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Is Intelligent Design a Bad Scientific Theory or a Non-Scientific Theory?
Tech Central Station ^ | 11/10/2005 | Uriah Kriegel

Posted on 11/10/2005 4:43:24 AM PST by Nicholas Conradin

In an election in Pennsylvania this week, voters tossed out eight members of the Pittsburgh school board who wanted Intelligent Design theory to be taught alongside evolution in school. But should Intelligent Design -- the theory that living organisms were created at least in part by an intelligent designer, not by a blind process of evolution by natural selection -- be taught in public schools? In one way, the answer to this question is simple: if it's a scientific theory, it should; if it's not, it shouldn't (on pain of flaunting the Establishment Clause). The question, however, is whether Intelligent Design (ID) is a scientific theory.

Opponents dismiss ID's scientific credentials, claiming that the theory is too implausible to qualify as scientific. But this reasoning is fallacious: a bad scientific theory is still a scientific theory, just as a bad car is still a car. There may be pedagogical reasons to avoid teaching bad scientific theories in our public schools, but there are no legal ones. The Constitution contains no interdiction on teaching bad theories, or for that matter demonstrably false ones. As long as theory is science and not religion, there is no legal barrier to teaching it.

To make their case, opponents of teaching ID must show not just that the theory is bad, but that it's not science. This raises a much more complicated question: What is science? What distinguishes genuinely scientific theories from non-scientific ones?

In one form or another, the question has bothered scientists and philosophers for centuries. But it was given an explicit formulation only in the 1920s, by Karl Popper, the most important 20th century philosopher of science. Popper called it "the problem of demarcation," because it asked how to demarcate scientific research and distinguish it from other modes of thought (respectable though they may be in their own right).

One thing Popper emphasized was that a theory's status as scientific doesn't depend on its plausibility. The great majority of scientific theories turn out to be false, including such works of genius as Newton's mechanics. Conversely, the story of Adam and Eve may well be pure truth, but if it is, it's not scientific truth, but some other kind of truth.

So what is the mark of genuine science? To attack this question, Popper examined several theories he thought were inherently unscientific but had a vague allure of science about them. His favorites were Marx's theory of history and Freud's theory of human behavior. Both attempted to describe the world without appeal to super-natural phenomena, but yet seem fundamentally different from, say, the theory of relativity or the gene theory.

What Popper noticed was that, in both cases, there was no way to prove to proponents of the theory that they were wrong. Suppose Jim's parents moved around a lot when Jim was a child. If Jim also moves around a lot as an adult, the Freudian explains that this was predictable given the patterns of behavior Jim grew up with. If Jim never moves, the Freudian explains -- with equal confidence -- that this was predictable as a reaction to Jim's unpleasant experiences of a rootless childhood. Either way the Freudian has a ready-made answer and cannot be refuted. Likewise, however much history seemed to diverge from Marx's model, Marxists would always introduce new modifications and roundabout excuses for their theory, never allowing it to be proven false.

Popper concluded that the mark of true science was falsifiability: a theory is genuinely scientific only if it's possible in principle to refute it. This may sound paradoxical, since science is about seeking truth, not falsehood. But Popper showed that it was precisely the willingness to be proven false, the critical mindset of being open to the possibility that you're wrong, that makes for progress toward truth.

What scientists do in designing experiments that test their theories is create conditions under which their theory might be proven false. When a theory passes a sufficient number of such tests, the scientific community starts taking it seriously, and ultimately as plausible.

When Einstein came up with the theory of relativity, the first thing he did was to make a concrete prediction: he predicted that a certain planet must exist in such-and-such a place even though it had never been observed before. If it turned out that the planet did not exist, his theory would be refuted. In 1919, 14 years after the advent of Special Relativity, the planet was discovered exactly where he said. The theory survived the test. But the possibility of failing a test -- the willingness to put the theory up for refutation -- was what made it a scientific theory in the first place.

To win in the game of science, a theory must be submitted to many tests and survive all of them without being falsified. But to be even allowed into the game, the theory must be falsifiable in principle: there must be a conceivable experiment that would prove it false.

If we examine ID in this light, it becomes pretty clear that the theory isn't scientific. It is impossible to refute ID, because if an animal shows one characteristic, IDers can explain that the intelligent designer made it this way, and if the animal shows the opposite characteristic, IDers can explain with equal confidence that the designer made it that way. For that matter, it is fully consistent with ID that the supreme intelligence designed the world to evolve according to Darwin's laws of natural selection. Given this, there is no conceivable experiment that can prove ID false.

