ARG Polls - Connecticut and Rhode Island Senate (Lieberman up 2, Chafee down 5)

American Research Group ^ | 19 September 2006 | American Research Group

[okstate]

 

Connecticut US Senate
If the general election for US Senate were being held today between Ralph Ferrucci, of the Green party, Timothy Knibbs, of the Concerned Citizens party, Ned Lamont, the Democrat, Joe Lieberman, of the Connecticut for Lieberman party, and Alan Schlesinger, the Republican, for whom would you vote? (names rotated)
9/19/06	Lamont	Lieberman	Others	Undecided
Likely voters	45%	47%	3%	5%
Republicans (26%)	15%	66%	8%	11%
Democrats (39%)	62%	36%	0%	2%
Unaffiliated (35%)	47%	45%	3%	5%
8/21/06	42%	44%	3%	11%
Based on 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely voters in Connecticut on September 15-19, 2006. The theoretical margin of error is plus or minus 4 percentage points, 95% of the time.

 

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Rhode Island US Senate
If the general election for US Senate were being held today between Lincoln Chafee, the Republican, and Sheldon Whitehouse, the Democrat, for whom would you vote? (names rotated)
9/19/06	Chafee	Whitehouse	Undecided
Likely voters	40%	45%	15%
Republicans (16%)	80%	6%	14%
Democrats (38%)	20%	72%	8%
Unaffiliated (46%)	42%	37%	21%
Based on 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely voters in Rhode Island on September 15-19, 2006. The theoretical margin of error is plus or minus 4 percentage points, 95% of the time.

[okstate]

ARG usually leans a bit left, about 3-4 points.

RI Trendlines:
09-19 ARG ............... Whitehouse +5
09-18 Brown Univ. .... Whitehouse +1
09-13 Rasmussen ...... Whitehouse +8
08-23 Rasmussen ...... Whitehouse +2
08-21 Survey USA .... Chafee +1

CT Trendlines:
09-19 Amer. Research Group ...... Lieberman +2
09-14 Rasmussen ........................ Lieberman +2
09-11 Survey USA ...................... Lieberman +13
08-29 Public Opinion Strategies ... Lieberman +16
08-21 Rasmussen ........................ Lieberman +2
08-21 Amer. Research Group ...... Lieberman +2

[EternalHope]

Chafee down?

Works for me...

[dead]

It was very important that Chafee win the Rhode Island primary, because a conservative would have lost by nine but a liberal milquetoast douchebag like Chafee will only lose by five.

That's very important. Very.

[Republican Red]

I wonder if Chafee is down because of his support of Democratic causes or his lack of support of Republican causes.

If Chafee decides to single handedly kill Bolton's vote for UN Ambassador does it help him or hurt him?

Is there any such thing as a Rhode Island Republican?????

[NeoCaveman]

What you don't look forward to Chafee hodling the Senate hostage for two years as the 50th vote?

Me neither.

[okstate]

ARG has Chafee down 5 in RI, Lieberman up 2 in CT. Ping

[okstate]

ARG has Chafee down 5 in RI, Lieberman up 2 in CT. Ping

[NewHampshireDuo]

Lieberman only up by 2 percent among likelies?

[hawkaw]

When I read the chart it looks like Chaffe is up by 5 ????

[hawkaw]

oops I read the wrong line. Sorry about that

[Terpin]

If Chafee loses, we're just replacing one democrat for another. Maybe that'll teach the RNC to support real Republicans in the future.

[WoodstockCat]

ARG is notoriously high on their DEM samples..they had Kerry up 5-8 in the last two weeks of campaign 2004.

[SlowBoat407]

Aarrrggh.

[LS]

No, you do not want Chafee losing, no matter what you think. For one, he is a reliable vote for cloture---and even Lieberman isn't that.

For another, he does caucus with the GOP and that is critical for the chairman positions. It's plain silly to pull for his defeat in the general. He's a leftist, but the difference between him and the Dem senator from RI is about 15% of ACU rating, and that's still significant.

[Clintonfatigued]

Did this poll measure the Governors races in those states?

[Gay State Conservative]

If Chafee loses, we're just replacing one democrat for another. Maybe that'll teach the RNC to support real Republicans in the future.

Wrong,wrong,wrong!Given the unfortunate,but undeniable realities of New England politics today,Chaffee...as disappointing as he is...is very much preferable to *any* democRAT that might be running.

From Chaffee,you'll get an occasional correct vote.From his democRAT opponent,you'll get none.Not a *SINGLE* one.

Why? Simply put,because the most venomous,*genuine* democRATS you'll find in this country are those you'll find in New England.There are *no* DINO's here.

[Ol' Sparky]

Yes, it's best the Chafee lose. That way, no more conservative dollars will be flowing into his campaign. That way, there will be one less RINO for the GOP to pander. And, that way, John McCain will have one less ally to undermine conservativism without the GOP.

[LS]

No. It's never, ever, EVER better that a Republican lose. Remember Jim Jeffords. That switch cost us innumerable votes---even though he wouldn't have voted for the legislation---because it bottled things (including GOOD JUDGES) up in committee. This is short-sighted thinking.

It's akin in football to saying, "Well, it's better if we lose yards on this play, because coach will stop calling it." Baloney.

[nutmeg]

Connecticut ping!

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