy and inaccuracy of the US vs. British “hurricane” models for the past 5 years re the US. The Brits were far more accurate with one particular type of model. We weren’t.
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