It is sometimes complained that IDers resemble the Marxist historians who always found a way to modify and reframe their theory so it evades any possible falsification, never offering an experimental procedure by which ID could in principle be falsified. To my mind, this complaint is warranted indeed. But the primary problem is not with the intellectual honesty of IDers, but with the nature of their theory. The theory simply cannot be fashioned to make any potentially falsified predictions, and therefore cannot earn entry into the game of science.

None of this suggests that ID is in fact false. For all I've said, it may well be pure truth. But if it is, it wouldn't be scientific truth, because it isn't scientific at all. As such, we shouldn't allow it into our science classrooms. At least that's what the Constitution says.

The writer teaches philosophy at the University of Arizona.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Philosophy
KEYWORDS: crevolist; evilution; evolution; goddoodit; id; idiocy; ignoranceisstrength; monkeygod; popper; science; theory
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To: Right Wing Professor

The vast majority of Biblical scholars do not think these people lived almost 1000 years. At most, these was a confusion of months for years.


621 posted on 11/11/2005 9:30:37 AM PST by MindBender26 (Having my own CAR-15 in RVN meant never having to say I was sorry......)
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To: P-Marlowe
If the first 10 words of the Bible do not express TRUTH, then the rest of the book cannot be trusted.

You do realise that every time that you create that dichotomy you are telling everyone who is interested in the physical evidence that the entire Bible cannot be trusted, because the literal interpretation of those words is certainly false, to anyone who cares to inspect the physical evidence (as are ludicrous fables of the world ecology being saved on a wooden boat).

It doesn't matter to me, I'm an atheist anyway, but I know of Christians who have become atheists because of the precise dichotomy that you propose. At least one posts on these threads.

622 posted on 11/11/2005 9:31:23 AM PST by Thatcherite (Feminized androgenous automaton euro-weenie blackguard)
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To: MindBender26

Oh, you're not a literalist. Sorry. Then there's no reason to believe the earth is 6000 years old.


623 posted on 11/11/2005 9:32:43 AM PST by Right Wing Professor
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To: Right Wing Professor

Such confusion clearly shows how stories can be come changed over the years.

If you wonder if a Biblical story could be changed over a span of (tens of) thousands of years of human memory, ask 12 people what happened at an event last week and you will get at least 6 different stories.


624 posted on 11/11/2005 9:33:41 AM PST by MindBender26 (Having my own CAR-15 in RVN meant never having to say I was sorry......)
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To: MindBender26

The "vast majority of Biblical scholars" are lukewarm


625 posted on 11/11/2005 9:34:52 AM PST by drlevy88
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To: MindBender26

I agree completely. The remarkable thing about oral history is that any grain of truth at all remains in it.


626 posted on 11/11/2005 9:35:52 AM PST by Right Wing Professor
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To: Nicholas Conradin

""we shouldn't allow it into our science classrooms. At least that's what the Constitution says""

Where is it logical that anything supporting a religious belief is a bad scientific theory or is unconstitutional, yet, anything that bashes religion, specifically Christianity, is fair game? Attempting to distance religion from the people is nothing but an attack on the people.


627 posted on 11/11/2005 9:36:33 AM PST by CodeToad
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To: MindBender26

A graph of the reported lifespans vs. the narrative timeline shows a roughly consistent level up to the Flood then an asymptotic decay. I thought these ignorant shepherds didn't like to play games with numbers.


628 posted on 11/11/2005 9:36:45 AM PST by drlevy88
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To: Thatcherite
It doesn't matter to me, I'm an atheist anyway, but I know of Christians who have become atheists because of the precise dichotomy that you propose. At least one posts on these threads.

I have certainly lost all respect for the personal honesty and integrity of many FReeper posters. I suppose it's mutual, but I fess up when I'm caught making a mistake.

629 posted on 11/11/2005 9:38:08 AM PST by js1138 (Great is the power of steady misrepresentation.)
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To: I-ambush; Nicholas Conradin
"The real debate is not over science, which is concerned with the observable, but over whose underlying metaphysical view one accepts: materialism vs. some form of theism. .."

