Posted on 07/15/2015 10:24:09 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Can Walker Stop Trump?
Can Scott Walker end Donald Trumps rise in the polls? According to the Washington Examiner, Walker has the resume that could end Trump.
The Wisconsin governor is well suited to put an end to the Trumpnado. He offers a blue-collar, can-do conservatism. He appeals to various wings of the party. And most importantly, he can take away immigration as Trumps signature issue.
Walkers tentative embrace of a populist immigration position isnt without political risks. But right now he is the only top-tier presidential candidate who is speaking to the four-fifths of Republicans who are dissatisfied with current immigration levels without derogatory rhetoric about immigrants. The Sen. Jeff Sessions, R-Ala., approach Walker has taken pins the blame for our present immigration problems squarely on big business and big government.
Think Walker is unreliable on immigration? Trump has offered no substance as to what he would do about immigration other than demagogue the issue. His current position is basically an accident, coming after hitting Mitt Romney from the left on immigration after the 2012 presidential election.
I believe that Donald Trumps numbers will begin to crater soon no matter what Walker does. Once people figure out that Trump is no conservative, they will run away from him. If Walker embraces the fighter image that Trump now has, I could see a lot of Republicans voters look his way.
Fundraising
Chris Cillizza at the Washington Post is most impressed by the fundraising numbers released by the Cruz campaign than any other candidate.
Jeb Bushs fundraising totals for the first half of 2015 were eye-popping: $114 million raised ($103 million of which came through his Right to Rise super PAC) with a stunning $98 million in the bank.
But, as amazing as Bushs haul was, its Texas Sen. Ted Cruzs fundraising totals that stood out to me as the most important money number from the June reports filed with the Federal Election Commission.
Cruz raised $14 million through his campaign committee and another $37 million through a constellation of super PACs set up to aid his campaign. That total of $51 million raised put him second behind Bush in total fundraising over the first six months of the year ahead of the likes of Marco Rubio, Rand Paul and Scott Walker.
Cruzs ability to raise large amounts of money through both a campaign account and super PACS not only differentiates him from other ideological warrior candidates of the past but also gives him a real chance at breaking into the top tier of candidates as the race continues.
Lets tackle the first point, um, first. Think back to the 2012 Republican primary. The candidate who most directly appealed to the base wound up being after much searching former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum. But, Santorum only raised $23 million for his entire campaign in 2012 and the super PAC spending on his behalf put in just $8 million. As a result, he was consistently financially outgunned by Mitt Romney, who went on to be the nominee. Or go back to 2008 when former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee was the bases preferred candidate. Huckabee spent just over $16 million on that whole race. (Super PACs werent a thing back then.) He was outspent badly by John McCain, who, yup, went on to be the partys nominee.
Cruz has already raised more money than either Santorum or Huckabee did for their entire campaigns. Sure, you, savvy reader, will undoubtedly note: But Jebs fundraising is beyond anything any candidate did in either 2008 or 2012. And youd be right. But and this is really important Cruz doesnt need to match Jeb dollar for dollar. No one in the race will do that. What Cruz has to do is have enough money to fight back if/when Rubio, Walker, Jeb or all of them at once come after him. And, the early returns suggest he will be.
Money will help a candidate like Cruz stay in the race for a long time. If Cruz can win an early state in the primary? That win along with the money he has raised and will continue to raise will make him a top-tier candidate.
I still believe that it is too early to count Rick Perry or Ted Cruz out.
Cruz’s donations are from normal people. Jeb’s all come from elites who gave maximum amounts.
Walker is my second choice, but I’m wary to see how he responds to the media now that he’s officially in it.
Unless he stumbles badly again like he did today with the Boy Scouts, Walker probably wins IA, Trump wins NH, and Cruz wins SC. By the time we get to FL Jeb is hanging on by his fingernails.
Rubio probably wins, but a big push by Cruz, as a Cuban, and Trump...who knows.
Could be fun!
I believe that Donald Trumps numbers will begin to crater soon ...
The check is in the mail.
We’re in the media so we know why Trump will fail.
Walker has a great record and experience as governor of Wisconsin. But he makes me feel sleepy during his speech. He needs to spice up his delivery and if possible his personality.
Looks like Cruz also has Nevada and many of the so-called SEC states.
I agree on both, but especially Cruz- Perry is not out yet, but I think that he will be.
2012 Republican primary. The candidate who most directly appealed to the base wound up being after much searching former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum. But,... he was consistently financially outgunned by Mitt Romney, who went on to be the nominee.
Or go back to 2008 when former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee was the bases preferred candidate. .... He was outspent badly by John McCain, who, yup, went on to be the partys nominee.
Today, the guy with the biggest warchest is Trump. So it’ll be a war of attrition between Trump and Bush, with the LSM & GOPe being squarely on Bush’s side.
Very astute poast!
Write this down: Perry will endorse John Ellis Bush.
If Trump drops out, as many think he will (I don’t see it after going to all this trouble) then the two people with the biggest war chests will be John Ellis Bush and Ted Cruz.
“Today, the guy with the biggest warchest is Trump. So itll be a war of attrition between Trump and Bush, with the LSM & GOPe being squarely on Bushs side.”
And Main Street America will be on Trump ‘s side.
Of course!!!!
Of course!!!!
I am 100% Cruz. But regarding Trump, I say rise with the tide, go with the flow...
Dittos on the "gay" Boy Scouts!
Walker had been a strong second choice for me, but now he’s just a third choice (after Cruz and Trump).
He’s flipped on Amnesty and flipped on Boy Scouts - I assume after being scolded by Republican ‘advisers’ (most of them gay, by the way). He’s also hired some people with questionable political pasts (such as working for McCain and treating the base like garbage).
But given the rest of the field, he’s still my #3.
Bush can’t translate donations into votes by any means. I think he gets blown out in the first primary.
“Regardless of who Trump is, we need to hear the truth from someone. If it’s from a fake, frankly, I don’t care. It’s still out there, which is more than you can say about the worthless GOP. “
I’m with you. The media won’t lift a finger for us, and if the other candidates simply following the brilliant wisdom of their Republican ‘advisers’ (most of them gay, by the way), then NOTHING gets accomplished, or even talked about.
Trump, since he announced, has not done A SINGLE THING to anger the base - not even Cruz or Walker can match that (Cruz with that stupid trade authority and Walker flipping on Boy Scouts).
I’ll get angry with Trump when he gets me angry with him. I don’t blame him for participating in “Pay-to-Play” with the Democrats to get his $10B wealth - look what happened to Microsoft under Janet Reno when all Bill Gates wanted to do at the time was simply stay out of politics.
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