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Is Intelligent Design a Bad Scientific Theory or a Non-Scientific Theory?
Tech Central Station ^ | 11/10/2005 | Uriah Kriegel

Posted on 11/10/2005 4:43:24 AM PST by Nicholas Conradin

In an election in Pennsylvania this week, voters tossed out eight members of the Pittsburgh school board who wanted Intelligent Design theory to be taught alongside evolution in school. But should Intelligent Design -- the theory that living organisms were created at least in part by an intelligent designer, not by a blind process of evolution by natural selection -- be taught in public schools? In one way, the answer to this question is simple: if it's a scientific theory, it should; if it's not, it shouldn't (on pain of flaunting the Establishment Clause). The question, however, is whether Intelligent Design (ID) is a scientific theory.

Opponents dismiss ID's scientific credentials, claiming that the theory is too implausible to qualify as scientific. But this reasoning is fallacious: a bad scientific theory is still a scientific theory, just as a bad car is still a car. There may be pedagogical reasons to avoid teaching bad scientific theories in our public schools, but there are no legal ones. The Constitution contains no interdiction on teaching bad theories, or for that matter demonstrably false ones. As long as theory is science and not religion, there is no legal barrier to teaching it.

To make their case, opponents of teaching ID must show not just that the theory is bad, but that it's not science. This raises a much more complicated question: What is science? What distinguishes genuinely scientific theories from non-scientific ones?

In one form or another, the question has bothered scientists and philosophers for centuries. But it was given an explicit formulation only in the 1920s, by Karl Popper, the most important 20th century philosopher of science. Popper called it "the problem of demarcation," because it asked how to demarcate scientific research and distinguish it from other modes of thought (respectable though they may be in their own right).

One thing Popper emphasized was that a theory's status as scientific doesn't depend on its plausibility. The great majority of scientific theories turn out to be false, including such works of genius as Newton's mechanics. Conversely, the story of Adam and Eve may well be pure truth, but if it is, it's not scientific truth, but some other kind of truth.

So what is the mark of genuine science? To attack this question, Popper examined several theories he thought were inherently unscientific but had a vague allure of science about them. His favorites were Marx's theory of history and Freud's theory of human behavior. Both attempted to describe the world without appeal to super-natural phenomena, but yet seem fundamentally different from, say, the theory of relativity or the gene theory.

What Popper noticed was that, in both cases, there was no way to prove to proponents of the theory that they were wrong. Suppose Jim's parents moved around a lot when Jim was a child. If Jim also moves around a lot as an adult, the Freudian explains that this was predictable given the patterns of behavior Jim grew up with. If Jim never moves, the Freudian explains -- with equal confidence -- that this was predictable as a reaction to Jim's unpleasant experiences of a rootless childhood. Either way the Freudian has a ready-made answer and cannot be refuted. Likewise, however much history seemed to diverge from Marx's model, Marxists would always introduce new modifications and roundabout excuses for their theory, never allowing it to be proven false.

Popper concluded that the mark of true science was falsifiability: a theory is genuinely scientific only if it's possible in principle to refute it. This may sound paradoxical, since science is about seeking truth, not falsehood. But Popper showed that it was precisely the willingness to be proven false, the critical mindset of being open to the possibility that you're wrong, that makes for progress toward truth.

What scientists do in designing experiments that test their theories is create conditions under which their theory might be proven false. When a theory passes a sufficient number of such tests, the scientific community starts taking it seriously, and ultimately as plausible.

When Einstein came up with the theory of relativity, the first thing he did was to make a concrete prediction: he predicted that a certain planet must exist in such-and-such a place even though it had never been observed before. If it turned out that the planet did not exist, his theory would be refuted. In 1919, 14 years after the advent of Special Relativity, the planet was discovered exactly where he said. The theory survived the test. But the possibility of failing a test -- the willingness to put the theory up for refutation -- was what made it a scientific theory in the first place.

To win in the game of science, a theory must be submitted to many tests and survive all of them without being falsified. But to be even allowed into the game, the theory must be falsifiable in principle: there must be a conceivable experiment that would prove it false.

If we examine ID in this light, it becomes pretty clear that the theory isn't scientific. It is impossible to refute ID, because if an animal shows one characteristic, IDers can explain that the intelligent designer made it this way, and if the animal shows the opposite characteristic, IDers can explain with equal confidence that the designer made it that way. For that matter, it is fully consistent with ID that the supreme intelligence designed the world to evolve according to Darwin's laws of natural selection. Given this, there is no conceivable experiment that can prove ID false.