Backed up by Darwin, himself:

"Origin of man now proved. -- Metaphysics must flourish. - He who understands baboon would do more toward Metaphysics than Locke." --- Darwin, Notebook M, August 16, 1838

630 posted on 11/11/2005 9:39:07 AM PST by Matchett-PI ( "History does not long entrust the care of freedom to the weak or the timid." -- Dwight Eisenhower)
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To: Right Wing Professor
>Oh, you're not a literalist. Sorry. Then there's no reason to believe the earth is 6000 years old.

?

Since neither God nor Jesus would expect us to literally and unquestionably place our faith in what men have passed down in remembered stories for thousands of years, I chose not to do so.

God did not write the Bible. Man, with all his faults did. God did the acts. Man tried to remember them, and record them, but did so with all the expected errors we find in everything Man does over thousands of years. But that's OK. God forgave them.

631 posted on 11/11/2005 9:39:09 AM PST by MindBender26 (Having my own CAR-15 in RVN meant never having to say I was sorry......)
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To: atlaw
"Depends on (1) the product, (2) the level of control you exercise over that product, (3) the manner in which you acquired control over the product, and (4) the machinations you employ to extort a given price and/or prevent others from offering the same or alternative products."

It makes no difference as to 1 and 2. As to 3, as long as no force was initiated, there is no problem. Number 4 is only possible with government force behind you. My selling my product at whatever price I wish in no way prevents another from selling the same or an alternative product at whatever price they wish. If a buyer prefers my product/price, why should I be punished because another company isn't efficient enough to compete? The other company has no entitlement to success.

"If the foregoing were put into the form of questions, we have, as a deliberative civilization, decided that each question has an acceptable answer that will encourage economic growth and prosperity. We have also decided that each question has an unacceptable answer that will discourage economic growth and prosperity."

The collective doesn't get to vote away property rights.
632 posted on 11/11/2005 9:39:24 AM PST by CarolinaGuitarman ("There is a grandeur in this view of life...")
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To: P-Marlowe
I presume you don't mean the Catholic version.


Why would I have a problem with the commandments?

As I said, it is treating the Bible as a biology textbook that I have a problem with.


Incidentally, worshiping the Bible is hubris and idolatry and leads to things like the Galileo fiasco.
633 posted on 11/11/2005 9:41:45 AM PST by From many - one.
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To: MindBender26

Or play the kid's game "telephone"


634 posted on 11/11/2005 9:44:04 AM PST by From many - one.
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To: Thatcherite
Give a specific example of such a real world proof with full analytical rigour applying to any physical or chemical law or theory of your choice

What we know about physics and chemistry and, yes, biology, can be used to produce reliable results that can be measured, observed and put to effective use in the world. Why in the world would you demand "an example of real world proof with full analytical rigour applying to any physical or chemical law or theory of your choice"

If the answer has been crickets, perhaps because the challenge makes no sense.

Do you still fail to understand the difference between observable facts and the inference from those facts?

Like I said, I'm a rhetorician, not a scientist. When it comes to the "science" of global warming, rampant heterosexual transmission of AIDS, the biological basis of homosexuality, the dangers of nuclear energy, the destruction of the rainforest or any other junk science, I can't keep up with the journals, the math, the proofs and all the other folderol of junk science.

It's just easier to (1) identify the agenda of the proponant , and (2) note how argument from examples is preferred to even poor enthymemes, and the complete absence of the kind of logical "rigour" you demand from others.

Here's the only reason I get interested in this debate. While I am sure everyone on Free Republic who favors the theory of evolution is simply a disiniterested scientist with no thought that the issue bears on questions of God or culture, it cannot have escaped your attention that Evolution has been used by some as an engine for destruction of religious faith.

And if you want to talk about challenges, how about this one: Please explain to me, an intelligent layman, just how a fossil of a reptile with a vestigal wing is evidence that lizards evolved into birds? In particular, I am interested in the logical steps that go into the connection between the vestigal wing and a survival benefit to that unfortunate freak. I have brought this up more than once here, and, I , too, have gotten only the sound of crickets as an answer :-)

Since I am not a scientist, I am even prepared to stipulate to any actual evidence you want to use. Let's just concentrate on the logic, shall we? The worst that could happen would be that I learn something new.

I am not a biblical literalist. I don't believe Genesis is a scientific treatise. At different times in my life I have been non-Christian and even anti-Christian. My opinion of evolution has not changed, however.
635 posted on 11/11/2005 9:47:03 AM PST by SalukiLawyer
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To: PokeyJoe
"Hell, I'm taking cheap shots at a young man who is running the family business. (his daddy started the church) and I don't have to justify his operating expenses. I think they are sitting on his wife's finger."

