Posted on 06/22/2010 4:16:58 PM PDT by Amish
State Returns from SC (polls close at 7pm EST):
http://www.enr-scvotes.org/SC/16213/28352/en/summary.html
From NC (polls close at 730 EST)
http://results.enr.clarityelections.com/NC/17242/28326/en/summary.html
For Utah (Polls Close 10pmEST)
http://electionresults.utah.gov/xmlData/300010.html
If anyone has better links, please share them.
GO Haley, Scott, and Lee!
She has Palin’s endorsement, and is a “Star” but the district was 80-20 Obama in 2008.
A better shot for ‘diversity” is State Rep Van Tran in the Cal 47th District— was 60-38 Obama, but in 2004 50-49 Bush.
I did forget all about Vernon Parker. ;D
I merely neglected Fraizer. He should take his primary against Lang Sias.
Definitely agree on Vernon Parker— he has sheriff Arpaio’s endorsement, and in a multi-candidate race could well stand out enough to come in first. Main competition seems to be Ben Quayle (Dan’s son) who has $$$.
What say you AZ folk?
In 15 minutes, the polls close in Utah. That’s a big one, the battle between Mike Lee and Tim Bridgewater.
And there’s Issac Hayes (not Chef) running against Jesse Jackson Jr. here in IL, he’s a good guy. And likely there are a few others running in safe rats seats.
But we were talking about those that can possibly win. Parker and Hayes unfortunately have no chance but do us a service by opposing the incumbent rat slime.
Yes, I think Van Tran may have a chance.
I was going to reply to your earlier post re: Bill Randall. I think he’s got the best chance among the black Republican longshots (Charles Lollar, etc.), but he’s still a longshot. Brad Miller will be very tough to beat in that district, but it is not outside the realm of possibility.
George W. Bush got 50% and 49% in the NC-13 (as currently drawn) in 2000 and 2004, respectively. Obviously, the district’s voters aren’t quite as allergic to the GOP label as one would think looking at Miller’s winning percentages (keep in mind that the presidential vote is a far better predicter of how a district will vote when the environment turns against the incumbent than his past winning percentages). This is not a presidential election year, and Miller won’t be able to count on a large black turnout (his district is 30% black), or probably on a very large college-student turnout. Burr will be wiping the floor with Marshall in the rural counties in the district (i.e., everything but its portion of Raleigh and Greensboro). Under this environment, a generic conservative Republican would likely win the district fairly comfortably over a generic liberal Democrat. Of course, Brad Miller is a somebody, and Bill Randall is (at least currently) a nobody, but that Heineman guy who beat Congressman Price in 1994 was completely unknown. If Randall beats Miller in 2010, it would not be remembered as one of the five biggest upsets of the past 20 years, but it would still be a huge upset.
You should clarify that you are referring to Star Parker, not Vernon Parker, in this post. If Vernon Parker wins the GOP nomination in AZ, he will win hands down in November.
Fred Heineman wasn’t a complete unknown. He was the longtime (1979-94) Raleigh Police Chief. I just learned he died in March at the age of 80 (I hate that AP discontinued its daily obit roundups, they often miss former members of Congress).
I give Issac Hayes credit for standing up for the cause.
Thank you. Of course I meant Star Parker can’t win in her Long Beach/Compton seat.
Not Vernon who is in a safe GOP seat.
But the NC-04 didn’t take in any part of the city of Raleigh back in 1994, did it?
Yes, actually it did. NC-4 in ‘94 took in virtually all of Wake County except for a small sliver of the northwest corner.
So the NC-02 did not include eastern Wake County?
did the tea party candidates win?
No, NC-2 (in ‘94) had an extremely narrow sliver of the NW corner of Wake and extended halfway into Durham. Essentially, it was a horseshoe-shaped district around Wake’s surrounding counties. For 2002, Wake County was mercilessly chopped up in thirds for the 2nd, 4th and 13th.
As I recall, Valentine’s NC-02 had Raleigh’s black precincts in 1992, but when the NC-12 (which meandered from black parts of Gastonia to black parts of Durham) was declared unconstitutional, Valentine’s NC-02 was given black parts of Durham and had the Raleigh precincts taken out. But was that in 1994 or 1996?
Utah returns very early
http://electionresults.utah.gov/xmlData/300010.html
Mike Lee has a narrow lead.
Precincts
Reporting Out of 2136 18.26% 390
Mike Lee (Rep)—51.77% 25,229
Tim Bridgewater (Rep)— 48.23% 23,505
The lines Tim Valentine ran under were the same that Republican winner Dave Funderburk ran under in ‘94 (Valentine didn’t run again in ‘94). What gave Valentine problems from 1982-92 was that he had all of Durham and had to face strong Black Dem challengers (such as Mickey Michaux) from that area in the primary (in fact, in 1982 when the seat was open, Michaux led Valentine 45-33%, losing when it went to a runoff). But he didn’t have Raleigh, however.
As an aside, Tim Valentine’s son Phil became a popular Conservative GOP talk radio personality in Nashville (TN).
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.