It is sometimes complained that IDers resemble the Marxist historians who always found a way to modify and reframe their theory so it evades any possible falsification, never offering an experimental procedure by which ID could in principle be falsified. To my mind, this complaint is warranted indeed. But the primary problem is not with the intellectual honesty of IDers, but with the nature of their theory. The theory simply cannot be fashioned to make any potentially falsified predictions, and therefore cannot earn entry into the game of science.

None of this suggests that ID is in fact false. For all I've said, it may well be pure truth. But if it is, it wouldn't be scientific truth, because it isn't scientific at all. As such, we shouldn't allow it into our science classrooms. At least that's what the Constitution says.

The writer teaches philosophy at the University of Arizona.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Philosophy
KEYWORDS: crevolist; evilution; evolution; goddoodit; id; idiocy; ignoranceisstrength; monkeygod; popper; science; theory
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To: From many - one.; xzins; blue-duncan
Do you love your neighbor as yourself? Really?

I have a lot of trouble with that command, especially when my neighbor is throwing a party on a Sunday night and I have a trial in the morning or when he lets his dog bark all night or when the weeds in his backyard start spreading seeds into my lawn, or when he starts up his gas blower at 7 am on a Saturday.

It takes a lot of self sacrifice to love your neighbor as yourself.

601 posted on 11/11/2005 8:01:29 AM PST by P-Marlowe
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To: P-Marlowe
In other words, "No", you do not believe the first 10 words of the bible and "Yes", the bible starts out by spewing lies.

Please do not put words in my mouth. It's disrespectful. That is not what I said.

I can accept that answer. Why don't you just answer the questions like that? Are you afraid to express your beliefs?

Because they aren't germane. Scientific fact is scientific fact, and my "beliefs" don't enter into it.

If the first 10 words of the Bible do not express TRUTH, then the rest of the book cannot be trusted.

Does the Bible have no more value to you than as a history or science textbook? Myself, I see it as an excellent guide to being the best person possible. I don't think that is invalidated by the scientific errors contained within it.

602 posted on 11/11/2005 8:17:27 AM PST by highball ("I find that the harder I work, the more luck I seem to have." -- Thomas Jefferson)
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To: P-Marlowe

The first ten words are fine.

It's thinking that Genesis is a biology textbook that causes problems.


603 posted on 11/11/2005 8:20:43 AM PST by From many - one.
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To: P-Marlowe

Three of your complaints have to do with noise at inconvenient times.

Have you tried politely explaining that you need to sleep late on Saturday mornings?

Are you friendly otherwise with this neighbor?

Are there city ordinances involved?

Are you on bloodpressure meds?

Amazingly, I get along pretty well with my neighbors. I sorta figure that we each are entitled to an approximately equal amount of doing things that bother the neighbor but are important to us. Seems to work. Smiling and asking"How're yd doing" seems to help, too.


604 posted on 11/11/2005 8:31:04 AM PST by From many - one.
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To: CarolinaGuitarman

I agree that government can put a gun to the head of the bidders. I agree that that is a corruption of the free market system.

However, I also think that other individuals/groups/entities can also put a gun to the head of the bidders. That, too, would be a corruption of the free market system.


605 posted on 11/11/2005 8:42:20 AM PST by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It!)
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To: CarolinaGuitarman
I never said fraud was a virtue. That would be stealing.

And market manipulation (for example, down-swing predatory pricing to eliminate competition, followed by shorting a cornered market and concomitant up-swing predatory pricing) differs from fraud principally in scale.

I am talking about being able to sell your property at whatever levels someone else agrees to purchase them. Or to give them away if you wish. Why is this so controversial?

It's not controversial. What's controversial is manipulation of the market place. You seem to be under the impression that markets are somehow self-immunized from connivance. They're not. You also seem to be applying microscopic market aphorisms to macroscopic market realities.

They [anti-trust regulations] have been a bludgeon used by the less successful businesses to get a piece of what they feel they are entitled to.

Curious view. Perhaps you have some examples in mind?

We tend to forget that our particular brand of capitalism is, on the whole, a fictional legal construct to begin with. Corporations and securities markets do not exist in nature. We created those legal fictions (and many more) to facilitate relatively pain-free failure and thereby encourage risk-taking.

The corporate and securities fictions are, however, also subject to abusive and manipulative practices by the unscrupulous. These manipulations have the unfortunate effect of truncating, and in many instances eliminating, the very behavior the fictional constructs were intended to facilitate (market risk-taking, innovation, and entrepreneurialism).

Regulation of corporate and securities practices is necessary to prevent these manipulations and abuses. In short, we created a pretty good fictional economic beast, and we put it on measured leash to keep it from eating us.

