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Coronavirus deaths are now rising along with cases and hospitalizations. When will the wave crest?
Los Angeles Times via MSN ^ | 07/10/2020 | Hannah Fry, Rong-Gong Lin II, Luke Money

Posted on 07/10/2020 7:44:41 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

The surge of the coronavirus in California over the last month started with an explosion of new cases, then moved into hospitals that rapidly filled with patients and is now beginning to bring an increase in COVID-19 deaths.

The question now is how big the wave will get before it crests.

June turned out to be a grim month in the COVID-19 battle, with people beginning to socialize again in ways that allowed the virus to spread rapidly across communities. Hospitals are being hit hard as patients who were infected weeks ago are now getting sick enough to require medical care. Officials are hoping public behavior changed toward the end of June and early July, but they won’t know how that plays out for several more weeks.

California this week hit another troubling milestone Wednesday, recording the highest single-day COVID-19 death toll so far in the pandemic, with 149 fatalities reported, according to The Times’ California coronavirus tracker. An additional 137 deaths were reported Thursday, which would be the second-highest daily death toll in the pandemic.

Experts say deaths are a lagging indicator of coronavirus spread and probably reflect exposures to the virus that occurred four or five weeks earlier. Los Angeles County reported 48 deaths on Thursday, 61 on Wednesday, 45 on Tuesday and 50 on Monday. That’s substantially higher than the average of about 34 deaths per day reported in June.

Yet there are also a few signs of hope on the horizon.

Even as coronavirus-related hospitalizations reached all-time highs this week in L.A. County, they’ve been increasing at a slower rate in recent days, said Dr. Christine Ghaly, the county’s director of health services. Hospitalizations in the county topped out at a high of 2,037 on Tuesday before dropping to 1,995 Wednesday — a decline of 2%.

(Excerpt) Read more at msn.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: coronavirus; deaths; hospitalizations
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To: central_va

“No one in CA under the age of 17 has died from covid-19”

That’s irrelevant. ALL lives matter.


41 posted on 07/10/2020 9:30:34 AM PDT by nbenyo
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To: central_va
Re: “No one in CA under the age of 17 has died from covid-19.”

Same story in Washington state...

Deaths under age 20 - 0%

Deaths under age 40 - 1%

Deaths over age 60 - 90%

https://www.doh.wa.gov/Emergencies/NovelCoronavirusOutbreak2020COVID19/DataDashboard

Bottom Line...

Protect the aged and the infirm.

Everybody else - go back to your normal life!

42 posted on 07/10/2020 9:34:47 AM PDT by zeestephen
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To: zeestephen
Protect the aged and the infirm. Everybody else - go back to your normal life!

Yep, CDC should throw out everything and go with this, perhaps the hand washing reminder.

43 posted on 07/10/2020 9:36:17 AM PDT by 1Old Pro (#openupstateny)
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To: Sasparilla

Indiana was at 9.4% yesterday, with 4 times as many beds still available.


44 posted on 07/10/2020 9:39:26 AM PDT by Mr. Lucky
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To: SeekAndFind

There may be truth to this article’s headlines, or maybe not. I keep going back to the Covid-19 dashboard.

I select “trends”, then “deaths”. I see some funny things going on. A few days ago, NY state had a huge spike that day. NY state had more deaths than the nation. What? Obviously a problem with internal consistency. Now that spike for NY is gone.

To get an idea of what I’m talking about, take a look (quick before it changes) at New Jersey. You will see a two day spike, about 950 deaths each day, preceded and followed by numbers in the 20s or so.

If the state numbers can’t be trusted, can we trust a short term trend for the United States? If people are monkeying around with state data, might they do so in order to generate headlines?

HCQ use in this country was quashed by bogus studies published in The Lancet, New England Journal of Medicine, and JAMA. Those studies and others are now known to be bogus, but the damage has been done. Recovery for “science,” policy, or saving lives, is nowhere in sight on this topic.

So perhaps we are having a replay here. Bogus state numbers drive up the trend. The damage will be done before the numbers are corrected. Corrections, “that’s how science works.” Gag me with a spoon.


45 posted on 07/10/2020 10:03:01 AM PDT by ChessExpert (NAFTA - Not A Free Trade Agreement)
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To: Mom MD

‘sorry should be didn’t shut down the economy’

the original version was a great double entendre...


46 posted on 07/10/2020 10:58:06 AM PDT by IrishBrigade
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To: SeekAndFind

More lies


47 posted on 07/10/2020 11:00:26 AM PDT by Fledermaus (ONLY A MORON THINKS 6 FEET IS A MAGIC NUMBER!)
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To: SeekAndFind

you could try searching for it. i recall a number of articles some weeks or so ago posted here about it.


48 posted on 07/10/2020 11:19:07 AM PDT by b4me (God Bless the USA)
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To: nbenyo; zeestephen

Deaths under age 20 - 0%

Deaths under age 40 - 1%

Deaths over age 60 - 90%

https://www.doh.wa.gov/Emergencies/NovelCoronavirusOutbreak2020COVID19/DataDashboard

Bottom Line...

Protect the aged and the infirm.

Everybody else - go back to your normal life!


49 posted on 07/10/2020 11:35:36 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn...)
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To: cuban leaf

Note that both charts contain recent history, a marker at the end of the history, and then model projections into the furure.


50 posted on 07/10/2020 4:32:41 PM PDT by Paladin2
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To: Paladin2

Yep. Projections that never come to fruition are what has been used scare people - just like global warming.

The actual death numbers are ridiculously low for something that is being used to completely reshape our culture and drive people out of business and out of work.


51 posted on 07/11/2020 4:18:39 AM PDT by cuban leaf (The political war playing out in every country now: Globalists vs Nationalists)
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