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NASA: Huge Defunct Satellite Will Fall to Earth This Week
NASA Space News ^ | 19 September 2011 | Tariq Malik, SPACE.com Managing Editor

Posted on 09/20/2011 3:51:51 PM PDT by LucyT

A dead climate satellite that has been circling Earth for 20 years will make a fiery death plunge this week, with some pieces of the 6 1/2 ton spacecraft expected to reach the surface of the planet, NASA officials say.

The bus-size Upper Atmosphere Research Satellite, or UARS, will likely plummet down to Earth sometime around Friday (Sept. 23), according to NASA's latest projections.

There is a 1-in-3,200 chance that UARS debris could hit a person, though NASA considers that scenario extremely remote.

"Re-entry is expected Sept. 23, plus or minus a day," NASA officials wrote in an update posted Sunday (Sept. 18). That means that by Saturday (Sept. 24), the UARS satellite should slam into Earth's atmosphere and break apart.

(Excerpt) Read more at space.com ...


TOPICS: Science
KEYWORDS: debris; nasa; researchsatellite
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To track satellite:

http://www.stoff.pl/

After you have downloaded program, then click
Start
Documents
Downloads

Save to screen saver, and desktop shortcut

After it appears on your screen,

Look in list on right and select/ click UARS

Then - in the top right side is a little button, click to open a window to decide what to do with screensaver.

It is minimized on my computer at the moment. Fun stuff.

1 posted on 09/20/2011 3:51:59 PM PDT by LucyT
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To: KevinDavis; SunkenCiv; Berlin_Freeper; Hotlanta Mike; Silentgypsy; repubmom; HANG THE EXPENSE; ...

2 posted on 09/20/2011 3:54:45 PM PDT by LucyT
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To: LucyT

Could it be arranged to fall on Al Gore’s palace?


3 posted on 09/20/2011 3:56:33 PM PDT by beethovenfan (If Islam is the solution, the "problem" must be freedom.)
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To: beethovenfan

I choose San Fransisco. Who's with me?

4 posted on 09/20/2011 3:58:27 PM PDT by concerned about politics ("Get thee behind me, Liberal")
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To: LucyT

Thanks, Lucy. Taking four grandchildren camping Friday for three days. If it looks like Rushmore Shadows Campground is in the “kill zone”, please send me an urgent message.

I’ll make sure that we all don my Calphalon pots on our heads. I would hate to have our hotdogs and s’mores disrupted.


5 posted on 09/20/2011 4:02:43 PM PDT by Rushmore Rocks
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To: LucyT

Boy, wouldn’t it be hilarious if it landed right the **** on...

Nevermind!


6 posted on 09/20/2011 4:03:14 PM PDT by chris37 (representative)
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To: LucyT

They are probably deliberately de-orbiting that bird while they still can, just to be sure there is no hard evidence, before the whole AGW fraud is exposed and the prosecutions begin.


7 posted on 09/20/2011 4:03:58 PM PDT by infool7 (Let us water the tree...)
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To: LucyT
That 1 in 3,200 chance of hitting someone seems way too high.

The odds of being hit by lightening are 1 in 1,000,000 in a given year and lightening is going on somewhere on a daily basis. Add to that the earth is 70% water and only 28% of the remaining 30% total land mass is populated and I'm thinking those odds are off. More phony panic being created?

Just thinking out loud and ducking for cover as it comes down....

8 posted on 09/20/2011 4:05:56 PM PDT by Reagan is King
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To: Reagan is King

With all the moozlum “outreach” at NASA maybe some moozlums can “catch” it for us.


9 posted on 09/20/2011 4:07:49 PM PDT by hal ogen (First Amendment or Reeducation Camp?)
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To: hal ogen

Good idea! I’m thinking the Gaza Strip might be a good landing zone?


10 posted on 09/20/2011 4:09:22 PM PDT by Reagan is King
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To: beethovenfan

The current FR betting pool has these places listed where the satellite might land.

The White Hut
Mecca
Al Gore’s house (either of them)
The Breck Hair Girl’s house
UN Buildings in NYC or Geneva

Any other suggestions?


11 posted on 09/20/2011 4:25:43 PM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (It's the end of the world as we know it and I feel fine!)
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To: beethovenfan

“Could it be arranged to fall on Al Gore’s palace?”

That and the WH and the Capitol building.


