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Reynolds (R) down 5 points in NY-26 (Survey USA poll)
Survey USA ^ | 5 October 2006 | Survey USA

Posted on 10/05/2006 4:22:08 PM PDT by okstate

Reynolds (R) 45%
Davis (D) 50%
Undecided 5%

482 Likely Voters, MOE +/- 4.6%


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: New York
KEYWORDS: 2006; 2006polls; davis; newyork; pagescandal; poll; polls; reynolds; surveyusa
yikes...
1 posted on 10/05/2006 4:22:08 PM PDT by okstate
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To: AntiGuv; Torie; Clintonfatigued

Reynolds down 5 says Survey USA


2 posted on 10/05/2006 4:22:39 PM PDT by okstate
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To: okstate

A coup against the government of the United States funded by George Soros.


3 posted on 10/05/2006 4:22:45 PM PDT by balch3
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To: okstate

I think there will be atleast a five point recoving in this once anything calms down.


4 posted on 10/05/2006 4:23:10 PM PDT by Paul8148
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To: okstate

It's temporary, and it's going to all blow up it the dem-wits faces.


5 posted on 10/05/2006 4:26:22 PM PDT by xcamel (Press to Test, Release to Detonate)
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To: Paul8148

All R's in all of the blue states will always have struggles no matter what year and what situations "pop up" (pun intended).


6 posted on 10/05/2006 4:27:13 PM PDT by johnthebaptistmoore
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To: Paul8148

just wait until tomorrow 3pm....that's when they'll drop the next bomb


7 posted on 10/05/2006 4:29:45 PM PDT by paltz
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To: okstate
Reynolds brought this on himself by urging Foley to seek reelection when he was thinking of retirement and AFTER he knew about the creepy emails to the 16-year-old.

What kind of NRCC chair puts HIS OWN seat in danger by his stupidity???

8 posted on 10/05/2006 4:42:29 PM PDT by JohnnyZ ("I respect and will protect a woman's right to choose" -- Mitt Romney, April 2002)
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To: JohnnyZ
Reynolds brought this on himself by urging Foley to seek reelection when he was thinking of retirement and AFTER he knew about the creepy emails to the 16-year-old.

Passing the misleading Novak line I see.

Reynolds only knew about the innocuous e-mails, not the lurid IM's, but you are pushing the hack Novak(who let Scooter Libby twist in the wind for 3 years) line.

Reynold's will win despite you and robert novak.

9 posted on 10/05/2006 4:45:29 PM PDT by Dane ("Mr. Gorbachev, tear down this wall" Ronald Reagan, 1987)
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To: JohnnyZ

To be perfectly frank about it, with a MOE of +/- 4.6%, this is a statistical tie from which no conclusions should be drawn.


10 posted on 10/05/2006 4:46:30 PM PDT by Ole Okie
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To: JohnnyZ

JohnnyZ - Drive-by-media shill


11 posted on 10/05/2006 4:51:52 PM PDT by Once-Ler (The rat 06 election platform will be a promise to impeach the President if they win)
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To: Dane
ME AFTER he knew about the creepy emails

DANE Passing the misleading Novak line I see. Reynolds only knew about the innocuous e-mails

So what did I say that was misleading?

Oh, right, nothing.

Except you think there's nothing strange about a 52-year-old gay man sending "overly friendly" overtures to a 16-year-old boy that the boy considers "sick" and that the family complains about to their Congressman.

12 posted on 10/05/2006 4:52:39 PM PDT by JohnnyZ ("I respect and will protect a woman's right to choose" -- Mitt Romney, April 2002)
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To: Ole Okie
with a MOE of +/- 4.6%, this is a statistical tie from which no conclusions should be drawn

I would conclude that Reynolds' seat is in danger.

He may well still win, but it is gross imcompetence for the NRCC chair to put his own seat in danger by his stupidity when he's supposed to be focused on helping GOP campaigns across the country.

13 posted on 10/05/2006 4:56:21 PM PDT by JohnnyZ ("I respect and will protect a woman's right to choose" -- Mitt Romney, April 2002)
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To: JohnnyZ
Except you think there's nothing strange about a 52-year-old gay man sending "overly friendly" overtures to a 16-year-old boy that the boy considers "sick" and that the family complains about to their Congressman.

And the family complained and the e-mails stopped and the family did not want any further investigation and those e-mails were innocuous and not explicit.

It was much later when the explicit and lurid IM's came out and foley was booted, but you already knew that, but still decide to muddy the waters with your misinformation(ala bob novak).

14 posted on 10/05/2006 4:56:26 PM PDT by Dane ("Mr. Gorbachev, tear down this wall" Ronald Reagan, 1987)
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To: JohnnyZ
BTW, Reynold's seat was considered a competitive one before the foley scandal and that was also common political knowledge.

This poll showing that Reynold's is in a virtual tie is actually a good sign, given the the 24/7 coverage of foley.

I guess you all are very saddened in the DNC basement.

15 posted on 10/05/2006 4:58:47 PM PDT by Dane ("Mr. Gorbachev, tear down this wall" Ronald Reagan, 1987)
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To: xcamel
It's temporary, and it's going to all blow up it the dem-wits faces.

Don't be so sure. The MSM and RAT candidates are going to ignore any further developments and lie and libel left and right from here on out. They will worry about any residual lawsuits on that after they win. This remains big trouble and we will have to fight like hell to spread the word to America.

