Skip to comments.U.S. Will Counter Chinese Arms Buildup
Posted on 01/09/2011 3:28:04 PM PST by Allthatucantleavebehind
U.S. Will Counter Chinese Arms Buildup
Ive been concerned about the development of the antiship cruise and ballistic missiles ever since I took this job, he added. We knew they were working on a stealth aircraft. I think that what weve seen is that they may be somewhat further ahead in the development of that aircraft than our intelligence had earlier predicted.
Mr. Gates said he hoped his talks with Chinese leaders would reduce the need for more American weaponry in the Pacific. He also said that if Chinese leaders considered the United States a declining power because of the financial crisis, they were wrong.
Ive watched this sort of cyclical view of American decline come around two or three times, perhaps most dramatically in the latter half of the 1970s, Mr. Gates said. And my general line for those both at home and around the world who think the U.S. is in decline is that historys dustbins are filled with countries that underestimated the resilience of the United States.
(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...
A Chinese space-aeroplane, which is simliar to NASA's latest X-37B, has claimed to have its first flight successfully last year, according to state-owned news source in China reported yesterday:
Looks like cold-war/arms race II has begun.
Yeah, we might send a squad of homos to whine at them.
Oh, they have MUCH MORE than that to make them consider us a declining power.
Bejing is a perfect target - explain that to the Chinese. One A-Bomb no more Bejing.
So is LA.
Øbama will take care of this as soon as he gets home from his 4,857th vacation.
Why would China nuke part of Mexico?
Sorry Mr. Gates, but bad analogy. The 70's had Reagan around the corner to fix the "hollow Army" and the deteriorating Air Force and Navy.
Gates has set America on the path to a second rate military. We will soon be at as much a disadvantage with adversaries like China as we were in the 1930's with Germany and Japan. And no Ronald Reagan is there to ride to the rescue.
If we are lucky china will nuke CA anyway.
And yet Gates just advocated a $78 billion defense budget cut, and has consistently and persistently opposed funding new ships, new aircraft, new you name it. Thanks Allthatucantleavebehind.
This one is easy...much easier than the first one.
The Chinese can't even build a jet engine that works reliably...or a rifle that should <1MOA.
Nothing they do is "precision".
Effective missiles and fighter aircraft are all about precision.
The Chinese nuke force is less capable than Britain, Israel or France.
While they are building some land-mobile ICBMs...they only have about 20 in service that could reach a West Coast city. They have about another 20 liquid-fueled ICBMs that could reach the US but they take about an hour to fuel and are thus simply targets.
And, if you stick your ear to the ground you can hear their nuke subs scratching around in the Yellow Sea.
From what is know now we could either preempt Chinese nuke action...or shoot down the 10 or so missiles they send toward our West Coast.
While the Chinese have potential, the don't have the necessary skills to pose an existential threat to the US.
However, the US could eliminate them as a country in about an hour.
I resent that. There are MILLIONS of good conservatives in CA.
Do you wish death upon 38million of your fellow citizens?
In your expert opinion do you feel our nuclear sub fleet is still preeminent, and thus far unaffected in terms of ouright cuts and/or failure to upgrade technology, by the Commie Commander in Chief?
I have always viewed them as our ultimate trump card.
Yes, still preeminent.
that's not to say we haven't been hurt by cuts or that our fleet is not aging.
It DOES say the the Trident Fleet of 14 Boomers (3 of which are at sea a ready to launch at any time) and the now converted 4 SSGNs are the most effective Strategic Deterrent in the world today. I sure hope we're fixin to lay the shell of the next generation soon because some of these boats are 30yrs old.
One of the 3 SSBNs can carry 24 missiles with a 7,500mile range and each of those missile can carry up to 12 W88 warheads (475kt, or 50 times bigger than Hiroshima) 288warheads x 50 = >15,000 Hiroshimas.
There has never been a failed launch of a Trident missile from the time the first one became operational. They've been tested over 30 times.
Additionally, it's STILL the quietest SSBN on the planet and quieter than everything other than a few of DE boats and US Attack boats.
