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CDC Admits It Never Monitored VAERS for COVID Vaccine Safety Signals
The Defender ^ | 06/21/22 | Josh Guetzkow, Ph.D.

Posted on 06/22/2022 2:46:29 PM PDT by george76

In response to a Freedom of Information Request submitted by Children’s Health Defense, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention last week admitted it never analyzed the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System for safety signals for COVID-19 vaccines..

In a stunning development, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) last week admitted — despite assurances to the contrary — the agency never analyzed the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS) for safety signals for COVID-19 vaccines.

The admission was revealed in response to a Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) request submitted by Children’s Health Defense (CHD).

In September 2021, I published an article in The Defender in which I used the CDC’s published methodology to analyze VAERS for safety signals from COVID-19 vaccines.

The signals were loud and clear, leading me to wonder “why is nobody listening?”

Instead, I should have asked, “Is anybody even looking for them?”

After that article was published, I urged CHD’s legal team to submit a FOIA request to the CDC about its VAERS monitoring activities.

Since CDC officials stated publicly that “COVID-19 vaccine safety monitoring is the most robust in U.S. history,” I had assumed that at the very least, CDC officials were monitoring VAERS using the methods they described in a briefing document posted on the CDC website in January 2021 (and updated in February 2022, with minor changes).

I was wrong.

The lynchpin of their safety monitoring was to mine VAERS data for safety signals by calculating what are known as proportional reporting ratios (PRR’s).

This is a method of comparing the proportion of different types of adverse events reported for a new vaccine to the proportion of those events reported for an older, established vaccine.

If the new vaccine shows a significantly higher reporting rate of a particular adverse event relative to the old one, it counts as a safety signal that should then trigger a more thorough investigation.

The briefing document states, “CDC will perform PRR data mining on a weekly basis or as needed.”

...

And yet, in the agency’s response to the FOIA request, it wrote that “no PRRs were conducted by CDC. Furthermore, data mining is outside of the agency’s purview.”

The agency suggested contacting the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA), which was supposed to perform a different type of data mining, according to the briefing document.

...

CDC officials repeatedly claimed they have not seen safety signals in VAERS.

...

For example, on April 27, 2021, CDC Director Dr. Rochelle Walensky stated the CDC did not see any signals related to heart inflammation.

But a PRR calculation I did using the number of myo/pericarditis reports listed in the first table produced by the CDC obtained via the FOIA request reveals clear and unambiguous safety signals relative to the comparator vaccines mentioned in the briefing document (i.e., flu vaccines, FLUAD and Shingrix).

The table is dated April 2, 2021, almost four weeks before she made those remarks.

In fact, among the 15 adverse events for adults included in that week’s tabulations, PRRs I calculated also show loud-and-clear safety signals for acute myocardial infarction, anaphylaxis, appendicitis, Bell’s palsy, coagulopathy, multisystem inflammatory syndrome in adults (MIS-A), stroke and death.

The actual monitoring the CDC did diverges from the one promised in the briefing document in other ways.

For example, the CDC never created tables of the top 25 adverse events reported in the previous week, tables comparing different vaccine manufacturers, or tables of auto-immune diseases.

And it only began monitoring in early April 2021, even though reports from COVID-19 vaccines had been flooding VAERS since mid-December of the previous year.

To be clear, VAERS is not the only database the CDC uses to monitor COVID-19 vaccine safety.

For example, the CDC sponsored several studies of COVID-19 safety using the Vaccine Safety Datalink (VSD), which is comprised of millions of medical records from HMO’s across several states.

Those studies do not raise many safety concerns. However, they make many questionable methodological choices.

To give one example, a major safety study based on VSD data published in September 2021, in “JAMA,” compares adverse event rates that occur within 1-21 days of vaccination to the rate of occurrence from 22 to 42 days after vaccination.

It makes no comparison between vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals, or before vaccination versus after in the same individuals.

Moreover, the VSD is far from infallible, having failed initially to detect the increase in myocarditis rates.