I said: "There are thresholds of human connivance that we have, as a society, declared inviolable."

You said: "That doesn't make it moral."

I don't understand. Doesn't make what moral?

606 posted on 11/11/2005 8:48:31 AM PST by atlaw
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To: xzins
"However, I also think that other individuals/groups/entities can also put a gun to the head of the bidders. That, too, would be a corruption of the free market system."

Selling my product at whatever price I wish is NOT putting a gun to your head. You are not entitled to ANYTHING I produce or own. As a buyer I also do not have to buy YOUR product at whatever price YOU wish; I am free to decline. As long as we are free to accept or decline prices no initiation of force is done to us. It was when the government comes in, at the behest of the poor whining loser companies or socialist *consumer groups* to regulate the free exchange of goods and services that violence is done. Bill Gates has no power to put a gun to your head to force you to buy his product. The only entity that can be a monopoly is the government. They can use the threat of force to bully companies to fix prices and regulate production and distribution.
607 posted on 11/11/2005 8:54:34 AM PST by CarolinaGuitarman ("There is a grandeur in this view of life...")
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To: highball; P-Marlowe; blue-duncan
Myself, I see it as an excellent guide to being the best person possible. I don't think that is invalidated by the scientific errors contained within it.

I think you're missing the point.

If I read Uncle Remus and learn how to be wily to avoid being hurt, I've learned an important lesson from fiction.

However, there is nothing binding about it.

It's the same with the bible. If they are a bunch of made up stories, I might learn some valuable lessons, BUT, they are not binding in any kind of way.

One cannot claim any ultimate morality based on Br'er Rabbit, nor can one claim any ultimate morality if it is only "Br'er Moses or Br'er Jesus."

Nice fables, but it's not like there's a God to enforce it all in some future divine day of reckoning.

You will just be dust after you die and that'll be that. It won't matter if you're Genghis Khan, Mae se Tung, Pol Pot, or Charles Manson.

They're just as well off as you are....little bits of dust that someday will get meaninglessly farflung when the sun supernovas.

So...who cares if the bible events are true?

608 posted on 11/11/2005 9:06:12 AM PST by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It!)
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To: atlaw
"And market manipulation (for example, down-swing predatory pricing to eliminate competition, followed by shorting a cornered market and concomitant up-swing predatory pricing)..."

Is not the governments business. An individual or a business should be free to sell their product at whatever price they see fit. It is not fraud in any way; as long as the product is what the contract said it was, nobody was wronged.

"You seem to be under the impression that markets are somehow self-immunized from connivance."

Not at all. When someone enters into a contract and doesn't live up to it, that is fraud. Trying to out-compete your business rivals is not fraud.

"Perhaps you have some examples in mind?"

IBM, Microsoft.

"You also seem to be applying microscopic market aphorisms to macroscopic market realities."

The individual is the proper unit of property rights. When individuals come together to form a corporation, they do not give up their property rights. Corporations have a right to sell their property at whatever prices they wish, just as the individuals that comprise them do.

" I don't understand. Doesn't make what moral?

Just because people have agreed to trample property rights doesn't mean it is moral. Just because people have agreed that success is to be regulated, doesn't make it moral.
609 posted on 11/11/2005 9:07:07 AM PST by CarolinaGuitarman ("There is a grandeur in this view of life...")
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To: CarolinaGuitarman

A free market is nothing if it isn't free. If at any point we arrive at a controlled or contrived market, then there's no use pretending that freedom exists in the market (or anywhere else for that matter.)

So, let's imagine that OPEC wins the day all competitors no longer exist.

They can now sell their product at the price of your slavery. They can get it because they're you're only option. In fact, they are so powerful that they can prevent your turning to other options because that, too, is just an "energy market."

Personally, I'd be interested in how we got to the point that the free market no longer existed. I would call whatever got us there "anti-free market."


610 posted on 11/11/2005 9:12:12 AM PST by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It!)
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To: CarolinaGuitarman; atlaw

A free market is nothing if it isn't free. If at any point we arrive at a controlled or contrived market, then there's no use pretending that freedom exists in the market (or anywhere else for that matter.)

So, let's imagine that OPEC wins the day all competitors no longer exist.

They can now sell their product at the price of your slavery. They can get it because they're you're only option. In fact, they are so powerful that they can prevent your turning to other options because that, too, is just an "energy market."

Personally, I'd be interested in how we got to the point that the free market no longer existed. I would call whatever got us there "anti-free market."