We also have the proven technology to get launch orders to them while they are submerged and on patrol.
One mission of Gates’s visit to Beijing is trying to settle a deal with China on nuke weapon development.
I certainly wouldn’t be very sure that China only have 10 or so warheads can reach USA as of now, like some of the military fans here would rather to believe.
This is especially considering the fact Gates want the nuke deal; the scale of China’s military research and spending; the rate of China’s convential weaponary productions as well as the accuracy of the information gotten by the US intel, or rather the lack of it, on the military issues on China.
chicom bump for later.......
Rubber coating on a bird that has a similar shape to the F-22 does NOT a Raptor make. Ours are in service.
Radar, ECM, Targeting & Tracking software and superior armament does.
Looking at these birds one can see little more than targets...their ass-end gives it all away.
Our existing Eagles would have no problem with these guys.
“So is LA.
No, not LA. .. but what is the next brilliant idea that the Chicom will release.
Are you sure they lag behind in these areas?
Aerodynamic layout/airframe is just more visualized comparing to the advancement of electronics.
I can show you many Chinese academic research papers on the advancements in these area (radar, ECMs, weaponarys) as well.
Pretty much the only thing China lags is the jet-engine part (which is the only things they sign new orders from Russia since 2005), but even in this special area, they are catching up quickly, with the brand-new jet eninges installed on the one brand-new J-20 prototype.
Btw, as for the airframe, being stealthy is pretty much decided by the airframe, you cannot turn a F-15 into a F-22 by some magical coatings.
So true. And that's my point.
Existing Eagles with superior avionics and weapons systems can still defeat EVERY SINGLE FIGHTER IN THE WORLD (Except Raptor). Stealth is not necessary when you can see them before they see you...and your missiles have a 90+% PK at 1.5 times the range.
We have far more reason to be concerned about Russian aircraft and they are a full generation behind us. The are building aircraft with F-15 level kill capabilities today. Over 90% of Chinese fighters are little better than an F4.
Again, empty chants.
One primary reason China stops ordering any flankers is because its rather one-sided in the internal military excerise where Su-27/Su-30 get pwned by Chinese J-10.
I can cited many official new sources about the very poor performance of Su-27/30 when it faces J-10 (also bulit by CAC):
1 J-10 vs 4 Su-27s, 4:0
2 J-10s vs 4 Su-27s, again, 4:0
6 J-10s vs 6 Su-30s, 5:0, the only Su-30 surivived was driven by an highly experienced Su-30 pilot(vice commander of the only SU-30 division in China Navy), and he narrowly escaped the hunts.
The only thing prevent China from shutting-down SU-27 productions lines is that, as a twin-engine heavy fighter, SU-27/30 get much better range comparing to J-10, which is quite critical for PLAAF especially considering the hot spots in East China Sea and South China sea, however the situation changes completely once China get their J-20 ready.
Actually, just about J-10 to finish its flight test and enter service, there were quite many airforce guys in China prefer cancelling the J-10 programme all-together and save the money for more Su-27s orders.
Guess what make them changing their minds?
The Lead project director of J-10, Song Wen-cong (who is now the vice-project director of J-20), asked the Airforce to pick their best pilots with SU-27 to have military excerise with J-10, which is driven by the test pilots of J-10.
And yet-to-be-matured J-10 beat Su-27 in one-on-one air-combat by 8:1, thats why laterly the airforce shut down the liscenc production of Su-27 completely.
Considering the fact the convential airframe F-22 is not very good at air-combat comparing with the ground-breaking unique airframe of J-20 (lifting-body co-plane canards blending with leading edges), when a F-22 is facing a J-20, the result may not much different than trying to pitting a SU-27 against a J-10.
And since according to USAF’s internal military excerise, you get something like 1:144 when trying to pitting F-15s against F-22, let along the dog-fight/air-combat monster J-20, I would expect it would be quite a bit one-sided when we trying to using F-15s against J-20.
Back at you buddy.
The first time a Chinese designed and built aircraft shoots down a US designed and built aircraft be sure to get back to me. I'll eat my hat.