Just about everyone knows that the 'young man' was selected to replace his daddy's ministry. Let's see; he was selected by whom? The congregation of the church, you say? Offended you weren't consulted first, before the decision was made? Yes, daddy started the church, but that's not what I asked you. I asked how the church came to be. And yes, of course, you aren't obliged to respond, anymore than you are obliged to justify the church's operating expenses. But, that makes your comments mere unsupported allegations, otherwise described as slander, rumor mongering, derogation, or, sometimes, calumny. And, typical of that style of discussion and debate, you close with an additional calumny.

636 posted on 11/11/2005 9:47:50 AM PST by YHAOS
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To: From many - one.
I presume you don't mean the Catholic version. Why would I have a problem with the commandments?

Here, pick a version:

Exo 20:11

(ASV) for in six days Jehovah made heaven and earth, the sea, and all that in them is, and rested the seventh day: wherefore Jehovah blessed the sabbath day, and hallowed it.

(CEV) In six days I made the sky, the earth, the oceans, and everything in them, but on the seventh day I rested. That's why I made the Sabbath a special day that belongs to me.

(Darby) For in six days Jehovah made the heavens and the earth, the sea, and all that is in them, and rested on the seventh day; therefore Jehovah blessed the sabbath day, and hallowed it.

(GB) For in sixe dayes the Lord made the heauen and the earth, the sea, and all that in them is, and rested the seuenth day: therefore the Lord blessed the Sabbath day, and hallowed it.

(GLB) Denn in sechs Tagen hat der HERR Himmel und Erde gemacht und das Meer und alles, was darinnen ist, und ruhte am siebenten Tage. Darum segnete der HERR den Sabbattag und heiligte ihn.

(GNB) In six days I, the LORD, made the earth, the sky, the seas, and everything in them, but on the seventh day I rested. That is why I, the LORD, blessed the Sabbath and made it holy.

(KJV) For in six days the LORD made heaven and earth, the sea, and all that in them is, and rested the seventh day: wherefore the LORD blessed the sabbath day, and hallowed it.

(LITV) For in six days Jehovah made the heavens and the earth, the sea, and all which is in them, and He rested on the seventh day; on account of this Jehovah blessed the sabbath day and sanctified it.

(MKJV) For in six days Jehovah made the heavens and the earth, the sea, and all that is in them, and rested the seventh day. Therefore Jehovah blessed the Sabbath day, and sanctified it.

(MSG) For in six days GOD made Heaven, Earth, and sea, and everything in them; he rested on the seventh day. Therefore GOD blessed the Sabbath day; he set it apart as a holy day.

(RSV) for in six days the LORD made heaven and earth, the sea, and all that is in them, and rested the seventh day; therefore the LORD blessed the sabbath day and hallowed it.

(WEB) for in six days Yahweh made heaven and earth, the sea, and all that is in them, and rested the seventh day; therefore Yahweh blessed the Sabbath day, and made it holy.

(Webster) For in six days the LORD made heaven and earth, the sea, and all that is in them, and rested the seventh day: wherefore the LORD blessed the sabbath-day, and hallowed it.

(YLT) for six days hath Jehovah made the heavens and the earth, the sea, and all that is in them, and resteth in the seventh day; therefore hath Jehovah blessed the Sabbath-day, and doth sanctify it.


637 posted on 11/11/2005 9:48:02 AM PST by P-Marlowe
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To: MindBender26
"God did not write the Bible. Man, with all his faults did"

Then how can you trust what they wrote about Jesus? How can you even know that He existed and was not some myth? He rose from the dead, walked on water, healed blind men, and turned water into wine. Things reason and science say are impossible.

JM
638 posted on 11/11/2005 9:48:44 AM PST by JohnnyM
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To: js1138

You nearly got me with that one...I was starting to compose an answer when I saw who posted it. ;->


639 posted on 11/11/2005 9:50:50 AM PST by From many - one.
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To: From many - one.
Incidentally, worshiping the Bible is hubris and idolatry and leads to things like the Galileo fiasco.

And denying the truth of his Word is not a good idea either

I will worship toward thy holy temple, and praise thy name for thy lovingkindness and for thy truth: for thou hast magnified thy word above all thy name. (Psalms 138:2 KJV)

640 posted on 11/11/2005 9:51:07 AM PST by P-Marlowe
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