12 posted on 09/20/2011 4:35:49 PM PDT by Gatún(CraigIsaMangoTreeLawyer)
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To: LucyT; Jack Hydrazine

Thanks, Lucy, for the ping.

Hmm...Mecca or the UN...

The UN or Mecca...

Tough, tough call.

Produces coin: heads, UN; tails, Mecca.

Tosses.

Tails.


13 posted on 09/20/2011 4:39:06 PM PDT by Fantasywriter
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To: Jack Hydrazine

Your list sounds great to me. You did leave out the capitol building, but I believe everyone is on their way home on Fridays so sadly it will be empty.

Speaking for myself, the Breck Hair Girl’s house is in the past since he will be going to the slammer.


14 posted on 09/20/2011 4:47:45 PM PDT by Gatún(CraigIsaMangoTreeLawyer)
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To: Reagan is King
1 in 1,000,000 is your average chance of getting hit by lightning in a given year. Implies that 6,000 people will get struck in a year.

This 1 in 3,200 is the chance that out of 6+ billion people, someone will get hit by debris, the odds that there will be at least one person. By comparison, the odds that at least one person on Earth will be struck by lightning are almost 100% - the chance that no one at all will get struck in the next year are 0%.

The math for this would be 1 - the chance of an individual getting hit (say, 1 - 0.00000000005 = .99999999995), taken to the power of the number of people on Earth (and remember that when fractions less than 1 are multiplied together, they move towards 0), then that value subtracted from 1.

15 posted on 09/20/2011 4:48:06 PM PDT by Styria
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To: Fantasywriter

“Tough, tough call.

“Produces coin: heads, UN; tails, Mecca.”

That indeed is a tough call. If the coin said Mecca, it is Mecca as called.


16 posted on 09/20/2011 4:53:47 PM PDT by Gatún(CraigIsaMangoTreeLawyer)
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To: LucyT

I remember when Skylab was falling. It passed over the US 16 times each day. I assume likewise for this satellite.


17 posted on 09/20/2011 4:57:15 PM PDT by killermosquito (Buffalo, Detroit (and eventually France) is what you get when liberalism runs its course.)
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To: Gatún(CraigIsaMangoTreeLawyer)

It’s too much to hope for, but the sheer deliciousness of their heads exploding, if that idiotic black rock took two in the hat, is just so tantalizing. If only it could be. I’m sure they’d try to retaliate against NASA or something, but still. The Muslim outrage/lunacy would be the best entertainment going.


18 posted on 09/20/2011 5:11:32 PM PDT by Fantasywriter
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To: infool7
"They are probably deliberately de-orbiting that bird while they still can"

Unlikely, that thing is out of fuel and out of control, from what I've read. It is gonna come down wherever gravity and drag say for it to. I'm OK if it lands on Obamalamadingdong's head.

19 posted on 09/20/2011 5:26:46 PM PDT by West Texas Chuck (Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms. That should be a convenience store, not a Government Agency.)
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To: LucyT

20 posted on 09/20/2011 5:32:12 PM PDT by mnehring
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To: Reagan is King
That 1 in 3,200 chance of hitting someone seems way too high.

I agree - waaaay to high. Unless they're not telling us the whole truth... like there's 3,000 of them and they're all coming down ten minutes apart...and each of them weighs 20 tons... and no part of the orbit goes over water... and...and... and....

21 posted on 09/20/2011 5:52:03 PM PDT by GOPJ (126 people were indicted for being terrorists in the last two years. Every one of them was Muslim.)
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To: LucyT
"If any pieces of the satellite debris do fall over or near a populated area, NASA and the U.S. military warn the public not to touch UARS remains. Instead, local law enforcement officials should be contacted, NASA officials said. Any debris from the UARS satellite still remains the property of the U.S. government and cannot be sold for profit to collectors or on eBay, they added."

Yea, never mind that it was US taxpayer dollars that paid for this. I say screw them, finders keepers.

22 posted on 09/20/2011 6:18:22 PM PDT by Jed Eckert
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To: Jed Eckert

Just like MRE cases are marked Property of US Govt— Not for resale.... but it gets sold anyway.