In fact Chinese aircraft won't even come out to play tag when US aircraft are in the YELLOW SEA!
They won't even send out their best to confront US Aircraft which have been flying for 30 years.
Yellow sea is not belong to China, and the US Navy screamed they will enter yellow sea since probably a year ago, only after the Noko repeatedly kills quite a few Soko the supposed- US army at Korea get enough nerve to conduct quite some meaningless military excerises as pathetic anwsers to the Noko’s bombardment on S.Korea’s village.
So I don’t believe there is much to brag here from the US point of view, call me when they finally get enough nerve to do something that matters, so far, as of now, looks to me they have barked alot through.
What do you think of the Type 096 SSBN http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Type_096_submarine under development by China?
I know there are good people in CA. Can’t anyone take a joke anymore?
Everyones panties seem to be always in a wad.
I lived in CA for a few years and I am glad to be out of there.
I see why they call it the land of fuits and nuts.
It's hard to tell until the put to sea the fleet gets to listen to them. It's all about acoustics...and reliability.
Missiles are secondary as most boomers that can be heard...are followed.
If you hear them open the tubes you have to shoot them. However, if you can't hear them you can't follow them.
The 096 is likely a generation ahead of the 094 and a generation behind the Trident...roughly a Poseidon III class boat.
Again, you don't know for sure until they put to sea with a full complement.
It strikes me that the best the Chinese can come up with to wave in Gates's face prior to his visit is a fighter under development, rather than a new SSBN. I know little about the subject and rely on others like you, but this seems to be telling.
I would say SSBN is not a priority for China.
Judging by China’s location, there is very little point to build a large fleet of SSBNs.
From China, the minimum range required for a land-based ICBM from China that can cover the entire USA will be around 11000 km.
However, for a submarine-based ICBM, the minimum range to cover USA would be no less than 12500 km.
So China’s SLBM required much longer range to reach USA.
And you have to consider the fact, the sea near China’s border is not some deep sea like the case of USA.
Which means, to give a creditable submarine-based nuclear strike force, in theory China has to build much larger SSBNs comparing to USA to accommodate longer-ranged bigger ballastic missiles.
However, the averge depth of the sea (east china sea, yellow sea, etc) around China is only about 50 meter or so, huge SSBN will not be an option since its hard to move and easy to be spotted by anti-submarine methods.
Therefore, for China, SSBN is not their priority, at least before they get Taiwan,land-based mobile ICBMs are far more feasible and cost-efficient.
Also, China is making a big mistake. It should just have let the US to sit on its laurels. All this talk of ballistic-missile-this and stealth-fighter-that simply makes the US rouse itself, and once that happens China will never be able to catch up. The US was working on stealth concepts in the 70s, and has already gone through 3 generations of stealth fighters (the Have-Blue/F-117 types, the B-2 Spirit type, and now the F-22/F-35 type). China and Russia are only now coming up with their own systems, and at least when it comes to Russia they are able to deliver on engines and RADAR far better than the ChiComs. If the US starts cranking out technologies, China will never be able to catch up. Think of it ....it cannot match Russian engine production techniques of the 1980s, it cannot produce a PESA RADAR similar to the Soviet Zaslon produced in the mid-80s, and as for the anti-ship Ballistic missile China is crowing about ...the Soviets first tested an anti-ship ballistic missile in 1974, the R-27K Korabelnaya-4K18 (SSN-13) was operational in the 70s. So, while the Chinese have come a long way due to the reformist vision of Deng Xiaoping, they are not even at Russia/Western Europe level let alone that of the US. Yet all they do is prode and poke the US with all these 'new' weapons that are mostly just for show (ask yourself ...for a prototype, interest paint scheme on the J-20).
Furthermore, the US has very mature systems, and it is all about systems and not platforms. The new SU-35S fighter is a more superior platform than the F-15, but one has to look at the entire spectrum of systems. For instance ...that 'official' story of J-10s 'beating' SU-30s and being capable of defeating Typhoons. Well, take those same J-10s and fly them against Indian SU-30MKIs and Russian SU-27s, and against RAF or Luftwaffe Typhoons, and let's see what the results are.
