Posted on 11/08/2006 2:08:36 AM PST by CheyennePress
2052 votes, still 90 percent in
He's only winning Yellowstone 51-47 (1,000 votes) so far with 36 percent in.
If that's because he's only getting the bad parts, that's good. Otherwise...
The good news is per Cheyenne's estimates:
Cascade - Burns would finish down about 1,700 and with 100% Burns is only 150 down. +1600
Lincoln - finished where projected, up 1300.
Fergus - Burns doing better than projected )65% vs. 61%). +200
Bad News:
Gattatin - Burns slightly worse 49% vs. 50% -500
Glacier - Burns much worse 49% vs. 53% -1500
Yellowstone - Burns worse 51% vs. 55% -3500
So, Cheyenne projected about 9000 more votes for Burns. Now it looks on net about 5400 more for Burns and he was down about 4300.
Unfortunately it looks like there can be large swings in precincts within a county.
But still looking ok.
If you assume 1) CNN's data is right (too lazy for the SoS page), and 2) all counties are uniform; then Burns will squeak by with 500 or so votes by my calculations.. but the second assumption is a big one.
All eyes on Yellowstone.
Burns would pick up about 350 votes in Meagher, 500 in Fergus, 2000 in Yellowstone, 400 in Gallatin and lose 50 or so in Lake County.
That's a pickup of about 3200 net votes and he's currently about 200 behind. Too close for comfort (and I don't know how MT handles absentees)... but slightly encouraging.
I noticed that the Republican candidate for the House, Denny Rehberg, received about 70,000 more than his Dims opponent. In many counties, he also received more votes than Burns did. So, it's more about individual, I think, than about party.
Less than 2000 votes now!
1,743 votes, 91 percent in...
So are we going to pull this one out?
Links for Secretary or State site please.
OK, I'm looking at the SoS website, and it has Tester 168,121 while Burns 165,008. Were you looking at a different source?
I'm looking at CNN, they have higher vote totals.
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2006/pages/results/states/MT/S/01/index.html
I think the Pony Express is a little behind schedule there.
Ah, thank you. Yes, we still have hope...
Lieberman would also likely continue the war in Iraq.
I guess Tester is toast, Burns stays in D.C. - Burns is stronger in the rural counties.
please don't guess, comfort me and tell me you're 100% sure lol
Let's hope so. At least there's a reasonable chance. I'm sick over Virginia. If only George Allen had never uttered that word macaca, we wouldn't be sitting here at 7 AM the day after elections in deep depression. Republicans should know by now that the media will play gotcha, giving Dhimmis the room they need to win.
VA is lost. MT is saved. Senate 50:50.
Thanks for your assurance. I'll keep hope alive.
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