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Tropical Storm Rita Live Thread
NHC - NOAA ^ | 18 September 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 09/18/2005 1:56:41 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Tropical Storm Rita has developed from TD 18 in the Atlantic Ocean. TS Rita is currently located north of Hispaniola, the eastern tip of Cuba, and ESE of Nassau, Bahamas. Hurricane watches and warnings are in effect for portions of Florida. Check for local weather statements.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE Florida
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Florida

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Florida Radar/Sat Loop Caution: Broadband users only!
Miami Long Range Radar Loop
Key West Long Range Radar Loop
Miami Experimental Radar Still Image
Key West Experimental Radar Still Image

Streaming Video: (coverage may be intermittent)
WFOR-TV/DT Miami (WMP) - http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live"
WSVN-TV/DT Miami (WMP) - mms://216.242.118.141/broadband

Other Resources:

Florida East Coast Surf Reports Lots of great info here, including surf cams
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: Announcements; News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: hurricane; lovelyrita; rita; tropical; weather
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To: Types_with_Fist

I thought Fess Parker was sooo cute! Of course I thought Gentle Ben and Flipper were pretty cute too.....
susie


41 posted on 09/18/2005 2:32:20 PM PDT by brytlea (All you need as ID to vote in FL is your Costco card...)
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To: Dog Gone

Most likely this hurricane will be further north. How far is the question...we'll know in the next couple of days...let's pray for it to hit THE KING RANCH...LOL...don't I always say that...


42 posted on 09/18/2005 2:33:31 PM PDT by shield (The Greatest Scientific Discoveries of the Century Reveal God!!!! by Dr. H. Ross, Astrophysicist)
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To: shield

I hope he has the School Buses ready for evacuation.


43 posted on 09/18/2005 2:33:53 PM PDT by Doe Eyes
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To: NautiNurse

OK, maybe 1995 was the year they were talking about what would happen if they made it all the way through.

Thanks.


44 posted on 09/18/2005 2:34:52 PM PDT by PeteB570
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To: jsh3180

This one doesn't seem to be too worrisome for us.



Never, never, never say that. Look what happened in NOLA, Mississippi and Alabama. Never allow yourself to be lulled into thinking it is safe. I live in Colorado and I worry about everyone in the hurricane areas. They can loop around and over and under. We used to live in Panama City Florida (military) and we were issued hurricane maps and it was incredible to see the paths they took and how they twisted and turned and went out and came back. They are too unpredictable so don't mess with Mother Nature. Your life and that of your family is worth more than any material thing. I know you know that but...just hate to see people get complacent. All hurricanes should be worriesome. :) Stay safe!!!


45 posted on 09/18/2005 2:36:44 PM PDT by cubreporter (I trust Rush. He has done good more for our country than anyone will know. He's a man of honor.)
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To: beltfed308

i know was on us 1 and hour ago pretty crowded northbound


46 posted on 09/18/2005 2:36:49 PM PDT by italianquaker (Bush Derangement syndome coming to a theatre near you)
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To: Doe Eyes

Are you a Houstonian? Doubt they'd be any reason to evac Houston. This is a big city, much bigger than N.O.'s and we're not below sea level. Big difference than N.O.'s. Our shelters would be for coastal evacuees.


47 posted on 09/18/2005 2:38:27 PM PDT by shield (The Greatest Scientific Discoveries of the Century Reveal God!!!! by Dr. H. Ross, Astrophysicist)
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To: Types_with_Fist

BUT- do any of you remember Sea Hunt?

Lovely Rita...


48 posted on 09/18/2005 2:42:33 PM PDT by SE Mom (God Bless those who serve..)
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To: brytlea

I thought Fess Parker was cute, too. "Daniel Boone was a man...yes a BIG man...."


49 posted on 09/18/2005 2:42:56 PM PDT by Clara Lou (W00t! IBTZ ! FP! w00t!)
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To: SE Mom

Barely...I remember Sea Hunt. Lloyd Bridges was cute.


50 posted on 09/18/2005 2:43:34 PM PDT by Clara Lou (W00t! IBTZ ! FP! w00t!)
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To: NautiNurse

*mumbles*


51 posted on 09/18/2005 2:44:12 PM PDT by tiredoflaundry (Tampa Bay, Home of the Stanley Cup Champions The Tampa Bay Lightning!)
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To: mware
Someone better set down the ground rules of who is in charge in New Orleans right now.

Mayor Nagin sent me an e-mail asking if I wanted the job. I'm going to pass on it - you interested??

52 posted on 09/18/2005 2:45:17 PM PDT by Tennessee_Bob ("Nac Mac Feegle! The Wee Free Men! Nae king! Nae quin! Nae laird! We willna be fooled again!")
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To: shield
The current forecast track puts it almost precisely at King Ranch, perhaps just a little south. That is the ideal place for it to hit the Texas coastline if it is to hit Texas at all.

It would mess up some deer stands, cattle pens, a few ranch houses, and not much more.

But experience tells us that we have a pretty good idea of where Rita will be two days from now, and barely a clue as to where she'll be next weekend.

Somewhere between Lafayette, LA and northern Mexico, in all likelihood.

That's too big of a margin of error for anyone to panic yet.

On the other hand, it couldn't hurt to make sure that you have enough canned food, batteries, and bottled water on hand early in the week.

I live well past the limits of a Cat 5 storm surge, but I took the fury of a Cat 3 storm once, and that's the last time I'm gonna do that.

53 posted on 09/18/2005 2:45:35 PM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: Clara Lou; SE Mom

Oh, gosh, yes I actually do remember Sea Hunt (it's all I really remember Lloyd Bridges doing). I remember that when the sub was tilting, they always run uphill! Guess that's why I am so bad at physics today!
susie


54 posted on 09/18/2005 2:49:15 PM PDT by brytlea (All you need as ID to vote in FL is your Costco card...)
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To: Tennessee_Bob

LOL, no thanks I suspect New Orleans is one hot potato right now.


55 posted on 09/18/2005 2:51:48 PM PDT by mware (Keeper of the I's)
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To: Types_with_Fist

But how bout Sky King?

mc:.))


56 posted on 09/18/2005 2:53:42 PM PDT by mcshot (Boldly going nowhere with a smile and appreciation for life.)
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To: Dog Gone; NautiNurse

I left on Friday right after Ophelia and went to the beach.

It appears I am WAY behind. What happened to P and Q?


57 posted on 09/18/2005 2:56:32 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: mcshot

No. Don't remember that one. Am I younger than you?...:-)


58 posted on 09/18/2005 2:57:42 PM PDT by Types_with_Fist (I'm on FReep so often that when I read an article at another site I scroll down for the comments.)
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To: Howlin

Philippe is behind Rita, and much less likely a thread to the U.S. There is never a Q storm.


59 posted on 09/18/2005 2:57:56 PM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
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To: Dog Gone
The current forecast track puts it almost precisely at King Ranch, perhaps just a little south.

A simple 5 day forecast point is one thing in terms of wild inaccuracy but simply doing a straight line extrapolation of the 4 to 5 day movement to pick a specific county is even more misleading.

If it does indeed curve as indicated it would likely continue curving, thus putting the system in north of Corpus Christi.

A variety of Globals don't have a northward curve at all and still hit Mexico.

I'm somewhat dubious of that much ridging over the GOM holding for 5 days, in late September.

However, given the complete model consensus on the track through 3 days I think any landfall on the Gulf Coast east of Texas can be completely and utterly written off.

60 posted on 09/18/2005 2:58:04 PM PDT by Strategerist
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