China has come a long way. However, as it is, this is tantamount to a kid with a fast tricycle boasting of how he can stand up to a man with a Lamborghini. China has several decades of trying to copy Russian and Western Europe technologies before it can try to stand up to the US of circa 2010/11, and because of what it has been doing to seem stronger than it is it has virtually guaranteed that when it is at the level of current Russia/Wesern Europe, that the US will also have done much advancement.
However, it can always release 'official new sources' (sp) that show how their new J-44XYZ can defeat American hypersonic wave-riders .....1123456789 to 0.0987654321. Or how this 'inspired MiG 1/42/1.44' ....ooops, sorry ...the 100% totally indigenous Chinese J-20 (just as the 100% local Lavi ..I mean J-10, or the 100% local project-33 MiG concept ...I mean the JF-17) are Raptor beaters. Please, I would take a F-15K or a SU-35S over the J-20 any day of the weak.
Any day of the weak = any day of the week ....although in China’s case ‘weak’ also applies.
I don’t believe any news sources in China suggesting J-10 is superior to EF2000 in air-combat since the two have not even met yet, the only thing we know for sure is that J-10 beat Su-27/Su-30 very easily and consistently in almost all air-combats in China’s internal military excreises, and I provided the official links to prove that.
Actually, according to the pilot of PLAAF, nowdays the military excreises, PLAAF usually pit more Su-27 against fewer J-10 to level the groud, and the PLAAF pilots claimed when Su-27 faces J-10, its like Su-27 fall into a death trap, it cannot out-manuerve the J-10 and it cannot even retreat succesfully.
Which explained why Chinese show little interests in accquiring any further Su-27/30/35s from Russia despite of how big a hype Russian sources created to show how Chinese want their Su-27s etc.
It is rather amusing to know, just days before J-20 revealed, there are still some Russian news sources claimed China want their Su-35 now and will buy their PAK-FA after 2025.
Btw,some technique background:
Afterall, J-10’s airframe is a typical short-distance-coupling canard layout, the only other producted fighter that has this comparable layout is the French Raflafe, this airframe has superior dog-fight performance at the expense of far more complicate flight-control system and slightly-less top-speed, comparing to long-distance-coupling canards.
Thats why I am not surprised at all when rumors say that French bird beat the crap out of EuroFighter 2000 in the interal military excresise, even through tech-wise, the two should be at roughly the same level.
As for J-20’s airframe, its far better type of enhanced canard airframe (enhanced with blended strakes and huge lifting-body), wind-tunnel tests suggest such airframe offers 40%+ lifting force/tonque over even the next-best option (e.g. enhanced short-distance coupling canards), so I certainly wouldn’t worry about the performance of this monster.
I've never understood why the Chinese (and I assume you are Chinese - joined Dec 31 2010, weird/convoluted English syntax, masturbatory fantasies about the J-10 ....) think their copies are in any way comparable to advanced Western designs. The J-10 is simply a design influenced by the Lavi, and it (nor the Lavi) can never be compared to a twin-engined advanced 4.5 Gen Western fighter like the Rafale.
As for the rumors of the Rafale trouncing the Typhoon. Well, the Typhoon pilots also talked about that information, and it was quite balanced. No plane 'defeated' the other. The rumors of what you call an 'interal' military excercise had been published in a magazine, and once more information came out following the extrapolated talk of certain defeats it showed the initial statements were ...well ...'enhanced.' Although that doesn't matter ...even if a single Rafale had defeated a combined force of all Raptors and all Typhoons in the globe, it doesn't mean a thing when it comes to the J-10. The J-10, when it matures, will be more comparable to a Block 50 F-16 (note: when it is mature). It will never be comparable to a Rafale or a Typhoon. The airframes and innards simply do not allow it too.
Thus, apologies to your Chicom sensitivities ...but the Chengdu J-10 will never be more, at its best in another decade or so, than a suped-up F-16.
