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Momentum Stopper
The American Prowler ^ | 5/22/02 | George Neumayr

Posted on 05/23/2002 1:10:35 AM PDT by nickcarraway

Momentum Stopper

By George Neumayr

Published 5/22/02 12:26:00 AM

"Long-Shot Winner Turns Dark Horse," declared the New York Times in a Tuesday headline. "Simon Stumbles as the G.O.P. Nominee for California Governor." Nowhere in James Sterngold's story will readers learn that this "dark horse" leads in several recent polls. Why is that rather important fact left out? Because that's not the sort of information the New York Times wants to convey to its liberal readers. It must reassure them that all is well on the liberal West Coast.

Sterngold simply rehashes the story line the herd media in California decided on a few weeks ago. Sterngold uses the same tired line -- first trotted out in a Los Angeles Times "news analysis" -- that the Simon campaign "appears to have lost the momentum." How's that for hardheaded, just-the-facts reporting? It "appears" to Sterngold that Simon's campaign is petering out? "Appears" is a weasel word that simply means, "I don't have the facts." Wouldn't it be a little more honest to say that it "appears to this liberal reporter" that the Simon campaign has lost momentum?

The liberal press would rather manipulate the California gubernatorial race than cover it. Mainstream journalists create political news in California, then treat the news created through their biased coverage as objective fact. Their perception becomes political reality, which shapes the candidates' campaigning and largely determines the public's reaction to the campaign. They never acknowledge this central newsmaking role in the campaign, but instead act like innocent bystanders to it.

The Simon-momentum-on-the-wane story is not a fact, but a wish that the media intend to fulfill through their coverage. Journalists could just as easily run stories titled, "Political Rookie Leads Incumbent In Several Polls."

But the media have their story about Simon and they are sticking to it. Hence Sterngold, while ignoring polls that show Simon ahead, eagerly reports the notoriously unreliable Field Poll, a survey many pollsters consider methodologically flawed because it doesn't even bother to identify likely voters. That poll shows Davis ahead. But it also shows Davis with incredibly high unfavorable ratings -- another piece of information Sterngold doesn't consider significant enough to pass on.

He breezily disposes of Davis's endless scandals in one paragraph that begins with the understatement, "It is not that Mr. Davis has been without recent problems of his own." As if Simon's lack of "momentum" is a problem on par with blatant quid pro quos at the Sacramento Capitol.

Sterngold turns for a dim assessment of Simon's campaign to Dan Schnur, a political consultant who worked for Richard Riordan. What exactly makes a political consultant who backed the wrong candidate in the primary an expert on momentum and winning? Nothing, except that he can supply the New York Times with a quote that supports their preconception. "It's clearly taking them some time to shift out of primary mode and into general-election mode. And in a general election, you have to be prepared to go on the attack," Schnur said. Usually the New York Times frowns on Republicans who go on the attack. But for the purposes of this article, it counts Simon's restraint as a negative. Sterngold even finds a way to use Davis's corruption to Simon's disadvantage: "So far, he has not been able to exploit the governor's stumbles."

Sterngold can't complete his story without a quote from the ubiquitous Sherry Bebitch Jeffe, the Norman Ornstein of the West Coast. Jeffe is a liberal political scientist at the University of Southern California who seems to spend much of her day returning phone calls to the dominant media. She is always ready to tell the reporters what they want to hear. "Simon has gotten no traction from his upset in the primary," she said. "Simon's really been under the radar screen since the primary, and he hasn't defined himself."

It is hard to get on the radar screen when liberal reporters control it. And if Simon is not "defining himself," that's because the liberal media do not like his definition of himself. He refuses to conform to their image of him as a conservative extremist. He is running a low-key campaign as a form of self-defense against a media ready to pounce. Sterngold manages to twist the "sunny tone that Mr. Simon adopts in his efforts to strike a Reaganesque pose" as another one of his problems. He "has cast himself in the Reagan mold. To some fellow Republicans, that's a problem," he writes.

Yes, heaven forbid if a Republican sought to emulate one of the most successful presidents of the twentieth century.

Clearly any media stick will do to cripple this "dark horse."

George Neumayr writes frequently for The American Prowler and the California Political Review.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Politics/Elections; US: California
KEYWORDS: calgov2002; california; davis; elections; media
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1 posted on 05/23/2002 1:10:35 AM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: nickcarraway
The same kind of carping negative press didn't stop a fellow named Ronald Reagan from routing an incumbent Governor named Edmund G Brown.
2 posted on 05/23/2002 1:14:15 AM PDT by goldstategop
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To: Gophack;ElkGroveDan;Ernest_at_the_Beach;TheAngryClam
ping
3 posted on 05/23/2002 1:16:46 AM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: nickcarraway
I just wanted to repeat this portion loud and clear:

Nowhere in James Sterngold's story will readers learn that this "dark horse" leads in several recent polls. Why is that rather important fact left out?

For all the naysayers out there not giving Simon a chance. He most definitely has a chance to win this thing, so the sooner everyone gets on board and supports him...

4 posted on 05/23/2002 5:09:51 AM PDT by Coop
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To: nickcarraway
Once again, George Neumayr hits the nail on the head with his right on media analysis.

Simon has been out and about plenty and I have received many emails intelligently critical of Davis and his shenanigans. The media chooses to not report on Simon.

This will be the grassroots campaign to end all grassroots campaigns when Simon beats Davis.

Freepers Unite! Dump Davis! Elect Simon!

5 posted on 05/23/2002 7:14:20 AM PDT by Gophack
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To: nickcarraway;calgov2002 ;Carry_Okie; SierraWasp; Gophack; eureka!; ElkGroveDan...
Thanks for posting another good article from George!

calgov2002:

calgov2002: for old calgov2002 articles. 

calgov2002: for new calgov2002 articles. 

