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It's Way Too Early for Democrats to Panic
Real Clear Politics ^ | 6-22-2012 | Sean Trende

Posted on 06/22/2012 6:09:14 AM PDT by Sir Napsalot

I'm increasingly convinced that the Washington press corps suffers from histrionic personality disorder. For much of the first half of 2012, the stories coming out of the nation's capital were generally about the weakness of the Republican presidential field, Mitt Romney's difficulty securing his base, President Obama's burgeoning lead, and the economy finally gaining steam. Conventional wisdom seemed to have congealed around the idea that Obama was an almost-heavy favorite for re-election over the hapless Romney. Intrade scored his re-election odds at upwards of 60 percent.

(snip) Even though the economy is not going at full steam ahead, neither is it contracting (at least not yet). It looks as if Europe may hold together long enough that its seemingly inevitable collapse won’t be fully felt here until after the election. And most importantly, people don’t blame the president for the state of the economy. This really is a unique circumstance; we’ve never had a situation of lengthy economic turmoil that clearly began before the incumbent took office and then failed to make substantial progress over the ensuing four years. In other words, the traditional relationships between the economy and a presidential re-election effort might not hold.

(snip) The good news for him (Obama) is that this year, unlike 2010, the Democrats have a pretty good argument as well (losing control of the House was the best thing to happen to them in this regard), and it will only be a matter of time before Romney commits some cringe-inducing gaffe that leaves a mark of its own.

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: Politics
KEYWORDS:
As always, read the whole thing. Yes, I think it is way too early for Dems and Team Obama to panick.

Just wait another 4 to 6 weeks. Then panick time. Because Team Obama is out of gimmicks and free gifts to bribe votes.

The only thing I can think of (barring any disaster) is SCOTUS strikes down ObamaCare, then president Obama might stroke their base.

1 posted on 06/22/2012 6:09:19 AM PDT by Sir Napsalot
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To: Sir Napsalot

Yeah, let ‘em panic. Who cares? It couldn’t hurt our cause.


2 posted on 06/22/2012 6:13:24 AM PDT by lbryce (BHO-"Now, I am become Death, the destroyer of worlds by way of Trinity, NM)
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To: Sir Napsalot

I heard Obama telling an audience that he is going to give them $3,000 each if he is re-elected

That is not as good as paying them to go vote, but it is close


3 posted on 06/22/2012 6:14:33 AM PDT by Mr. K (I AM WRITING-IN PALIN/GINGRICH)
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To: Sir Napsalot; lbryce

Over 40% of all voters in America believe in this man and what he is doing to the country. These are your neighbors, your co-workers, many of your local officials, the people who you pay to teach your children and the people you pay to entertain you.

4 posted on 06/22/2012 6:15:55 AM PDT by Baynative (REMEMBER: Without America there is no free world!)
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To: Sir Napsalot
"The only thing I can think of (barring any disaster) is SCOTUS strikes down ObamaCare, then president Obama might stroke their base."

Wellll, maybe... but the base is all out of money and steam. They blew their wad last winter with those stupid, stupid occupy wallstreet "live-ins". Remember all the hype about, "I won't have to worry about my mortgage or car payments" and the Obama stash money being handed out. Those people got nuthin, maybe one hit off the crack pipe, but that was it, dey got nuthin...

5 posted on 06/22/2012 6:16:22 AM PDT by dps.inspect (rage against the Obama machine...)
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To: lbryce

I dont think our side should assume “we win”. The voters scare the shiola out of me. Ive never seen such a fickle bunch of folks. This is gonna be a battle royale!!!


6 posted on 06/22/2012 6:16:46 AM PDT by GoCards (I am a Hobbit)
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To: Baynative

It’s the same crew who pretend the planet is too warm, men become women through surgery, the women can become fearsome warriors by Exexutive Order, and that islam is religion of peace.


7 posted on 06/22/2012 6:23:24 AM PDT by Notwithstanding (Christ Jesus Victor, Ruler, Lord and Redeemer!)
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To: Sir Napsalot

It is not just the economy why we want him out - it is a long litany of things. It is deception when they say it is the economy but since that is affecting everyone - people aren’t watching/don’t care what else he is doing. How many know what he is doing everyday that they are not aware as our freedoms, safety, place in world are being jeopardized - deliberately ignoring the law of the land.


8 posted on 06/22/2012 6:24:08 AM PDT by presently no screen name
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To: GoCards

Someone pointed out something that I had never considered. There has never been a President re-elected with less support than the first time he was elected. I am assuming this applies to the percentage of support, rather than raw numbers.