As for the Russians vs the Chinese ....well, wake me up when the Chinese can make a functional copy of a 80s Russian engine design that doesn't require overhaul every 30 hours. For that matter, when the Chinese can come up with something that is not a copy of some existing design or concept. It is interesting that the Russians decided not to go ahead with the MiG-1.42/1.44 concept even after money started flowing in from gas/oil, yet over a decade later the Chinese are wetting themselves over the J-20.
Graphic of what the MiG-1.42/1.44 would have looked like when completed. Yet the Russians discarded the design. Well, it is good enough for their southern neighbors though, hah!
You state the the J-20 has '40%+ lifting force/tonque' (huh ...tonque???? LOL) ....interesting you have such information. Did your task-master at Chengdu send you over on the 31st of December 2010 to sprinkle information on the J-20? If so, thank him ...but ask for more advanced English diction lessons. Already the Pentagon has responded on what they think of the J-20. They are not worried. Please also tell your head of department at Chengdu that the folks at FR require someone more capable and with greater 'technique background' (whatever that is) than you. After all, all that you are leaving behind dear Allthatucantleavebehind is simply laughter. Guess you are one of those Chinese fanboys claiming the J-20 is nearly as stealthy as the Raptor because its cockpit looks like the Raptor, huh. After all, you just claimed the J-10 is comparable to a Rafale because they both have close-coupled canards (or, to use your own words, something called 'typical short-distance-coupling canard layout' based on your great 'technique background').
Thanks for the laugh. Now go get some dim sum.
I am very impressed that you still believe in whatever Russians say.
I heard Russians even enterainingly claimed PAK-FA is 20 years ahead of J-20, LOL.
But I guess, in the end, pictures worth thousands words, so I bet we all know which one is better.
No wonder you are very insecure about PAK-FA, however I think by keeping telling to yourself that “PAK-FA is far ahead of J-20 blah blah blah” maybe eventually one day you may even believe your own words, hehehe.
Anyway, lets move on, stop wasting time on topic like PAK-FA vs J-20, its meaningless because we all have seen the pictures and we all know the answer, just someone prefer to remain in denial at the moment, thus no point to discuss anymore here, hehehe.
Notice some similarities to the 'original' Chengdu J-20.
I was serious though about Chengdu bringing someone with greater 'technique information' than you. Maybe several pay grades above you.
MiG-MFI aka the 'original' J-20:
MiG-1.42 ...move the intakes to the side and make the front slightly more shaped, and you have the 'original' J-20.
The TOTALLY 'original' J-20:
Lavi aka the 'original'J-10:
Here is the Lavi ....basically lengthen it a bit, and make crude attachments for the intake to the fuselage, and you have the 'original' J-10 (oh, and again ...the J-10 is in NO WAY similar to the Rafale). The Lavi:
Here is the 'original' J-10:
MiG-33 concept aka the 'original' JF-17:
Then you have the project-33 by MiG that was sold to China by Russia, and ended up being slightly changed into the 'original' JF-17.
Here is the 'original' JF-17:
I could do the same for your submarines, even your rifles! Face it ...all China does is make sub-par clones of Western and Russian designs. Then claim they are as good as Rafales and Raptors, when they cannot even get an engine design or a 1980s PESA RADAR straight.
Overall, I would have to agree with you assessment (despite your brashness). China will have to eat humble pie for at least two more decades.
But keep in mind, short of a deliberate confrontation, China will continue to close the gap. China's weakness with the US is her current level of military technology. But no one, not even the US, will be able to match China's ability to build, build and build. An American admiral even conceded that it would be foolish, in the long term, to ever match China one for one in hardware. In other words, once China does have a design of a particular hardward they feel is worth building en masse, whether it be an aircraft carrier, fighter jet, etc., she could crank out greater quantities than the US hope to.
The US will need to continue to keep the technological gap wide enough so as to make it futile for China to ever enter into a mass build up. I doubt the US can maintain the deterent technological gap over the next couple of decades.