16 posted on 10/05/2006 5:02:23 PM PDT by montag813
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To: okstate
The Presser he held the other day surrounded by kids did not appear to help Reynolds.
17 posted on 10/05/2006 5:28:01 PM PDT by trumandogz
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To: JohnnyZ

His committee was the largest recipient of Foley $$$.

You know the commercials are going to repeat that over and over and over.


18 posted on 10/05/2006 5:29:45 PM PDT by BurbankKarl
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To: okstate

Please give us the party affiliated sample next time. And was this a flash poll?


19 posted on 10/05/2006 6:34:08 PM PDT by Welike ike
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To: okstate

Reynolds has created a number of House seats that are gimmies for the RATS (Pa-10, FL-16, TX-22). It is fitting that he created his own seat to be a gimmie.


20 posted on 10/05/2006 6:41:46 PM PDT by Kuksool (Design your Own Polls. Go Vote and Take a Few Others With You)
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To: BurbankKarl

His committee had their money RETURNED by foley


21 posted on 10/05/2006 7:13:49 PM PDT by CharlesWayneCT
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To: Kuksool

How is Tom DeLay Reynold's fault?


22 posted on 10/05/2006 7:14:26 PM PDT by CharlesWayneCT
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To: CharlesWayneCT

I'll admit that the whole Ronnie Earle saga was a witch hunt. Although Arbamnoff was another matter. Notice, since Delay moved to Va, there is no news from Earle.

Delay retired after the primaries were done. If he was going to retire in the 1st place, then he should have not run at all and let the RAT donors waste their money on Nick Lampson. Instead, we are unable to find a replace candidate on the ballot. We are stuck with a write-in candidate with a complicated name, Shelley Sekula-Gibbs. Reynolds could have encouraged Delay along with Ney and Sherwood to retire and let another up and coming conservatives to take their places.


23 posted on 10/05/2006 7:29:46 PM PDT by Kuksool (Design your Own Polls. Go Vote and Take a Few Others With You)
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To: Kuksool; okstate; fieldmarshaldj; Once-Ler; tennmountainman

And don't forget, Reynolds persuaded Mark Foley to run again. And that appalling press conference he held a couple of days ago.


24 posted on 10/05/2006 8:07:43 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (Nihilism is at the heart of Islamic culture)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Having Reynolds lose and bringing in Negron is a great start for GOP House cleaning.


25 posted on 10/05/2006 8:12:30 PM PDT by Kuksool (Design your Own Polls. Go Vote and Take a Few Others With You)
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To: Kuksool

Yes, it would. And there needs to be some House-cleaning. While I salute Dennis Hastert's past achievements, he should step down as Speaker after the election.


26 posted on 10/05/2006 8:18:34 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (Nihilism is at the heart of Islamic culture)
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To: CharlesWayneCT; SolidSupplySide; RobFromGa; AntiGuv; Mister Politics

Reynolds should have tried to get Tom DeLay to retire. If he had, maybe the GOP wouldn't be in the mess it's in right now in TX District 22.


27 posted on 10/05/2006 8:20:06 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (Nihilism is at the heart of Islamic culture)
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To: Clintonfatigued

If the election turns bad for the GOP, not only will Hasstert be gone, but Boehner will go as well. And quite frankly, I don't think Blunt will move into a higher leadership position either.


28 posted on 10/05/2006 8:21:59 PM PDT by tennmountainman
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To: Clintonfatigued; AuH2ORepublican; JohnnyZ; Kuksool; AntiGuv

Bill Paxon was Reynolds's predecessor. Any chance we can get him back again ? :-/


29 posted on 10/05/2006 11:10:18 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Cheney X -- Destroying the Liberal Democrat Traitors By Any Means Necessary -- Ya Dig ? Sho 'Nuff.)
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To: fieldmarshaldj; Clintonfatigued; JohnnyZ; Kuksool; AntiGuv

"Bill Paxon was Reynolds's predecessor. Any chance we can get him back again ? :-/"



Or maybe Jack Kemp, who was Paxon's predecessor.

Paxon and his wife, Susan Molinari, now live in Virginia, BTW.

I think Reynolds better head back to his very Republican district and make sure that he gets reelected. I don't think he's "helping" much regarding the Foley scandal nor the many competitive House races across the nation.


30 posted on 10/06/2006 7:36:59 AM PDT by AuH2ORepublican (http://auh2orepublican.blogspot.com/)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

Bring back Tom Davis. He is the Karl Rove of Congress. Also, if returned to this position, maybe he won't run for the U.S. Senate when John Warner retires.


31 posted on 10/06/2006 9:25:04 AM PDT by Clintonfatigued (Nihilism is at the heart of Islamic culture)
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To: All

Survey USA is a FAKE Polling firm.

Reynolds is up 15 points in REAL local polling in New York.


32 posted on 10/06/2006 12:10:46 PM PDT by new yorker 77 (FAKE POLLS DO NOT TRANSLATE INTO REAL VOTERS!)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) has Davis up 8 over Reynolds today.


33 posted on 10/06/2006 2:08:44 PM PDT by okstate
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To: trumandogz

Agreed, the presser was stupidly executed and he looked horrible. That said, Reynolds has been an outstanding NRCC chair and we need to carry him over the finish line.

Down by only five at this point means he will win.


34 posted on 10/06/2006 2:14:04 PM PDT by mwl1
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To: okstate; ForOurFuture

The fact that it's a partisan firm means it should be taken with a grain of salt.


35 posted on 10/06/2006 2:44:47 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (Nihilism is at the heart of Islamic culture)
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