In contrast, although calculating PRR’s is a blunt pharmacovigilance tool and far from perfect, it nevertheless has the advantage of being straightforward and difficult to manipulate with statistical sleight of hand.

PRRs are one of the oldest, most basic and most well-established tools of pharmacovigilance. The calculations are so straightforward that the CDC automated it several years ago, so it could have been done at the press of a button.

It simply beggars belief that the CDC failed to do this simple calculation. Even now, a paper published by CDC staff in March on the safety of the mRNA COVID-19 vaccines remains purely descriptive with no PRR calculation.

Meanwhile, a study published by a researcher not affiliated with the CDC in February in “Frontiers in Public Health” analyzes VAERS and EudraVigilance data using a method similar to PRRs, revealing clear and concerning safety signals.

And while it is true that VAERS is not the only database the CDC can use to monitor COVID-19 vaccine safety, it is of critical importance because it can reveal signals much faster than any other method — if anybody cares to look for them.

It remains to be seen if the FDA was properly monitoring VAERS. That will be the subject of a future FOIA request.

But even if it was, it doesn’t change the fact that the CDC completely failed in its promise to monitor VAERS for safety signals.


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: adverse; adverseevent; adverseevents; adversereactions; anaphylaxis; appendicitis; bellspalsy; cdc; coagulopathy; covid; covid19; covidvaccine; death; fda; infarction; learnwhatvaersis; myocardial; reactions; remainstobeseen; safetysignals; stroke; thefaker; vaccinators; vaccine; vaccines; vaccinesafety; vaers; vaxxes
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1 posted on 06/22/2022 2:46:29 PM PDT by george76
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To: george76

drip...drip...drip


2 posted on 06/22/2022 2:47:47 PM PDT by V_TWIN (America...so great even the people that hate it refuse to leave)
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To: george76

The Lord has convicted me about cursing. What the heck are they good for?


3 posted on 06/22/2022 2:48:29 PM PDT by gitmo (If your theology doesn't become your biography, what good is it?)
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To: george76

I think that keeping primary care providers from offering vaxxes, insisting vaccinators be pre-approved and registered with Fedzilla were ways to do an end run around VAERS.


4 posted on 06/22/2022 2:49:08 PM PDT by mewzilla (We need to repeal RCV wherever it's in use and go back to dumb voting machines.)
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To: george76

You don’t have to report it if you never see it. Sgt. Schultz running the show.


5 posted on 06/22/2022 2:52:36 PM PDT by hardspunned (former GOP globalist stooge)
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To: george76
Rule #10 of the House of God:

If you don't take a temperature, you can't find a fever.

6 posted on 06/22/2022 2:55:39 PM PDT by TChad ("Joe, we should evacuate the civilians before the military. You understand that, right? Joe?")
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To: george76

In the United States, the CDC now works against Health, the Media against Truth, and Political Scum against the people.


7 posted on 06/22/2022 2:58:43 PM PDT by aMorePerfectUnion (Fraud vitiates everything. )
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To: george76

Shutter the CDC. We don’t need them. My healthcare is between me and my doctors. Anyone from government that wants to be involved can eat schiff, die and burn in hell.


8 posted on 06/22/2022 3:01:03 PM PDT by ConservativeInPA (Scratch a leftist and you'll find a fascist )
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To: george76

VAERS is the only means of collecting adverse reactions, and they deliberately made it unreliable.

Tells you everything you need to know.


9 posted on 06/22/2022 3:02:25 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Contempt for pre-born human life breeds contempt for post-born human life.)
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To: ConservativeInPA

If this is true, every employee of CDC can go to HELL!
No one, not a damn one came forward. It was only a FOIA request where truth came out.
WTH is wrong with these people?


10 posted on 06/22/2022 3:06:20 PM PDT by OHPatriot (Si vis pacem, para bellum)
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To: george76

By sacrificing medical science to political science, the CDC has lost all credibility to provide public health advice and policy and must, at all times and in all cases, be ignored completely.


