Posted on 10/25/2016 12:25:52 PM PDT by Degaston
We all know the MSM has annointed HRC to be POTUS 45 and I expect to see all sorts of shameless propaganda between now and when its "too late" for any difference to be made on Election Night in the last battleground state. However I'd like to get some honest assessments regarding the following battleground states. Which ones do you think are the safest for DT? Which ones are the safest for HRC? Which ones are the closest and how do you see them leaning?
Well if Trump takes MN.. a state that is so insane that it had Wellstone as its Senator and then Al Franken (although via fraud the first time) twice.... And the only state that went for Mondale... Well if she can’t hold MN, she is in huge huge trouble... Because IL and MN are states that she should be able to hold without even thinking about it... if she drops MN, she will certainly lose the rest of the Rustbelt sans IL, and likely some new england states as well.
NC is leaning DT. Will post more later
Jersey a toss-up?
I have felt since he got the nomination PA, OH, MI, WI, IN and IA were all his... at first I was a bit worried that the GOPe attempt to stop him in WI during the primaries may have poisoned that state for the general... but that doesn’t appear to be happening.
I have always felt MN and IL were the only 2 states she had a shot at holding in the rust belt...
While I can’t confirm it, there are folks in MN claiming its neck and neck even there... and if it is indeed neck and neck in MN... its hard to see how she holds anything beyond those... unless Philly fraud holds back PA from flipping... but if Trump takes Oh, IA,MI and WI, its over... there is no path for Hillary.
I openly laugh at any poll showing HIllary up big in any of these states... She si down big in OH and its evident, these polls showing her up 8 or 12 in PA are laughable. Time will tell, but I fully expect Trump to win big across the rust belt... will he get all the ones I believe he will? Maybe not.. but he’s going to take a lot of them... I really think the idea that Trump can only flip OH and IA in the rust belt is self delusion by the Dems.
They just don’t realize how much they have been abandoned by the blue collar working class democratic voter here... we literally are on a complete realignment that could last generations and turn this area consistent R if republicans don’t blow it... Its a long overdue realignment like the one that happened in the south in the late 60s and early 70s.... I truly believe now that Trump has tossed the free trade garbage overboard (and that dems have spit in the face of these folks for so long, the see the results of these politicians and that they just don’t care about them) that we may indeed be on the verge of a generational realignment.. it won’t turn solid red in 1 cycle, but if played right... and not screwed up, you could be looking at most of the rust belt states.. being as reliable red as the south.
Time will tell.
There are signs of big Michael Moore like last-minute defections to Trump from solid blue states in the north. But there are also signs of huge turnout of hispanics in AZ, NV, FL, and TX. (Trump is up in TX by only three.)
Hispanic are voting like crazy down there. That plus millions of illegals are voting with their motor-voter automatic registrations.
NH has voted Democrat in five of the last six presidential elections.
Prior to that it was red in 9 out 10. Last five polls show it going Dem.
PA, we are seeing zero enthusiasm for the nagging Lesbian with the wandering eye.
I believe you got WI in the Trump column.
I completely agree.
There is little to no enthusiasm for PIAPS here. The amount of Bernie supporters going for trump is unknown. Many hate her guts for what she did and will either sit it out or vote for DJT.
I don’t buy TX is a 3 point state.. Time will tell, but that to me is just on its face laughable.
There is no doubt the D’s have been banking on demographic shifts in the southwest to help them for a long time.. but I just don’t see TX being close at all... TX has some big liberal cities.. .but guess what? they represent about a little less than 5M folks... the state has a total of nearly 27M... even if you assume every single one of those 5M were to vote hillary (not likely)... She’s still have to get 8.5+M more votes through the rest of the state, and I just don’t see it.
I wish I could agree with you but I really think New Hampshire is a lost cause. Trump's path to the White House will go through other states.
D: -9% (blacks down over 25%)
R: Flat
I: +32% (85% white, 4% black, 50/50 m/f).
Two notes:
1) Very good showing so far in NC vs 2012 for Trump
2) The low turnout for blacks in NC may portend low turnout for blacks in MI and PA as well
If it's truly neck and neck here (I'm skeptical), the victory by default goes to HRC.
It would take a lot of votes to overcome the well-oiled and often-used DFL fraud machine.
I’m hoping they are dumb enough to believe the MSM BS that she’s way ahead despite the fact most BG early voting results are showing movement towards Trump vs Obama and won’t do anything.
Gosh I pray this is the case. I think PA is more competitive for Trump than Virginia. I think PA will be the surprise of the night.
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