Other Bump Lists at: Free Republic Bump List Register



6 posted on 05/23/2002 8:53:11 AM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach
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To: all
This may be the leading edge of the Momentum Stopper

See this:

Oracle's donation plans were known

7 posted on 05/23/2002 8:55:18 AM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach
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To: Gophack; TheAngryClam; BibChr; Brian Allen ; CalGov2002; Brad's Gramma; Dan from Michigan...
CALIFORNIA-WIDE PING
8 posted on 05/23/2002 9:49:33 AM PDT by ElkGroveDan
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To: nickcarraway
When do the STD mentally demented writers and editors at the NY Slimes lie to push their agenda and politicians?
9 posted on 05/23/2002 9:53:22 AM PDT by Grampa Dave
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To: Grampa Dave
STD - Sexually Transmitted Dementia?
10 posted on 05/23/2002 9:54:52 AM PDT by Enterprise
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To: Grampa Dave
Could have something to do with Hillary supporting Davis.
11 posted on 05/23/2002 9:56:27 AM PDT by EggsAckley
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To: nickcarraway
I still think Davis will win, and perhaps comfortably. Maybe Simon can win if turnout is real low.
12 posted on 05/23/2002 9:57:29 AM PDT by lasereye
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To: nickcarraway
How Easy Is It To Slant a News Report?

Parsing the 'left' and getting it right.

13 posted on 05/23/2002 10:00:07 AM PDT by d14truth
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To: Enterprise
Close: Sexually Transmitted Disorder of the CNS: Symptons are "Incredible arrogance re reality! Inability to make a logical/legal decision, void of morality and then psuedo Dementia (can't remember/recall when they were wrong, even when shown copies of their Bravo Sierra).
14 posted on 05/23/2002 10:00:31 AM PDT by Grampa Dave
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To: Avoiding_Sulla
How's that for hardheaded, just-the-facts reporting? It "appears" to Sterngold that Simon's campaign is petering out? "Appears" is a weasel word that simply means, "I don't have the facts." Wouldn't it be a little more honest to say that it "appears to this liberal reporter" that the Simon campaign has lost momentum?"

Somebody else is clarifying for those not motivated to 'parse' between the lines.

15 posted on 05/23/2002 10:03:00 AM PDT by d14truth
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To: lasereye
"I still think Davis will win, and perhaps comfortably. Maybe Simon can win if turnout is real low."

Do I translate that into that you are not involved in being part of the solution to California's socialist/communist anti-American leanings in government?

16 posted on 05/23/2002 10:06:44 AM PDT by d14truth
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To: EggsAckley
Davis has the biggies in the Rat party including the NY Slimes, DC Compost and the LA Slimes in full panic control phase.

If he goes down, this will spread to other states and take more Rat governors down. Then, it could spread into states where Rat Senators are up for reelection.

So they have to do anything to make it appear that Simon is not winning inspite of the news each day re Davis. Then, they have to help Davis blame everything onto Enron and eventually Dick Cheney and GW. Davis has been blaming GW before he even became president for what Davis has brought onto California.

If Simon defeats Davis, and GW continues to pick up Hispanic voters in California and then Simon's voters, the Rats have lost 2004 before it even starts with GW's popularity in other states.

Their survival as a party needs to keep Davis as governor and to find a wedge issue to minimize GW in 2004. If Davis loses this year and they lose 10 - 12 seats in the senate, they are toast from 2003 to the end of GW's second term.

The NY Slimes will spend an inordinate amount of time trying to make Davis look like a winner, not the petty fascist criminal he is.

17 posted on 05/23/2002 10:09:08 AM PDT by Grampa Dave
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To: nickcarraway
I would love to believe Simon is ahead, but I note that the author does not himself tell us what those polls are. What polls have Simon ahead?
18 posted on 05/23/2002 10:14:38 AM PDT by LS
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To: all
Governor Dufus Davis applauds the NY Slimes article, and he says that Simon's Momentum has Stopped!

"TRUST ME! I'M YOUR GOVERNOR! I WOULD NEVER LIE TO MY SHEEPLE, ER CALIFORNIANS!"

19 posted on 05/23/2002 10:23:37 AM PDT by Grampa Dave
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To: d14truth
I've contributed to Simon's campaign FYI, and I don't even live in CA. I'm not saying don't do everything possible to win. I'm not one of these dorks who doesn't turn out on election day because I think my candidate won't win.

I'm just being realistic. The fact is, whatever chance Simon has of winning depends on accurately assessing Davis' strength. I don't think Simon can run a campaign that just says "I'm not Davis" and win. I don't think pointing out California's problems under Davis, like the budget deficit, is enough either. He has to run a sharp edged campaign in my view.

Bush's team committed a nearly fatal error in thinking they had the election wrapped up the last couple of weeks of the campaign. Gore kept saying "the health of the economy will be on the ballot election day" and Bush basically had no answer for it, even though alot of evidence was accumulating that the economy was slowing dramatically. Bush's team seemed to be unaware of it, or perhaps they feared pointing it out would backfire. The fact is they needed to be saying that the economy wasn't looking so hot in response to Gore.

Davis has the special interest votes he's buying and the pro-abortion vote, which is substantial in California. Simon needs to win the mushy middle of the road voters by a wide margin, meaning he has to motivate them to show up and vote heavily for him. With Davis' advertising blitz and his "It's all Enron's fault" spin, Simon probably can't do it.

20 posted on 05/23/2002 10:42:18 AM PDT by lasereye
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