Posted on 11/21/2018 1:59:25 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
There shouldn’t be much question about whether 2018 was a wave election. Of course it was a wave. You could endlessly debate the wave’s magnitude, depending on how much you focus on the number of votes versus the number of seats, the House versus the Senate versus governorships, and so forth. Personally, I’d rank the 2018 wave a tick behind both 1994, which represented a historic shift after years of Democratic dominance of the House, and 2010, which reflected an especially ferocious shift against then-President Barack Obama after he’d been elected in a landslide two years earlier. But I’d put 2018 a bit ahead of most other modern wave elections, such as 2006 and 1982. Your mileage may vary.
In another important respect, however, the 2018 wave was indisputably unlike any other in recent midterm history: It came with exceptionally high turnout. Turnout is currently estimated at 116 million voters, or 49.4 percent of the voting-eligible population. That’s an astounding number; only 83 million people voted in 2014, by contrast....
(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...
Maybe not but when Trump plugs the Democrat voter fraud holes we will be on an even playing field.
Actually it wasn’t. it aws a judgement on the GOPE.
Trump was not on the ballot. When the GOPE candidate went out and tried to woo the voters Trump got with the same old GOPE campaign dogmas, they lost.
Trump won them. That is the point all the various Leftist are missing. They are ALSO missing how many ex military/Ex law enforcement candidates the DNC went out and recruited to pretend to be GOP lite.
Like in 2006, the Democrat in 2018 lied their way into power. Now let see how well they do in 2020 after they go to DC and be Pelosie’s rubber stamps for 2 years.
Not when you include the Demorat margin of cheating.
Thanks to RINO retirements and some crap candidates this little worm managed to get thru another election cycle without suffering utter humiliation. That needs to change in 2020.
Theft doesn’t a wave make.
We gotta bring our A game. Did we this year? It will be an interesting watch in the next 2. Money, gonads. That’s what it will take and we just might not be up for it. Retaking those house seats where Trump won should be first priority. One senate seat we can pick up.Too many others at risk.
The Trump base did not come out in droves in 2018, as initial reports had seemed to indicate that it would. The American people voted for tax hikes, oppose the wall. They fell in line with the whole Democrat agenda.
The “blue wave” was a ripple.
Nate, you were wrong again.
5.56mm
They believed their own press in 2016. Not this time.
I think we have to do something substantial about The Cheat of 2018, or the DemoKKKrats will win 2020 walking away.
We can win back the Alabama Senate seat. Perhaps Sessions is the man. I don’t care. No bench.
For the 2020 election, where the Democrats are forced to name one challenger, unless that person is some total unknown moderate, they can be tagged with the socialist label and tied to Venezuela and Cuba. That should have some resonance with Hispanic voters (I don’t see any lines of immigrants trying to get into those countries).
Trump’s other assets with swing voters would be maintaining peace, economic prosperity, no radical moves against gays despite the Pence appointment, and hopefully we can add some sort of understanding with Russia to that list, why go looking for new (or old) enemies in a world where it’s pretty obvious who the serious enemies are.
I think it needs to be made very clear to the voters through 2019 and early 2020 that any Democrat pie in the sky redistribution of wealth schemes are lies to the voters and if not, then dangerous to prosperity. I think they are 75% lies and 25% actual schemes that should never be tried, once again citing Venezuela as the cautionary tale. These things are obvious to us but then it’s new voters that are needed.
Trump could perhaps toy with some sort of moderate health care reform and it wouldn’t hurt to back off on some of the rhetoric, he needs to start looking like a mainstream sort of a guy to swing voters. We’ve enjoyed the two years of rhetorical bombast but where does it get us in the grand scheme of things? If there’s not going to be legal pushback then just settle into a father knows best sort of a sunny Reagan approach and maybe the numbers will firm up even more. I can’t stress this point enough, we don’t need much more appeal to the base, surely, at this point?
Nate Silver was a ‘genius’ when successful Democrat election rigging could be relied upon. He simply had connections to fixers who assured him what the outcomes would be. That’s what made him so ‘smart’. In 2016 Trump had players of his own in the background who were able to counter the fraud just enough to give him a path to victory. That’s what shocked Democrats so much that night.
The DHS report on election fraud will be released sometime before Dec. 20th of this year. Then we’ll learn just how fair the 2018 midterm elections were. Then we’ll talk, Nate.
Just wait and see!
Not as good as his 2018 predictions were. Don't know why we're still talking about the polls in 2016 though. They got it right for the most part this time.
I predict that the GOPE and RINO’s will run several candidates to dilute the vote for TRUMP. Hell they may even back some Democrats too under the table.
Luck also explains quite a bit.
Every year there is a pollster or two who scores amazingly well. But seldom is there one who scores excellently four elections in a row.
just like every year there is a sports handicapper and a wall street stock picker who beat the hell out of the averages. Sometimes they are luck a few years in a row; bot over time- few.
Never ascribe to conspiracies what can be explained by dumb luck.
2018 was a white way. A white wave of provisional ballots to be found after the election.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.