Under this scenario and current economic conditions, I cannot see Obama being re-elected.


9 posted on 06/22/2012 6:25:59 AM PDT by Perdogg
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To: GoCards

Obungler is gonna get his 43% not one percent more.
All those die hard working class Democrats that have supported this idiot in 08 have had their retirements raped (GM Deal) their 401k and TSAs vanished and the national debt skyrocket.

They won’t support him again. Carter cost people big and he paid for it in 80. He’s toast, unfortunately we will not improve much with (Rino)Romney at the helm.


10 posted on 06/22/2012 6:27:16 AM PDT by VRWCarea51
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To: Mr. K
he is going to give them $3,000 each if he is re-elected

Bribery! Has mitt come out and called it what it is? They need to know and would believe it.

11 posted on 06/22/2012 6:27:21 AM PDT by presently no screen name
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To: Sir Napsalot

It’ll be panic time next Monday or next Thursday, but the fear is setting in.


12 posted on 06/22/2012 6:28:36 AM PDT by erod (This Chicagoan will crawl over broken glass to vote the fake Chicagoan Obama out!)
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To: Sir Napsalot

I’ve no doubt that there are a lot of quiet, backroom conversations going on. Things are unraveling. Next week we will have two major supreme court decisions and a full house vote of contempt on the attorney general of the United States.

Meanwhile, Romney is squeaky clean and has not been weakened in any way and all his issues (that we know of) have been vetted in the primaries. Whatever surprises the democrats have up their sleeves may have to be used early.


13 posted on 06/22/2012 6:34:37 AM PDT by cotton1706
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To: erod
Nope. I do think Team Obama have known what the outcome would be. Right now they are working double (triple) time on even more incendiary rhetoric.

Obama might even be practicing his prime time speech as we write right now.

14 posted on 06/22/2012 6:40:58 AM PDT by Sir Napsalot (Pravda + Useful Idiots = CCCP; JournOList + Useful Idiots = DopeyChangey!)
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To: Sir Napsalot
Any candidate who is genning up the base at this stage is toast!!!
15 posted on 06/22/2012 6:43:07 AM PDT by ontap
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To: Sir Napsalot

I agree with your premise, the speech the knowledge of the court decisions, but reality has a way of sucking some time. Next week will be one of those moments, mark my words, next week is the beginning of the end.


16 posted on 06/22/2012 6:45:18 AM PDT by erod (This Chicagoan will crawl over broken glass to vote the fake Chicagoan Obama out!)
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To: presently no screen name

“Has mitt come out and called it what it is?”

Mittens might not want to remind people of his own bribery caper with Paul Ryan at Cousins Sub in Milwaukee: Operation Sub-Gate!

Ken Doll handing out free sandwiches to prospective voters three days before the primary.
Rick Santorum was going to win Wisconsin. The RNC panicked.


17 posted on 06/22/2012 7:00:23 AM PDT by Mountain Mary (Liberalism is the philosophy of the stupid.)
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To: VRWCarea51
Obungler is gonna get his 43% not one percent more.

Paging Mr. Perot. Mr. Ross Perot...


18 posted on 06/22/2012 7:03:53 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: GoCards
The voters scare the shiola out of me.

And let's not forget those who count the votes.

;-)

19 posted on 06/22/2012 7:04:55 AM PDT by workerbee (We're not scared, Maobama -- we're pissed off!)
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To: erod

Let’s hope so.


20 posted on 06/22/2012 7:06:01 AM PDT by painter (Rebuild The America We love!)
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To: ontap
Any candidate who is genning up the base at this stage is toast!!!

Aren't both candidates working on that? They can't both be toast.

21 posted on 06/22/2012 7:13:03 AM PDT by Homer_J_Simpson ("Every nation has the government that it deserves." - Joseph de Maistre (1753-1821))
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To: Homer_J_Simpson
Maybe he meant incumbent? Just guessing.
22 posted on 06/22/2012 7:35:54 AM PDT by Phlap (REDNECK@LIBARTS.EDU)
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To: Buckeye McFrog

The winner will garner less than 40% of voter turn out.


23 posted on 06/22/2012 8:56:29 AM PDT by W. W. SMITH (Maybe the horse (RNC) will learn to sing)
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To: Mr. K
What is it what the Dems and the number $3000. Sandra Fluck said that birth control costs were $3000 for a student in law school. Obama said that his fuel efficiency standards would save drivers $3000 per year. Obama said that employers would save 3000% on employees health insurance under Obamacare. (Yes, he said percent, but claimed he meant $3000). There is another example I can't remember, now. Has he did tests on this magic number of three thousand dollars.

