Posted on 12/24/2011 7:07:09 AM PST by SeekAndFind
Population decline is the elephant in the world's living room. As a matter of arithmetic, we know that the social life of most developed countries will break down within two generations. Two out of three Italians and three of four Japanese will be elderly dependents by 2050. If present fertility rates hold, the number of Germans will fall by 98% over the next two centuries. No pension and health care system can support such an inverted population pyramid. Nor is the problem limited to the industrial nations. Fertility is falling at even faster rates - indeed, at rates never before registered anywhere - in the Muslim world. The
world's population will fall by as much as a fifth between the middle and the end of the 21st century, by far the worst decline in human history.
The world faces a danger more terrible than the worst Green imaginings. The European environmentalist who wants to shrink the world's population to reduce carbon emissions will spend her declining years in misery, for there will not be enough Europeans alive a generation from now to pay for her pension and medical care. For the first time in world history, the birth rate of the whole developed world is well below replacement, and a significant part of it has passed the demographic point of no return.
But Islamic society is even more fragile. As Muslim fertility shrinks at a rate demographers have never seen before, it is converging on Europe's catastrophically low fertility as if in time-lapse photography. The average 30-year-old Iranian woman comes from a family of six children, but she will bear only one or two children during her lifetime. Turkey and Algeria are just behind Iran on the way down, and most of the other Muslim countries are catching up quickly.
(Excerpt) Read more at atimes.com ...
Don't go trying to put a happy face on this.
I wonder if, when Caucasians all over the world become the poor, oppressed minority, they will begin to reproduce like rabbits, and start the cycle again?
Spengler is NOT putting a happy face on it. In fact, after observing how aboriginal cultures today have higher suicide rates even among the young, he makes this observation...
Spengler’s Universal Law #2: When the nations of the world see their demise not as a distant prospect over the horizon, but as a foreseeable outcome, they perish of despair. Like the terminally ill patient cashing in his insurance money, a culture that anticipates its own extinction has a different standard of rationality than does conventional political science.
Here’s an interesting factoid — LANGUAGES are GOING EXTINCT TOO.
From the article:
_________________________
Of the more than 6,000 languages now spoken on the planet, two become extinct each week, and by most estimates half will fall silent by the end of the century. [5]
A United Nations report claims that nine-tenths of the languages now spoken will become extinct in the next hundred years. [6]
Most endangered languages have a very small number of speakers. Perhaps a thousand distinct languages are spoken in Papua New Guinea, many by tribes of only a few hundred members. Several are disappearing tribal languages spoken in the Amazon rainforest, the Andes Mountains, or the Siberian taiga. Eighteen languages have only one surviving speaker. It is painful to imagine how the world must look to these individuals. They are orphaned in eternity, wiped clean of memory, their existence reduced to the exigency of the moment.
Spengler is brilliant, but he scares the daylights out of me.
Come on, We started with only two people. How can we be past the point of no return?
—a horde of the little darlings aren’t nearly so cute when they cease being necessary for agricultural hep—
It does go in cycles. What happened after the potato famine, or the black plague?
War is another incentive.
Marking
Well, in the end, it won’t matter. But, yes, it is not what I want to see happening. Blessed Assurance. Thank you God for what You gave us and please forgive us for not caring enough to hold on to it even though thousands upon thousands of brave men and women have died for Your gift. Please help us to find Your Grace once again.
Great article - except he is wrong about the Muslims. Their low productivity will not really hurt them when the population pyramid gets a little more inverted. This is because they don’t have the welfare state that the West has.
I want a President who will discuss this.
The liberals decry racist yet they use it as a weapon. Since when is Mexican or Muslim a race? The left brings about division. Fine. I am with the well educated, civilized, wealthy, well armed, and well trained division.
“This is because they don’t have the welfare state that the West has.”
Actually, they do. Muslims in the US are on welfare as much as any other group.
As in the days of Noah... www.patburt.com
They use our welfare state to destroy us. They don’t have extensive welfare in their own countries.
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