11 posted on 06/22/2022 3:10:34 PM PDT by glennaro (Live life unbullied and unafraid. Choose to ignore or fight the irrationality that surrounds you.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Unreliable according to a doctor of sociology who teaches criminology.

Always the wisest choice for medical knowledge.


12 posted on 06/22/2022 3:13:26 PM PDT by Pelham (World War III is entering on cat's feet. )
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To: Pelham

So do you accept VAERS data or not?

I am more than willing to accept it.

Are you?


13 posted on 06/22/2022 3:14:42 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Contempt for pre-born human life breeds contempt for post-born human life.)
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To: george76

“In a stunning development....”

Yeah? Who got stunned? All I hear is snoring.


14 posted on 06/22/2022 3:22:43 PM PDT by Seruzawa ("The Political left is the Garden of Eden of incompetence" - Marx the Smarter (Groucho))
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

“So do you accept VAERS data or not? I am more than willing to accept it.”

VAERS was created by and is run by the CDC. The CDC and the FDA to be exact. Vaccine skeptics seem remarkably inconsistent about the CDC.

Here’s what the CDC itself says about their VAERS reporting system:

VAERS reports may contain information that is incomplete, inaccurate, coincidental, or unverifiable. Reports to VAERS can also be biased. As a result, there are limitations on how the data can be used scientifically. Data from VAERS reports should always be interpreted with these limitations in mind.

The strengths of VAERS are that it is national in scope and can often quickly detect an early hint or warning of a safety problem with a vaccine. VAERS is one component of CDC’s and FDA’s multifaceted approach to monitoring safety after vaccines are licensed or authorized for use. There are multiple, complementary systems that CDC and FDA use to capture and validate data from different sources. VAERS is designed to rapidly detect unusual or unexpected patterns of adverse events, also referred to as “safety signals.” If a possible safety signal is found in VAERS, further analysis is performed with other safety systems, such as the CDC’s Vaccine Safety Datalink (VSD) and Clinical Immunization Safety Assessment(CISA) Project, or in the FDA BEST (Biologics Effectiveness and Safety) system. These systems are less impacted by the limitations of spontaneous and voluntary reporting in VAERS and can better assess possible links between vaccination and adverse events. Additionally, CDC and FDA cannot provide individual medical advice regarding any report to VAERS.

https://wonder.cdc.gov/wonder/help/vaers.html


15 posted on 06/22/2022 3:30:57 PM PDT by Pelham (World War III is entering on cat's feet. )
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To: OHPatriot
No one, not a damn one came forward.

This is the way it works in government. Look at the FBI. Are there any whistle blowers? No. Look at every police departments in every major Democrat run city. Look at all of the CRT, transgender and homo crap going on in government schools. Have you heard a single teacher speak against that crap? They all cover each other’s asses.

This is why I regularly write that no one should be allowed to make a career out of government. Twelve years and out. No pensions. No getting wealthy on the backs of taxpayers. That will stop the establishment from ever getting established.

16 posted on 06/22/2022 3:31:57 PM PDT by ConservativeInPA (Scratch a leftist and you'll find a fascist )
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To: Pelham

You didn’t answer the question, weasel.


17 posted on 06/22/2022 3:32:08 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Contempt for pre-born human life breeds contempt for post-born human life.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Obviously reading comprehension isn’t your strong suit.


18 posted on 06/22/2022 3:37:11 PM PDT by Pelham (World War III is entering on cat's feet. )
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To: Pelham

Obviously you don’t have enough integrity to give a straight answer.

It’s a yes-or-no question.


19 posted on 06/22/2022 3:38:06 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Contempt for pre-born human life breeds contempt for post-born human life.)
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To: V_TWIN

This is unreal. Maybe they figure the global starvation that is coming will swamp everything else.

If those predictions come true I suspect the only investigations of what has been going on will be conducted by historians.


20 posted on 06/22/2022 3:39:44 PM PDT by Sarcazmo ("Sarcasm is the highest form of wit" ~ O. Wilde)
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