Posted on 11/08/2006 2:08:36 AM PST by CheyennePress
In MT, overseas absentee ballots must be postmarked by election day, and received within one week of election day. But, this can't amount to more than a few votes. Same with Maegher County. Burns' hope is or was in Yellowstone County.
You're making the big mistake of assuming that Burns will win by Bush's percentages -- which is not AT ALL the case.
Even in 2000, Burns only won Yellowstone 51-47. He's toast. Up until the recount tonight (around 35,000 votes were counted), Tester was leading in Yellowstone by over a thousand votes.
We lost MO. VA is probably gone too.
http://www.epodunk.com/cgi-bin/politicalInfo.php?locIndex=22330
Yellowstone
Updated: 7:52 a.m. ET
Republican Burns
(Incumbent)
24,924 50% 94% of precincts reporting
Democratic Tester
23,553 47%
Libertarian Jones
1,218 3%
http://www.epodunk.com/cgi-bin/politicalInfo.php?locIndex=22356
As of 6:49 a.m. MST it does not look good for Burns who needs over 1500 votes to get even. There are only about 2300 votes left (unreported) and I calculate that Burns can only make up at most 550 votes based on past election returns for George Bush (percentage of votes he got from those counties).
Sorry folks, the string is alive - no party has ever taken the house without also taking the senate. It's going to be a rough two years for W and we are going to end up with a squishy Supreme Court Justice when whats-his-face retires.
P.S. The GOP will now need to regroup and hope that someone like Ronald Reagan comes along to lead the country out of the woods as in 1980. But who could that possibly be? We have no apparent leader with the philosphies and statesmanship needed to replicate Ronnie's feat.
Yellowstone is 100 %. 29,203 Rep, 27,981 Dem. Looks like either 3 to 4 thousand Republicans voted Democrat here or 6-8 thousand Republicans stayed home. 2004 - 40,863 for Bush and 24,101 for Kerry. 2000 - 33,922 for Bush and 20,370 for Gore.
"Seems awful strange that Yellowstone County which went for Bush 40,863 to 24,101 in 2004 (~margin 16,760), now only gives their Republican Senator a 1,400 margin of victory 2 years later. "
We saw that same sort of thing in a lot of places this election cycle. And Tester is obviously better suited to a state like Montana than an out of touch elite like Kerry was.
"Seems awful strange that Yellowstone County which went for Bush 40,863 to 24,101 in 2004 (~margin 16,760), now only gives their Republican Senator a 1,400 margin of victory 2 years later. "
We saw that same sort of thing in a lot of places this election cycle. And Tester is obviously better suited to a state like Montana than an out of touch elite like Kerry was.
I agree. It looks bad. I think we just lost the senate. I thought the House could fall. Really didn't expect the Senate too as well.
Others on this very thread are saying they have been counted.
I'm not sure about the overseas military ballots.
If by law a state must count absentee ballots along with regular votes, then they would count any ballots they had already received by election day. I believe deployed military absentee
ballots can still be received and counted up to one week later. So I say whatever they had on hand would have beeb counted. Stragglers likely wouldn't be enough to change an outcome where a few hundred or thousand is needed by the losing candidate.
I read (HERE) last night that the military/absentee votes were already counted.
LOL
"beeb counted = been counted"
Please see Post #81 as well...
so is this one over too, are these the recount numbers from yellowstone, or the numbers from last night?
Burns is a loser. He is practically Abramhoff's butt boy. And his opponent was a conservative white male. Its not like he was running against Cindy Sheehan.
Well, I think Mike Pence is the closest I've seen, and he appears to have thrown his name into the hat as House Minority Leader. I think that's about as good as a start as we're going to get!
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