23 posted on 09/20/2011 6:33:24 PM PDT by Redcitizen (Transmute lead into gold-- buy ammunition.)
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To: mnehring

hey the middle east is right on the path. be a darn shame to waste all that kinetic energy. ;)


24 posted on 09/20/2011 6:38:05 PM PDT by Redcitizen (Transmute lead into gold-- buy ammunition.)
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To: LucyT

And just why can’t those NASA supercomputers predict exactly where the satellite will crash. We have these same experts predicting global warming down to the thousandth of a degree and with all this proliferation of overpaid doctorates, they can’t even guess where the thing will crash?


25 posted on 09/20/2011 7:05:21 PM PDT by RetiredTexasVet (There's a pill for just about everything ... except stupid!)
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To: LucyT

Additionally, if I were the Food Stamp President or Eric (the bigot) Holder, I would be on the phone with the NASA clowns about this problem. Just think what a disaster it would be if the satellite crashed on their gun running operations ... the satellite would kill a third or so of the entire ATF and ruin the sales for the quarter and diminish Zero’s campaign donations from Mexican customers.


26 posted on 09/20/2011 7:10:59 PM PDT by RetiredTexasVet (There's a pill for just about everything ... except stupid!)
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To: LucyT

Just in time for Elenin, too???


27 posted on 09/20/2011 7:26:35 PM PDT by RaceBannon (Ron Paul is to the Constitution what Fred Phelps is to the Bible.)
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To: Jed Eckert
I say screw them, finders keepers.

What hits me is mine.

28 posted on 09/20/2011 9:09:06 PM PDT by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly. Stand fast. God knows what He is doing.)
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To: Fantasywriter

I have no problem with that.


29 posted on 09/20/2011 9:20:59 PM PDT by Netizen (Path to citizenship = Scamnesty. If you give it away, more will come. Who's pilfering your wallet?)
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To: RetiredTexasVet
We have these same experts predicting global warming down to the thousandth of a degree and with all this proliferation of overpaid doctorates, they can’t even guess where the thing will crash?

No, we do NOT have the same experts predicting global warming and doing orbital mechanics.

They're two entirely different sets of experts.

The global warming crowd will bullshit you as soon as look at you, because that's all they have.

The actual rocket scientist and engineers are a real no BS crowd. If you screw up the orbit calculations, you'll smash a spacecraft into Mars. There's no room for BS.

And that's why the orbital mechanics crowd won't give you BS predictions as to when this satellite will finally bite it because they don't know. They know within some range of uncertainty, and they have a good idea of what that range is.

And that's what they're telling you.

The global warming crowd should learn about scientific honesty from them.

And you should quit slandering the rocket scientists by confusing them with the global warming idiots.

30 posted on 09/20/2011 9:21:21 PM PDT by ArrogantBustard (Western Civilization is Aborting, Buggering, and Contracepting itself out of existence.)
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To: ArrogantBustard

You are correct but the rocket scientists should urge NASA to stop using the credibility they built to back the global warming nonsense.


31 posted on 09/20/2011 9:31:26 PM PDT by Straight Vermonter (Posting from deep behind the Maple Curtain)
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To: Styria

Thanks, now I’m having nightmares of stat class, lol! Good info, thanks.


32 posted on 09/21/2011 6:52:02 AM PDT by Reagan is King
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To: GOPJ

That’s what I was thinking, that maybe there’s going to be 1,000 pieces instead of just a few big chunks that might get through. The odds would be greatly increased but I better let Styria (see post above) do the math on that!


33 posted on 09/21/2011 6:55:37 AM PDT by Reagan is King
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To: Reagan is King

I think Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s house would be a good place or if he is flying, his plane gets hit !

> Good idea! I’m thinking the Gaza Strip might be a good landing zone?


34 posted on 09/21/2011 7:01:09 AM PDT by CORedneck
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To: GOPJ

That’s what I was thinking, that maybe there’s going to be 1,000 pieces instead of just a few big chunks that might get through. The odds would change but I better let Styria (see post above) do the math on that!


35 posted on 09/21/2011 7:19:48 AM PDT by Reagan is King
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To: LucyT

Only difference is George was killed by a falling toilet seat. Whatever falls from the sky onto someone's head would stink.

36 posted on 09/21/2011 10:25:51 AM PDT by bgill (There, happy now?)
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To: Reagan is King

What speed would those pieces be falling and at what temperature?


37 posted on 09/21/2011 10:32:40 AM PDT by bgill (There, happy now?)
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To: bgill

I’m guessing 2,000 degrees F and 400 mph.


