Posted on 10/04/2006 7:40:44 PM PDT by okstate
Based on what you know now, do you approve, or do you disapprove, of the job New York congressman Tom Reynolds has done in response to contact between congressmen and teenage pages?
Approve 20%
Disapprove 66%
Not Sure 14
500 Adults, +/- 4.2% MOE
Partisan breakdown:
41% Republican
29% Democrat
23% Independent
Don't know about Gerlach but I do know that Simmons internals have him at 50 and up 11. Courtneys internals have it tied at 44 or some such. Basically the same as last time if I remember correctly.
Thanks. The invite for drinks one (apparently while on the "floor.") I conflated that with the masturbation one, as involving the same ex page. Thanks for clearing that one up for me!
Do you have a link to the Hayworth hit piece?
The problem was not so much the crosshairs, but the oninous Mafia like black and white with sinister music, and then the cord change, with more cheerful music and color for the challenger. In this post McLuhan age, that is simply too obvious, and makes one laugh. It is another one of those bridges too far. Smart political ad types, know the lighter and more humorous hit piece, is what works with Booomers on down to Gen Y. There are not too many voters left, that are not totally cynical, and react to more subtle cues.
Most people here think there is time to sort this out before the election. There isn't.
In a lot of the close house races, 60% of the vote will be by absentee. Absentee voting is starting this week. The election will be over (in terms of votes cast) in most close house districts before we can clear this issue.
It was timed perfectly and overreach doesn't matter. The votes are cast. Drive by media strikes again. They tried this in 2000 (drunk driving), 2004 (TANG and Al Kaa Kaa) and failed. They have probably already succeeded this time.
I don't like to be so negative but this was the best executed political dirty trick since the atom bomb ad by LBJ. It doesn't matter if the kid turns out to be 18. The retraction will be on page 43 of the NYT's and the networks will just drop the story. There's just not enough time for the blogs to turn it around. The election is over by the end of next week.
An especially suave excerpt: "We will make you successful," Foley promised, "as long as you don't mind me grabbing your [deleted] once in a while."
Survey USA polls are considered inaccurate,skewed to the Liberals and democrats and dont have a great track record, I dont think their polls mean much this election.
anti-guv, you are missing the big picture once again. You are a numbers cruncher, not a political historian.
Foley is not the issue at this point.
It is now about taking down Haesert.
The more the dEMS push this scandal, the more likely more revelations about Bill Clinton will surface, and not from the 1990's.
Wow Walsh. If the Conn GOP reps hit the trifecta that will be very positive for the GOP.
Please, accidentally dialed? What a coincidence. Acuri also has some crooked buddies doing insurance Scams, according to the FBI
Torie, the best post of the night. I hope Boehner is not behind this. Brings down Haesert and becomes Speaker.
You are right. In 1998 when Clinton broke, the dEMS rallied for him , except for Lieberman.
Model, nice try. Falls on deaf ears. Elections are won by physical voters on election day, not absentees.
I hear you and I disagree.
Yes, many conservatives do not vote. And some may even be more inclined not to vote this time around.
HOWEVER, the economic conservatives will vote and will vote strongly or republicans mainly because of fiscal policy but als because the specter of waxman/conyers/rangle at the helm of any committee - even the local dog catcher one - is too repugnant to contemplate.
I think I am about sated. :)
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