611 posted on 11/11/2005 9:12:28 AM PST by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It!)
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To: CarolinaGuitarman
Selling my product at whatever price I wish is NOT putting a gun to your head. You are not entitled to ANYTHING I produce or own. As a buyer I also do not have to buy YOUR product at whatever price YOU wish; I am free to decline.

Depends on (1) the product, (2) the level of control you exercise over that product, (3) the manner in which you acquired control over the product, and (4) the machinations you employ to extort a given price and/or prevent others from offering the same or alternative products.

If the foregoing were put into the form of questions, we have, as a deliberative civilization, decided that each question has an acceptable answer that will encourage economic growth and prosperity. We have also decided that each question has an unacceptable answer that will discourage economic growth and prosperity.

I tend to view our answers to those questions as historically rather effective.

612 posted on 11/11/2005 9:17:22 AM PST by atlaw
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To: drlevy88

I was using "Kings" in a "Bosses" sense...... and I'm sticking to that story! :~)


613 posted on 11/11/2005 9:18:45 AM PST by MindBender26 (Having my own CAR-15 in RVN meant never having to say I was sorry......)
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To: highball
Please do not put words in my mouth. It's disrespectful. That is not what I said.

Then just give a straight answer to a straight question. If you are going to give vague and meaningless answers, then those to whom you give those answers are free to deduce whatever conclusions they wish.

Why don't you just answer the questions? A simple yes or no will suffice.

1) Do you accept as truth the first 10 words of the Bible?
2) Or does the Bible start out by telling lies?

Now for your questions:

Does the Bible have no more value to you than as a history or science textbook?

The Bible is much more than history or science. It is TRUTH. It is not "cleverly designed fables".

614 posted on 11/11/2005 9:18:51 AM PST by P-Marlowe
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To: xzins
"A free market is nothing if it isn't free. If at any point we arrive at a controlled or contrived market, then there's no use pretending that freedom exists in the market (or anywhere else for that matter.)"

Which is why the government needs to get out of regulating pricing and the distribution of private property.

"So, let's imagine that OPEC wins the day all competitors no longer exist.

They can now sell their product at the price of your slavery. They can get it because they're you're only option. In fact, they are so powerful that they can prevent your turning to other options because that, too, is just an "energy market."

I am not entitled to their oil. They can price it anyway they wish. They cannot, however, prevent me from buying from someone else without initiating force. Where do I get the right to demand they give me their property at whatever price I want, regardless of what they wish to sell it at? A free market is only free when BOTH seller and buyer are free to accept or decline the terms of exchange. Anti-trust doesn't allow a seller to do that.
615 posted on 11/11/2005 9:20:21 AM PST by CarolinaGuitarman ("There is a grandeur in this view of life...")
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To: From many - one.
The first ten words are fine. It's thinking that Genesis is a biology textbook that causes problems.

Do you have any problem with the 4th Commandment where God states that in six days he made the heavens and the earth and all that in them is?

Was that a lie?

616 posted on 11/11/2005 9:22:09 AM PST by P-Marlowe
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To: From many - one.

It is creation itself that lies, not the words of the bible. The rocks and the stars are all Satan's minions. Are you going to believe the preacher with the collection plate, or your own lying eyes?


617 posted on 11/11/2005 9:23:15 AM PST by js1138 (Great is the power of steady misrepresentation.)
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To: aMorePerfectUnion
A Lifetime is 70 years +/-. (Much less in Biblical times)

A Generation is 20 years +/- (Again, much less in Biblical times)

In prehistoric times, it was not unusual for women to submit to men as soon as she was seen to menstruating. It was not unusual for a woman to be pregnant at 10 and 12 years old.

200 generations x 20 years = 4000 years, easily within the time since the Garden of Eden, let alone since the Earth cooled.
618 posted on 11/11/2005 9:25:10 AM PST by MindBender26 (Having my own CAR-15 in RVN meant never having to say I was sorry......)
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To: MindBender26
A Lifetime is 70 years +/-. (Much less in Biblical times)

You should refamiliarize yourself with Genesis.

619 posted on 11/11/2005 9:26:31 AM PST by Right Wing Professor
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To: xzins

>There is no reason to think that the stories were not written down immediately near the events. After all, these were literate people. The archeology of the regions reveals all kinds of writings, methods, transcriptions, scribes, etc.

Look to your earliest Garden of Eden stories. There was no writing communication for thousands of years after these events.

Elementary pictographic "writing" by a few professional scribes by the time of the Exodus, certainly, but much earlier than that, no.


620 posted on 11/11/2005 9:28:51 AM PST by MindBender26 (Having my own CAR-15 in RVN meant never having to say I was sorry......)
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