All of these numbers are wrong, BTW.

24 posted on 06/22/2012 9:03:58 AM PDT by sportutegrl
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To: sportutegrl
Sandra Fluck said that birth control costs were $3000 for a student in law school.

Technically, Fluke said "Without insurance coverage, contraception, as you know, can cost a woman over $3,000 during law school." Her speech was more artfully worded than the right wants to admit.

If pressed on the point, you could find a handful of women who needed a specific brand of contraceptive and who may have needed to spend $3,000, while the average cost was much lower. Hence, 'can cost over' $3,000.

Without listening closely, however, her statement made the situation sound more dire and generic. In fact, many didn't listen closely at all and spend the first week claiming she said she personally spent $3,000 a year on contraception.

25 posted on 06/22/2012 9:14:55 AM PDT by Scoutmaster (You knew the job was dangerous when you took it)
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To: Sir Napsalot

There are still lots of people unaware that the RNC/DNC has carefully picked Romney for the position of designated loser.
The Fabian socialists have a plan and agenda reaching out fifty to one hundred , even one hundred and fifty years resulting in the destruction of this nation and formation of their socialist utopia. Revolutionary communists want the same utopia and they want it NOW. They would be happy with lining people up and shooting them to bring about that utopia.
The Fabians will lay back and put up with the rape this nation will suffer at the hands of the revolutionary communists if it means getting their utopia sooner with their hands clean. As a side note; The Fabians apparently never study history because at that point the revolutionaries always murder the Fabians.
Romney, the Fabian, will take one for the team and throw the election to Obama, the revolutionary communist.


26 posted on 06/22/2012 9:31:43 AM PDT by W. W. SMITH (Maybe the horse (RNC) will learn to sing)
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To: Scoutmaster

I am not arguing that BC doesn’t cost $3000 for three years, or $1000 per year. I am saying that Obama pulled the number 3000 out of his butt.


27 posted on 06/22/2012 9:45:45 AM PDT by sportutegrl
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To: sportutegrl

I found the other ‘save $3000’. Obama claims his home refinance plan would save homeowners $3000 per year.


28 posted on 06/22/2012 9:49:51 AM PDT by sportutegrl
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To: sportutegrl

He he he, Obama pulled lots of things (not just the number 3000) out of his b^tts.

Unfortunately, there are still lots of lips attached to it/them.


29 posted on 06/22/2012 10:00:41 AM PDT by Sir Napsalot (Pravda + Useful Idiots = CCCP; JournOList + Useful Idiots = DopeyChangey!)
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To: Homer_J_Simpson

One of them hasn’t been president for three and a half years!


30 posted on 06/22/2012 11:53:52 AM PDT by ontap
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To: Mountain Mary

What was RS running in WI for. When/year did this pccur?


31 posted on 06/22/2012 2:25:56 PM PDT by presently no screen name
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To: Sir Napsalot
Yes, I think it is way too early for Dems and Team Obama to panick.
I think discussions get rolling here on F.R. and folks might get complacent and forget that the country is practically split down the middle politically.

And on the right-side of that divide, conservatives are definitely in the *minority*. We need to grow our numbers, but I haven't the foggiest idea how.

32 posted on 06/22/2012 6:36:28 PM PDT by jaydee770
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To: presently no screen name

This year. Wisconsin GOP primary.


33 posted on 06/22/2012 8:29:27 PM PDT by Mountain Mary (Liberalism is the philosophy of the stupid.)
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To: Sir Napsalot
I do think Team Obama have known what the outcome would be.

No doubt he received a discrete call last March on his secure Blackberry from her who failed to recuse herself.

34 posted on 06/22/2012 8:59:09 PM PDT by cynwoody
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To: presently no screen name

He was using Ryan in some kind of bribery? Any elected conservative who aligns themselves with this liberal to ‘get along’ or to benefit themselves is no conservative, IMO. He should have been given the very cold shoulder the moment he entered the GOP campaign.


35 posted on 06/22/2012 9:06:51 PM PDT by presently no screen name
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To: Mountain Mary

Post 35 for you.

I just reread what you wrote about the sandwiches before election day.


36 posted on 06/22/2012 9:21:31 PM PDT by presently no screen name
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