38 posted on 09/21/2011 11:06:05 AM PDT by Reagan is King
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To: mnehring

Ground tract of uars orbit... you’ve only got one track in your graphic. Could you post this one? Thanks.

http://www.space.com/12999-dead-nasa-satellite-falling-earth-sept-23.html


39 posted on 09/21/2011 11:13:43 AM PDT by GOPJ (126 people were indicted for being terrorists in the last two years. Every one of them was Muslim.)
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To: Reagan is King
Check this out - the debris field is over the most populated areas.

Some plutonium powered satellites were put up some years ago. Was this one of them? http://www.space.com/12999-dead-nasa-satellite-falling-earth-sept-23.html

40 posted on 09/21/2011 11:18:47 AM PDT by GOPJ (126 people were indicted for being terrorists in the last two years. Every one of them was Muslim.)
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To: Reagan is King

Check this out - the debris field is over the most populated areas. Some plutonium powered satellites were put up a few years ago.

Was this one of them?

http://www.space.com/12999-dead-nasa-satellite-falling-earth-sept-23.html


41 posted on 09/21/2011 11:19:39 AM PDT by GOPJ (126 people were indicted for being terrorists in the last two years. Every one of them was Muslim.)
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To: LucyT

500 mile debris field... fun.

http://www.space.com/12909-uars-satellite-debris-fall.html


42 posted on 09/21/2011 11:33:42 AM PDT by GOPJ (126 people were indicted for being terrorists in the last two years. Every one of them was Muslim.)
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To: Berlin_Freeper; Hotlanta Mike; Silentgypsy; repubmom; HANG THE EXPENSE; Nepeta; Bikkuri; Plummz; ...
Ping.

Update.

Wednesday, Sep. 21, 2011

RE-ENTRY ALERT: UARS, a NASA satellite the size of a small bus, will re-enter the atmosphere later this week. Best estimates place the re-entry time during the late hours of Sept. 23rd over a still-unknown region of Earth. "It is still too early to predict the time and location of re-entry," says NASA. "Predictions will become more refined over the next two days."

The disintegration of UARS is expected to produce a fireball that could be visible even in broad daylight. Not all of the spacecraft will burn up in the atmosphere, however; according to a NASA risk assessment, as many as 26 potentially hazardous pieces of debris could be scattered along a ground track some 500 miles long. The same report puts the odds of a human casualty at 1 in 3200.

On Sept. 15th, astrophotographer Theirry Legault video-recorded the doomed satellite during one of its last passes over France:

"The satellite appears to be tumbling, perhaps because a collision with satellite debris a few years ago," notes Legault. "The variations in brightness are rapid and easily visible to the human eye." (Other observers have reported UARS flashes almost as bright as Venus.)

http://www.spaceweather.com/

43 posted on 09/21/2011 12:39:53 PM PDT by LucyT
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To: LucyT

Thank you. I have downloaded it and am running it.


44 posted on 09/21/2011 12:51:45 PM PDT by hoagy62 ("Polls are for strippers and cross-country skiers”~Sarah Louise Palin)
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To: GOPJ

Note the captions. That one was a joke.


45 posted on 09/21/2011 1:04:02 PM PDT by mnehring
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To: LucyT

Cue the theme to the movie, Armageddon.


46 posted on 09/21/2011 1:21:46 PM PDT by bgill (There, happy now?)
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To: bgill
Where's Bruce Willis when you need him?


47 posted on 09/21/2011 1:25:43 PM PDT by bgill (There, happy now?)
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To: GOPJ
A plutonium "climate" satellite? I really don't know. That may make the climate kooks have a stroke if they hear that, lol. I remember them griping about that Cassini probe having plutonium on it saying we were "polluting" Saturn.

I think they use the radioactive stuff for the long distance satellites but I'm not sure.

48 posted on 09/21/2011 1:54:58 PM PDT by Reagan is King
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To: mnehring

Good one - Santa and penguins - yep - I missed it alright.


49 posted on 09/21/2011 2:22:30 PM PDT by GOPJ (126 people were indicted for being terrorists in the last two years. Every one of them was Muslim.)
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To: LucyT

Thanks for the ping, Lucy. Please keep us posted on the latest if you can, and thanks!


50 posted on 09/21/2011 3:26:20 PM PDT by seekthetruth (A President is sworn to uphold the Constitution. If he doesn't, IMPEACH him!)
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