WHY KERRY WILL LOSE EARLY AND BADLY - (The states he should be winning but isn't)

WMCA, New York/THE KERRY SPOT ^ | 10.27.2004

[KMC1]

Depending on the turnout (wink, wink), I am beginning to believe that Kerry will conclude one of the most miserable campaigns for President ever by losing in states he "shouldn't" be early on election night.

Today a new poll showed again that President Bush is dead even with Senator Kerry in New Jersey. This is unbelievable. Al Gore walked away with New Jersey early in the evening in 2000. But if Kerry loses it my prediction is for Bush to almost run the board.

The reasons why Kerry is doing badly in New Jersey is partly not his own doing but his party's. New Jersey has the most corrupt state government in the entire Union. The Democrats are in control of everything - and as could be expected - everything is a mess. Governor McGreevey named his gay lover to the position of "Homeland Security Advisor", the man wasn't even a U.S. Citizen, nor could he even get the clearance needed to attend Federal security briefings. And this is happening in the second most impacted state following 9/11.

BUT weren't those "boys nights out" fun...

The Democratic corruption has left a bad taste, but voters in New Jersey are also realizing that they don't have any state-wide elected officials that they really had a voice in putting there. McGreevey is stepping aside and an "appointed" Governor will run the state for 18 months. One of the Senators bought his way to the Senate. The other was a bait and switch for New Jersey voters.

Look for a voter's rebellion...sick of the corruption, New Jersey voters will choose President Bush as their choice, even some out of protest.

With the 16 electoral votes that go with it, New Jersey will significantly change the electoral college count. And if it goes BUSH early on Tuesday night - a state that BUSH spent almost no money in, Kerry can kiss the White House goodbye.

When you add to the New Jersey equation the fact that Kerry is trailing in Hawaii - which was an 18% win for Gore in 2000 - those combined 20 electoral votes are as big as Ohio. (Another state that President Bush is leading in...)

[Dog Gone]

You really need to reformat this article into type that is easily readable. Tiny blue type doesn't work for us bifocal types.

[Rose in RoseBear]

No, parts of Michigan are Central ...

[midftfan]

We're always hearing how Bush is having trouble defending some of the states he carried in 2000, especially Ohio and Florida. What's not being emphasized by the MSM is the large number of Gore states that Kerry is having troubles in such as Iowa, Wisconsin, New Mexico, and New Jersey and Hawaii. When New Jersey goes for Bush I can't wait to see the look on the faces of Brokaw, Jennings, and especially that jerk Rather when they have to announce it.

[Rokke]

I live here. I went to Bush's appearance in Burlington County NJ earlier in the month. The enthusiasm for Bush in my part of New Jersey is phenomenal. I live in Atlantic County and for every Kerry sign there are at least 30 Bush signs, and while the Kerry signs are on the occasional street corner, almost every Bush sign is in front of somebody's house. In my neighborhood, we've already had a Republican party hosted by someone who just moved here from Maine. I'd never even HEARD of a Republican party before. Our RNC office is incredibly busy and fully staffed with phone bank volunteers from our local college. I was living in Wisconsin during 2000. New Jersey is like Bush campaign rally in comparison. Watch New Jersey to be the sleeper win that will be the early clincher of the election.

[InvisibleChurch]

even if kerry wins, remember that you survived eight years of xxxlinton, ... only 3 legislators(senators) have ever been elected and the last one was jfk... plus kerry's going up against an incumbent, a strong one unlike 41... i predict a romp, but that's just me

[OldFriend]

What will help us in NJ is that the dems weren't planning a fraud brigade here as they had no clue. It's a little late now and McSleazy has lost his power base and they have no reason to work for his party.

It wasn't just Cipel who was used and abused, it was the entire state when Cipel was chosen to be the homeland security liason.

[No-Compromise Conservative]

I would have loved for Bush to campaign deep in the heart of Kerry bases

Nah, it would have backfired on the President. There would have been a lot of protests and the people who wanted to see him would have been beaten down by union thugs and other assorted Kerry groupies. Better to just play it safe and rally the base.

I see your point, however...

[ModelBreaker]

For those of us chewing our fingernails down to the nub, when will we KNOW that Bush is having a good night??

Don't just chew your fingernails. Call the 72 hour or 96 hour task force and walk precincts this weekend. Take tuesday off work and poll watch. You can make a difference and it's a lot more fun than worrying :)

[The Bat Lady]

What will be funny is if the Democratic fraudulent teams concentrated in what they perceived to be "swing" states, ignored blue states and that is where Kerry loses.

In the history of the US there has never been 2 close elections next to each other. We always think everything is new, but it isn't.

[InvisibleChurch]

...though my preference would be for W to win by one electoral vote again, just to honk off the left in a HUGE way

[OldFriend]

The dems have run beautiful Hawaii into an economic dumpster. They know they need a republican to turn it around for them.

If I am not mistaken, they have a republican governor and it seems Inouye and Shinseki have been silent.

[wrbones]

Sounds like good news!

Just keep gettin' the word out. The truth will tell.

...mebbe I can get some sleep when this is over...

[cripplecreek]

I think Bush will win at least 40 states. I won't be complacent because I think Bush can win Michigan and I intend to help him.

I hope everyone in hard blue states votes like they're a half point down for the sheer numbers.

[ServesURight]

If you guys in NJ don't elect Bret Schundler for Governor, then you might as well secede to North Korea.

[okie01]

I would have loved for Bush to campaign deep in the heart of Kerry bases in cities such as Boston, Chicago, Seattle, and L.A. on the final leg of his campaign.

I believe he will be spending his last day of campaigning in Detroit and Youngstown.

Those far enough behind enemy lines fer ya...???

[bethtopaz]

Right -- you apologize if we received this message in error. Nice try maggiefluffs -- nice try.
Go W!!! George W. is the man!!

[bethtopaz]

They do have a Republican governor, and she is very popular!!

[BJClinton]

Apology accepted. ;-)

[thoughtomator]

Kerry's numbers are headed for an historic crash. This final bit of campaign-coordinated news with the NY Times is the last Al Qa'Qaa out of Kerry's mouth that America will put up with. This is brazen anti-American propoganda and it has no place in Presidential politics.

[OldFriend]

Wonderful news. I read that the dems are suddenly sending campaign ads to Hawaii. Hopefull it's too late.

Notice too that the Bush campaign worked hard to register Amish people to vote........and they are totally supporting Dubya in both PA and Ohio.