As you may tell by now, your rancid Chinese mumblings are not going to get the same 'wow' reception on FR as they may on Chinese forums. Also, AGAIN, you cannot compare a SINGLE ENGINED, POOR AVIONICS, POOR MMI, POOR ENGINE (actually worse than poor), ANEMIC SENSOR-SUITE, POOR T/W, POOR WINGLOADING, Chinese clone of the Lavi to a TWIN-ENGINED, HIGHLY ADVANCED AVIONICS, SUPERLATIVE SENSOR-SUITES, SUPERLATIVE WINGLOADING AND T/W, ARGUABLY THE MOST ADVANCED MMI (until the F-35 comes into being), HIGHLY ADVANCED ENGINE, ONE OF THE MOST ADVANCED ECM/ECCM SUITES plane like the Eurofighter and Rafale. The J-10 is simply a single-engine clone ....just because the Chengdu piece of crap has canards doesn't mean it is fit to wipe the butt off a Rafale.
As for the question about the J-20 and MiG-MFI ...I have already answered it in my prior post (as well as throwing you a bonus in the form of where the 'original' J-10 and JF-17 came from). I even put comparative pictures. I understand that you're probably not the smartest Chinese to try and troll FR (there was one a month before you who at least kept it going for over 50 posts before he got banned), and your posts do expose quite well the myopia that infects the average Chinese blogger who feels their equipment is advanced, but the sad fact is that the Chinese military (for all its development over the last twenty years) is simply not that advanced. Most of your airforce, for instance, is still flying what are effectively 1960s Soviet-era designs warmed over with some dim sum. Yet the average Chinese is stupid enough to compare the J-10 with the Eurofighter and the Rafale ...yes, stupid. Because all you are basing it on is the presence of canards.
China has never developed a completely original design, whether it is a simple motorcycle (poor copies of Japanese designs), vehicles (rather sad looking copies of Japanese, South Korean and Western designs), electronics (want a dual-SIM iPhone ...even though Apple doesn't have dual-SIM phones) and so on. It is the same with your military. You make inferior copies that look somewhat similar on the outside, and are totally not-to-par on the inside (again, engine and RADAR issues galore) and then claim they are world-beaters.
All China does is make the US take note and spend more, as Gates said just two days ago. All this chest thumping by you guys only makes YOUR position worse, because now the US will start putting more effort into further developing its military. Already the Chinese armed forces are probably a generation to a generation-and-a-half (according to Gates) behind the US. Soon that gap will go to a generation-and-a-half to two generations behind.
FReepers are actually quite grateful to you and your kind. The silly blustering by your 'wise leaders' and show-casing of specific anti-American capabilities have finally made even Gates and the Obama administration to get some sense and prudence knocked into them.
BTW, just to avoid more photos of Typhoons and Rafales and J-10s ...the J-10 is not, and will never be, anything close to a either of the twin-engined Eurocanards. When the J-10 is mature, maybe 10-15 years from now, it will be comparable to a Block 50 (maybe a gelded Block 60) F-16. Assuming you guys solve the engine issues, upgrade the avionics, finally sort out the pernicious engine problems. You get a nice F-16 from it. However, it will never be a Rafale.
The PAK-FA being a cruel joke??? The J-20 wonderjet would have remained on paper without Russian help including its engines.
If the J-10 was so cool compared to the Flanker, why is China still building the Flanker (albeit the J-11 copy)?? Shots of exercises in places like Tibet seem to be featuring the Flankers more.
“I’ve never understood why the Chinese (and I assume you are Chinese - joined Dec 31 2010, weird/convoluted English syntax, masturbatory fantasies about the J-10 ....) think their copies are in any way comparable to advanced Western designs.”
Good call...I was thinking the same thing. Also, I can’t help but notice anytime a story comes out about this plane being better than that plane, just consider the source. The Rafale better than Typhoon because France says so? The Typhoon better than F-22 because EADS and their media lackeys say so? And e best yet, the J-20 better than most anything because e Chinese say so? Sure.
How would Chinese control of Taiwan change the desirability of SSBN deployment?
I had not even seen this piece of cr@p. Goodness, you are saying that the F-22 is 'not very good at air-combat' compared to the 'ground-breaking' J-20! Do you know how astoundingly stupid that is? Even for one as you?
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